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BBD vs BSBR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) vs. Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) and Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) are both major Brazilian banks listed as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the NYSE, operating in similar segments of retail and commercial banking.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks influenced by Brazil’s macroeconomic conditions, including interest rate trends and credit demand, with BBD announcing a capital increase and BSBR reporting stable recurring net income.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects sector-wide factors, with dividend announcements and earnings updates contributing to sentiment for each name.
- Both companies maintain significant exposure to the Brazilian economy, where net interest income (NII) and asset quality remain key drivers of results.
- Risk factors such as regulatory changes and economic volatility affect the pair similarly, though differences in customer base growth and capital strategies create distinct positioning.
- Market sentiment toward Brazilian banks remains tied to broader regional developments, supporting a balanced view of their comparative strengths.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) and Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) due to their shared exposure to Brazil’s banking sector and status as NYSE-listed ADRs. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to assist those evaluating Brazilian financial institutions. The comparison is relevant for portfolio managers seeking sector exposure, income-focused investors monitoring dividends, and active traders assessing relative momentum in emerging-market equities.
BBD Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) is one of Brazil’s largest private banks, offering retail banking, corporate services, insurance, and asset management. In recent weeks, the stock has responded to announcements including a capital increase of up to R$10 billion and interim interest on capital distributions. These moves support balance-sheet flexibility amid ongoing loan growth initiatives. Sentiment has been shaped by steady earnings trends and dividend activity, with broader market conditions in Brazil influencing trading patterns. The company continues to focus on digital transformation and selective credit expansion.
BSBR Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) operates as a major retail and wholesale bank in Brazil, with a focus on consumer finance, cards, and small-to-medium enterprise lending. Recent market activity includes the release of second-quarter results showing recurring net income of BRL 3 billion and a return on average equity (ROAE) of 12.5%. Customer numbers grew 6% year-over-year to 76.2 million, supported by loyalty programs and targeted lending. Stock movement has reflected these updates alongside sector sentiment, with emphasis on disciplined credit criteria and portfolio selectivity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) emphasizes a broad retail and insurance platform, while Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) highlights consumer and SME lending with stronger recent customer-acquisition momentum. Both face similar growth drivers tied to Brazil’s credit cycle and net interest margins, yet BBD’s capital raise provides additional flexibility for strategic investments compared with BSBR’s focus on selective portfolio expansion. Recent momentum for BBD includes dividend and capital announcements, whereas BSBR has highlighted recurring profitability metrics. Risk factors such as non-performing loans and regulatory oversight apply equally, though differences in scale and product mix create trade-offs in market positioning. Sector sentiment remains influenced by macroeconomic indicators affecting Brazilian banks broadly.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and capital positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable relative performance to Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR). This assessment reflects its reported customer growth and recurring income metrics, though outcomes remain subject to broader economic variables and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BBD is a Buy and BSBR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBSBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BBD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BSBR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BSBR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BSBR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BBD (@Regional Banks) experienced а -7.93% price change this week, while BSBR (@Regional Banks) price change was +1.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
BBD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
BSBR is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (-0.12% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BBD | BSBR | BBD / BSBR | |
| Capitalization | 34.6B | 21.4B | 162% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -0.829 | 3.220 | -26% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.45 | 16.51 | 45% |
| Revenue | 121B | 49.5B | 244% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | N/A | 31.7B | - |
BBD | BSBR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 97 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 3 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBD's Valuation (10) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BSBR (14) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BBD’s stock grew similarly to BSBR’s over the last 12 months.
BSBR's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBD (97) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BSBR’s stock grew similarly to BBD’s over the last 12 months.
BSBR's SMR Rating (3) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBD (3) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BSBR’s stock grew similarly to BBD’s over the last 12 months.
BSBR's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBD (61) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BSBR’s stock grew similarly to BBD’s over the last 12 months.
BSBR's P/E Growth Rating (60) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBD (64) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BSBR’s stock grew similarly to BBD’s over the last 12 months.
| BBD | BSBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 68% | 10 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 62% |
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BBD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBD has been closely correlated with BSBR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBD jumps, then BSBR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBD | 100% | -3.60% | ||
| BSBR - BBD | 78% Closely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| INTR - BBD | 71% Closely correlated | -2.80% | ||
| BBDO - BBD | 69% Closely correlated | -4.72% | ||
| BSAC - BBD | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| BCH - BBD | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
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BSBR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BSBR has been closely correlated with ITUB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BSBR jumps, then ITUB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BSBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSBR | 100% | -0.17% | ||
| ITUB - BSBR | 81% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| BBD - BSBR | 78% Closely correlated | -3.60% | ||
| INTR - BSBR | 69% Closely correlated | -2.80% | ||
| BBDO - BSBR | 64% Loosely correlated | -4.72% | ||
| BSAC - BSBR | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.27% | ||
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