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AVNT vs NGVT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Avient Corporation (AVNT) vs. Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Avient Corporation (AVNT) is navigating a sudden leadership transition, while Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) is executing a multi-year portfolio transformation.
- Both companies operate in specialty materials, but they serve meaningfully different end markets and growth drivers.
- NGVT has delivered stronger recent price momentum, supported by rising margins, debt reduction, and share repurchases.
- AVNT offers a more diversified, dividend-oriented profile, anchored by 16 consecutive years of payout increases.
- NGVT's elevated leverage and asset-divestiture complexity contrast with AVNT's steadier, though more cyclical, earnings base.
Introduction
Investors screening the specialty chemicals and materials sector frequently encounter AVNT and NGVT as two names with overlapping industrial DNA but very different strategic trajectories. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and long-term investors seeking to understand how business-model focus, capital allocation, and market sentiment shape relative performance. Both companies are going through pivotal corporate changes, making the current environment an especially instructive moment to compare their market positioning and momentum.
AVNT Overview and Recent Performance
Avient Corporation, traded as AVNT, is a global formulator of specialty material solutions, including colorants, additives, engineered materials, and composites. Its two main segments are Color, Additives and Inks and Specialty Engineered Materials. The company serves packaging, healthcare, electronics, building and construction, defense, and transportation end markets.
Recent weeks have been defined by an abrupt leadership change. The board named Mike Frank as president and chief executive officer, succeeding Ashish Khandpur, who transitioned to an advisory role. The sudden handover introduced near-term uncertainty, pressuring the stock even as the company simultaneously announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.2825 per share, marking its sixteenth consecutive annual increase. In its most recent quarterly report, Avient posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.83, up about 9% year over year, on modestly higher net sales, with margin expansion driven by productivity and cost controls. Management has emphasized growth in electronics and high-performance computing applications while flagging softer transportation and industrial demand as a key near-term risk.
NGVT Overview and Recent Performance
Ingevity Corporation, traded as NGVT, is a specialty materials company focused on advanced carbon and engineered material solutions. Its portfolio spans Performance Materials (activated carbon for emissions control and filtration), Pavement Technologies (asphalt additives and crop-protection dispersants), and Advanced Polymer Technologies (specialty polymers for coatings).
NGVT is in the late stages of a portfolio overhaul. Management has completed divestitures of the Industrial Specialties product line and the Road Markings business, while the sale of Advanced Polymer Technologies is in advanced stages. These actions, alongside acquisitions and cost reductions, have narrowed the company's focus toward higher-margin businesses. In its latest quarterly results, NGVT reported adjusted EPS up more than 40% year over year and raised its full-year guidance, citing stronger pricing, favorable mix, and higher volumes. The company has also reduced leverage from roughly 4x to about 2.5x and has been actively repurchasing shares. This transformation has contributed to a strong rise in the stock over the past year, though automotive demand and APT-related uncertainty remain watchpoints.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between AVNT and NGVT lies in strategic direction. AVNT is a diversified, dividend-paying formulator whose near-term narrative hinges on leadership continuity and execution across a broad set of end markets. NGVT is a smaller, more concentrated business deliberately shrinking itself into higher-margin franchises, with momentum tied to divestitures, deleveraging, and buybacks.
On growth drivers, AVNT is leaning into electronics and high-performance computing materials as secular tailwinds, while NGVT is emphasizing hybrid-vehicle emissions solutions, PFAS (per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) water filtration, and warm-mix asphalt additives. These are distinct catalyst sets, meaning the two stocks rarely move on the same news.
Risk profiles also diverge. NGVT carries higher leverage, though it has been reducing it rapidly, and faces execution risk around its remaining divestiture and softer automotive production. AVNT's risks are more tied to cyclical transportation and industrial demand and the uncertainty introduced by its CEO transition. In terms of relative performance and market sentiment, NGVT has shown stronger momentum over the past year, while AVNT's steadier earnings and dividend history appeal to a more conservative cohort.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward NGVT in the current environment. The company's rising margins, improving leverage, active capital returns, and a multi-quarter track record of upward guidance revisions present a more coherent positive momentum signal. By contrast, AVNT's abrupt leadership change introduces a degree of near-term uncertainty that quantitative trend models tend to discount. This is a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive call, and it reflects current conditions rather than a permanent judgment on either company's long-term quality.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVNT is a StrongBuy and NGVT is a Hold.
AVNT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVNT turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where AVNT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AVNT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +2.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVNT advanced for three days, in 188 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
AVNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVNT as a result. In 50 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
AVNT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AVNT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator for AVNT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AVNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.527) is normal, around the industry mean (2.359). P/E Ratio (21.817) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.224) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.130) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVNT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
NGVT sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On October 20, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for NGVT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 49 of the 57 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +0.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NGVT advanced for three days, in 214 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
NGVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NGVT as a result. In 48 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NGVT turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
NGVT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NGVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The 50-day moving average for NGVT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NGVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for NGVT entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NGVT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NGVT's P/B Ratio (51.193) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.359). P/E Ratio (44.484) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.530) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.107) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NGVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
AVNT | NGVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVNT's Valuation (68) in the null industry is in the same range as NGVT (99) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that AVNT’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
AVNT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as NGVT (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that AVNT’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's SMR Rating (18) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AVNT (78) in the null industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew somewhat faster than AVNT’s over the last 12 months.
AVNT's Price Growth Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as NGVT (49) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that AVNT’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as AVNT (56) in the null industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew similarly to AVNT’s over the last 12 months.
| AVNT | NGVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 73% | 11 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVNT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NGVT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVNT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NGVT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVNT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGVT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVNT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NGVT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
AVNT (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +4.05% price change this week, while NGVT (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -0.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVNT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
NGVT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.07% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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AVNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVNT has been closely correlated with OLN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVNT jumps, then OLN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVNT | 100% | -0.27% | ||
| OLN - AVNT | 70% Closely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| ASIX - AVNT | 68% Closely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| PPG - AVNT | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.65% | ||
| FUL - AVNT | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| RPM - AVNT | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
More | ||||
NGVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGVT has been loosely correlated with FUL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGVT jumps, then FUL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NGVT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGVT | 100% | -1.20% | ||
| FUL - NGVT | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| AVNT - NGVT | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| MTX - NGVT | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| PPG - NGVT | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.65% | ||
| KWR - NGVT | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.07% | ||
More | ||||
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