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AXP vs UHAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? American Express (AXP) vs. U-Haul Holding (UHAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXP has delivered stronger year-to-date total returns compared with UHAL, supported by robust Q1 2026 earnings growth.
- American Express operates in the consumer finance and payments sector with high-margin card spending, while U-Haul focuses on self-storage and moving services with more cyclical demand.
- Recent market activity shows AXP experiencing greater price volatility amid broader market rotations, whereas UHAL has traded in a narrower range with lower trading volume.
- Both companies reported earnings earlier in 2026, with AXP highlighting double-digit revenue and EPS expansion and UHAL facing mixed results in its core rental segments.
- Sector exposure differs markedly: AXP benefits from premium consumer spending trends, while UHAL remains sensitive to housing and relocation activity.
- Market sentiment favors AXP for its scale and capital return program, while UHAL offers lower valuation multiples amid slower growth.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking to diversify across financial services and consumer discretionary sectors often compare AXP and UHAL for their distinct business models and risk-return profiles. American Express provides premium payment and lending services, while U-Haul Holding delivers moving, storage, and related logistics solutions. This comparison highlights relative performance, sector dynamics, and observable market positioning over recent weeks, offering insights relevant to those evaluating large-cap stability versus smaller-cap cyclical exposure in the current environment.
AXP Overview and Recent Performance
American Express Company provides credit and charge card services, travel-related offerings, and merchant acquiring solutions to consumers and businesses worldwide. In recent market activity, AXP shares have traded near the lower end of their 52-week range following an earlier peak, reflecting broader rotation away from financial names. The company reported Q1 2026 results showing 11% revenue growth and 18% EPS growth, driven by higher card-member spending in travel and entertainment categories. These results supported full-year guidance for 9-10% revenue growth, though the stock experienced modest monthly declines amid market volatility. Sentiment has remained constructive on long-term fundamentals, tempered by concerns over consumer spending resilience.
UHAL Overview and Recent Performance
U-Haul Holding Company operates one of the largest networks of self-storage facilities and rental equipment for household and commercial moves across North America. In recent market activity, UHAL shares have shown relative stability with limited price swings and below-average trading volume. The company’s Q1 2026 results reflected ongoing challenges in its rental fleet utilization, contributing to mixed investor sentiment. Year-to-date performance has been modestly positive but has lagged broader market benchmarks. Recent positioning emphasizes cost management and storage revenue growth, though exposure to housing market fluctuations has kept momentum subdued compared with higher-growth peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
American Express and U-Haul Holding operate in fundamentally different industries, creating clear trade-offs for investors. AXP benefits from scalable, high-margin payments infrastructure and recurring card fees, while UHAL relies on asset-intensive rental operations exposed to seasonal and economic cycles. Recent momentum has favored AXP on earnings delivery and capital returns, whereas UHAL offers lower valuation multiples and potential recovery in storage demand. Risk factors include regulatory pressures on consumer finance for AXP and utilization volatility for UHAL. Market sentiment currently reflects greater institutional interest in the larger, more liquid AXP name.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings catalysts, and relative positioning in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probability of favorable risk-adjusted performance to AXP over UHAL. Stronger revenue visibility and capital return activity provide more stable signals compared with the cyclical profile of the storage and moving business.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AXP is a Buy and UHAL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileUHAL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UHAL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UHAL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UHAL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AXP (@Savings Banks) experienced а +0.80% price change this week, while UHAL (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) price change was +0.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Savings Banks industry was -0.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.24%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +0.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXP is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
UHAL is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Savings Banks (-0.39% weekly)A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+0.45% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
| AXP | UHAL | AXP / UHAL | |
| Capitalization | 231B | 10.7B | 2,159% |
| EBITDA | N/A | 1.76B | - |
| Gain YTD | -8.125 | 23.745 | -34% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.10 | 259.92 | 8% |
| Revenue | 74.2B | 6.04B | 1,229% |
| Total Cash | 3.56B | 1.79B | 199% |
| Total Debt | 60.4B | 8.12B | 743% |
AXP | UHAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AXP's Valuation (96) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as UHAL (96) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that AXP’s stock grew similarly to UHAL’s over the last 12 months.
AXP's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is significantly better than the same rating for UHAL (90) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that AXP’s stock grew significantly faster than UHAL’s over the last 12 months.
AXP's SMR Rating (5) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is significantly better than the same rating for UHAL (91) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that AXP’s stock grew significantly faster than UHAL’s over the last 12 months.
UHAL's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as AXP (48) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that UHAL’s stock grew similarly to AXP’s over the last 12 months.
UHAL's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXP (51) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that UHAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than AXP’s over the last 12 months.
| AXP | UHAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 21 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 49% |
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AXP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXP has been closely correlated with SYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AXP jumps, then SYF could also see price increases.