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AVPT vs DUOL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AvePoint (AVPT) vs. Duolingo (DUOL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DUOL has outperformed AVPT in recent monthly performance, gaining approximately 12% compared to AVPT's 2% rise.
- Both stocks remain down year-to-date, with DUOL declining 37% and AVPT 26%, reflecting broader tech sector pressures.
- AVPT trades around $10, near its 52-week low of $8.84, showing relative stability in recent weeks.
- DUOL, at about $111, has rebounded from recent lows around $96, ahead of its Q1 earnings report.
- Enterprise-focused AVPT benefits from cloud data demand, while consumer-oriented DUOL rides user engagement momentum.
- Upcoming earnings for both could shift sentiment, with DUOL reporting first on May 4, 2026.
Introduction
This comparison examines AVPT (AvePoint, Inc.) and DUOL (Duolingo, Inc.), two tech growth stocks navigating volatile market conditions. Both operate in software and data-driven sectors, appealing to traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term digital transformation trends. With recent rebounds amid broader tech recovery signals, this analysis highlights relative performance, business drivers, and market positioning. Swing traders monitoring short-term catalysts and value investors assessing recovery potential will find insights into their trade-offs in the current environment.
AVPT Overview and Recent Performance
AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) specializes in cloud data management and governance solutions, primarily for Microsoft 365 ecosystems, serving enterprises with SaaS data protection and compliance tools. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a tight range around $9.50 to $10.30, posting a modest 1.79% gain over the past month amid steady volume. Its Q4 2025 earnings in late February beat EPS (earnings per share) expectations at $0.07, driven by strong revenue growth and AI integrations, bolstering sentiment despite year-to-date declines. Enterprise demand for data security has supported stability, though broader software sector headwinds have capped upside.
DUOL Overview and Recent Performance
Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) is a leading mobile language-learning platform with a freemium model, generating revenue from subscriptions, ads, and in-app purchases. Recently, shares have surged about 12% over the past month to around $111, recovering from early April levels near $96, with elevated 5-day gains of 7.7%. Q4 2025 results highlighted user growth and a $400 million share repurchase authorization, fueling optimism ahead of Q1 earnings expected May 4, 2026. Momentum stems from renewed engagement metrics, though prior user slowdown concerns linger in a competitive edtech landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVPT's B2B SaaS model targets enterprise data management, contrasting DUOL's consumer-facing freemium app reliant on daily active users (DAUs). Growth drivers differ: AVPT leverages cloud migration and compliance needs, while DUOL banks on subscription conversions and content expansion. Recent momentum favors DUOL's 12% monthly advance over AVPT's 2%, but AVPT exhibits lower volatility with a tighter trading range. Risk profiles highlight DUOL's higher beta from consumer cyclicality versus AVPT's steadier enterprise recurring revenue. Both face tech sector exposure, but DUOL's sentiment ties more to user metrics, while AVPT benefits from Microsoft ecosystem tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward DUOL due to its superior recent trend consistency, monthly outperformance, and proximity to earnings catalysts that could validate recovery momentum. AVPT offers relative stability but lacks DUOL's upside velocity in the near term. This positioning reflects probabilistic signals from price action and market flows, subject to evolving conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVPT is a Hold and DUOL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVPT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDUOL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVPT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DUOL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVPT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DUOL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVPT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DUOL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AVPT (@Computer Communications) experienced а -4.98% price change this week, while DUOL (@Packaged Software) price change was +3.21% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -2.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.26%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -3.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVPT is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
DUOL is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (-2.46% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
@Packaged Software (-3.44% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| AVPT | DUOL | AVPT / DUOL | |
| Capitalization | 2.19B | 6.16B | 35% |
| EBITDA | 48.8M | 171M | 29% |
| Gain YTD | -25.774 | -24.684 | 104% |
| P/E Ratio | 49.85 | 14.56 | 342% |
| Revenue | 444M | 1.1B | 40% |
| Total Cash | 444M | 1.25B | 35% |
| Total Debt | 13.3M | 91.9M | 14% |
AVPT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AVPT | DUOL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 21 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 74% |
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AVPT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVPT has been loosely correlated with ADSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVPT jumps, then ADSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVPT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVPT | 100% | +3.41% | ||
| ADSK - AVPT | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| TWLO - AVPT | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| CRM - AVPT | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.20% | ||
| NOW - AVPT | 56% Loosely correlated | +3.15% | ||
| COIN - AVPT | 55% Loosely correlated | -4.04% | ||
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DUOL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUOL has been loosely correlated with AVPT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DUOL jumps, then AVPT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DUOL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUOL | 100% | +3.87% | ||
| AVPT - DUOL | 56% Loosely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| COIN - DUOL | 52% Loosely correlated | -4.04% | ||
| CLSK - DUOL | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| PAYC - DUOL | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| PLTR - DUOL | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.34% | ||
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