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AVNT vs OLN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Avient Corporation (AVNT) vs. Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Avient Corporation delivers consistent adjusted earnings growth and margin expansion, while Olin Corporation is navigating a cyclical trough marked by net losses across multiple segments.
- AVNT benefits from diversified end-market exposure — including defense, healthcare, and telecommunications — whereas OLN faces persistent headwinds in commodity chemicals and commercial ammunition.
- OLN generates roughly double the revenue of AVNT ($6.78 billion vs. $3.26 billion in 2025), yet its profitability metrics have deteriorated sharply over the past year.
- Both companies are actively reducing structural costs and paying down debt, but AVNT enters 2026 with positive earnings momentum, while OLN projects near-term adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) declines.
- From a valuation standpoint, AVNT trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 12, while OLN carries a negative trailing P/E due to full-year 2025 losses.
- Dividend investors may note that both stocks offer yield — OLN at roughly 3.5% and AVNT at roughly 3.0% — but AVNT's payout appears better supported by current earnings.
Introduction
Investors scouring the materials and chemicals sector often encounter two distinctly positioned companies: AVNT (Avient Corporation) and OLN (Olin Corporation). Though both operate within the broader chemicals universe, their business models, market dynamics, and recent financial trajectories diverge considerably. Avient focuses on specialized polymer materials, colorants, and engineered composites, while Olin spans commodity chemicals, epoxy resins, and ammunition manufacturing. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors weighing a comparatively stable specialty-materials growth story against a deeply cyclical, diversified chemicals and defense play. Understanding the relative performance, risk profiles, and catalysts of each can help clarify which alignment suits different portfolio objectives.
AVNT Overview and Recent Performance
AVNT (Avient Corporation), headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, is an innovator of materials solutions serving customers across packaging, consumer goods, healthcare, defense, telecommunications, and transportation markets. The company operates through two primary segments: Color, Additives & Inks, and Specialty Engineered Materials. With approximately 9,000 employees and a market capitalization near $3.4 billion, Avient has carved out a reputation for disciplined execution in a challenging macroeconomic environment.
Over recent quarters, Avient has demonstrated resilient financial performance. Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS (earnings per share) reached $2.82, representing 6% year-over-year growth, while adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 50 basis points to 16.7%. The company repaid $150 million in debt during 2025, strengthening its balance sheet. Notably, management has guided for 2026 adjusted EPS in the range of $2.93 to $3.17 — implying 4% to 12% growth — driven by organic sales improvement in Specialty Engineered Materials and company-wide productivity initiatives. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in the mid-$30s range, reflecting a year-to-date gain exceeding 20% and a 52-week range of approximately $27 to $45. Defense, healthcare, and telecommunications end markets have been particular bright spots, partially offsetting softness in consumer and packaging demand.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
OLN (Olin Corporation), based in Clayton, Missouri, is a vertically integrated global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and a leading U.S. producer of ammunition. The company's three business segments — Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls, Epoxy, and Winchester — give it exposure to industrial chemicals, specialty materials, and defense markets. With full-year 2025 revenue of roughly $6.78 billion, Olin is significantly larger than Avient by sales, though its market capitalization of approximately $2.4 billion reflects the market's concerns about profitability.
Olin has been navigating a persistent cyclical downturn. Full-year 2025 resulted in a net loss of $42.8 million, or $0.37 per diluted share, a sharp reversal from net income of $108.6 million in 2024. The fourth quarter of 2025 was particularly challenging, with a net loss of $85.7 million driven by lower pricing in chlor alkali products, operational disruptions, and weakness in commercial ammunition demand. The Winchester segment, while buoyed by strong military contracts, has been hampered by retailer destocking and rising raw material costs for commodities like copper and brass. In response, Olin launched its "Beyond250" initiative, targeting more than $250 million in structural cost savings by 2028, with $44 million already realized in 2025. Management has signaled that first-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA will likely come in below fourth-quarter 2025 levels, reflecting continued headwinds. The stock has been trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, with recent prices in the $19 to $24 range.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When placed side by side, AVNT and OLN present a study in contrasts across nearly every meaningful dimension. In terms of business model, Avient derives value from formulation expertise and customer-specific material solutions — a specialty-oriented approach with higher barriers to commoditization — whereas Olin's fortunes are more tightly linked to commodity chemical pricing cycles, where supply-demand imbalances and Asian competition can swiftly compress margins. Regarding growth drivers, Avient is leveraging demand in defense, healthcare, and telecommunications alongside surgical investments in high-margin product portfolios; Olin's near-term catalysts hinge on the Beyond250 cost-cutting program, a recovery in epoxy demand, and sustained military ammunition orders.
Financial resilience marks the starkest divide. Avient generated $302 million in operating cash flow in 2025, reduced debt by $150 million, and maintained positive net income. Olin generated $474 million in full-year operating cash flow — an impressive figure — but posted a net loss, carries net debt of approximately $2.7 billion, and ended 2025 with a net debt-to-adjusted-EBITDA ratio of 4.1 times. Market sentiment reflects these differences: Avient shares have recovered meaningfully from late-2025 lows and carry a forward P/E around 12, while Olin's negative earnings make traditional valuation multiples less informative. From a risk perspective, Avient's primary vulnerability is exposure to weak consumer and industrial end markets; Olin's risks include tariff uncertainty, commodity price volatility, subsidized Asian epoxy competition, and operational reliability challenges that surfaced during 2025.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors — trend consistency, earnings stability, balance sheet strength, and relative positioning — Tickeron's AI would likely favor AVNT over OLN in the current market environment. Avient's combination of positive and growing adjusted earnings, expanding margins, declining leverage, and constructive forward guidance creates a comparatively smoother trend profile that algorithmic models tend to recognize as favorable. Olin, while offering substantial upside optionality tied to a cyclical recovery in chlor alkali products and epoxy, currently presents a more volatile and uncertain trajectory — with negative net income, operational disruptions, and management guiding for sequentially lower near-term results. That said, probabilistic models acknowledge that deeply cyclical names like Olin can deliver outsized returns when the cycle turns. The AI's preference is not a prediction, but rather a reflection of where trend quality, fundamental momentum, and risk-adjusted positioning appear more aligned at this juncture.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVNT is a Hold and OLN is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVNT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOLN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AVNT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OLN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVNT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVNT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OLN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVNT (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -3.40% price change this week, while OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was -20.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.69%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -4.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVNT is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
OLN is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.32% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-4.43% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
| AVNT | OLN | AVNT / OLN | |
| Capitalization | 3.33B | 2.11B | 158% |
| EBITDA | 493M | 410M | 120% |
| Gain YTD | 18.081 | -9.797 | -185% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.09 | 48.57 | 43% |
| Revenue | 3.28B | 6.7B | 49% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 177M | - |
| Total Debt | 1.92B | 3.41B | 56% |
AVNT | OLN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 11 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLN's Valuation (11) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as AVNT (22) in the null industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to AVNT’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as AVNT (100) in the null industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to AVNT’s over the last 12 months.
AVNT's SMR Rating (82) in the null industry is in the same range as OLN (95) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that AVNT’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
AVNT's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as OLN (63) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that AVNT’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Industrial Specialties industry is significantly better than the same rating for AVNT (80) in the null industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew significantly faster than AVNT’s over the last 12 months.
| AVNT | OLN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 58% |
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AVNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVNT has been closely correlated with DD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVNT jumps, then DD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVNT | 100% | -0.98% | ||
| DD - AVNT | 71% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| FUL - AVNT | 71% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| RPM - AVNT | 70% Closely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| OLN - AVNT | 70% Closely correlated | -16.51% | ||
| PPG - AVNT | 70% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
More | ||||
OLN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OLN has been closely correlated with DOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OLN jumps, then DOW could also see price increases.