Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) and Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) are two of Brazil's largest banks, offering American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) for U.S. investors seeking exposure to the emerging Latin American financial sector. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders monitoring Brazilian economic recovery signals and investors evaluating value in high-yield banking stocks amid interest rate fluctuations and currency volatility. By analyzing recent performance, valuations, and market positioning, readers can gauge relative strengths in a competitive landscape influenced by domestic lending growth and regulatory shifts.
Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) is one of Brazil's leading private-sector banks, providing retail, wholesale, and insurance services with a vast branch network. In recent weeks, its ADR has traded around $3.84, within a 52-week range of $2.26 to $4.30, supported by a market capitalization of approximately $40 billion. The stock has shown resilience, achieving year-to-date gains of 15.4% and a robust 1-year return of 62.56%. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades to buy ratings and a new 52-week high earlier in the period, alongside strategic moves like increasing its stake in healthcare subsidiary Bradsaúde to over 91%. Upcoming quarterly earnings and a dividend payout have further sustained positive momentum amid broader sector tailwinds from improving net interest margins (NIM, the difference between interest income and expenses).
Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR), a key unit of global giant Santander, focuses on retail banking, payroll loans, and digital services in Brazil, with a market cap near $43 billion. Its ADR recently closed at $5.80, ranging from $4.62 to $7.32 over 52 weeks. Performance has lagged, with YTD returns at 4.35% and 1-year gains of 14.47%, pressured by first-quarter 2026 results showing a profit of R$3.79 billion but an earnings per share (EPS) miss relative to expectations. Profitability dipped amid strategic shifts and higher provisions, though shareholder approvals for profit distribution and interest on equity payments provided some support. Market sentiment reflects caution in recent trading, influenced by macroeconomic headwinds like inflation and lending competition.
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Both BBD and BSBR operate in Brazil's concentrated banking oligopoly, emphasizing retail deposits, loans, and fee-based services, but differ in scale and execution. BBD edges in growth drivers with higher recurring net income trends and healthcare diversification, while BSBR benefits from parent backing for digital innovation. Recent momentum favors BBD, with superior YTD and 1-year returns amid analyst optimism; BSBR faces higher risks from earnings volatility and elevated P/E. Sector exposure is similar—sensitive to Selic rate changes—but BBD's lower price-to-book (1.14 vs. 1.72) and stronger ROE highlight better efficiency. Sentiment tilts toward BBD in recent weeks, though both carry emerging market currency risks.
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor BBD over BSBR, driven by consistent upward trend momentum, attractive valuation metrics, and positive catalysts like recent upgrades and stake consolidations. While BSBR offers comparable yields, its relative underperformance and earnings pressures suggest higher near-term uncertainty. This positioning indicates a probabilistic edge for BBD in the prevailing Brazilian banking environment.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBSBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BSBR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
BBD (@Regional Banks) experienced а +4.17% price change this week, while BSBR (@Regional Banks) price change was +3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +3.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.20%.
BBD is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
BSBR is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BBD | BSBR | BBD / BSBR | |
| Capitalization | 34.4B | 20B | 172% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 5.832 | -4.698 | -124% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.66 | 17.14 | 51% |
| Revenue | 121B | 46.7B | 259% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 466B | 29.3B | 1,590% |
BBD | BSBR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 84 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 3 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBD's Valuation (14) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BSBR (17) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BBD’s stock grew similarly to BSBR’s over the last 12 months.
BBD's Profit vs Risk Rating (82) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BSBR (84) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BBD’s stock grew similarly to BSBR’s over the last 12 months.
BBD's SMR Rating (3) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BSBR (3) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BBD’s stock grew similarly to BSBR’s over the last 12 months.
BBD's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BSBR (55) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BBD’s stock grew similarly to BSBR’s over the last 12 months.
BSBR's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BBD (66) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BSBR’s stock grew similarly to BBD’s over the last 12 months.
| BBD | BSBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 59% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBD has been closely correlated with BSBR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBD jumps, then BSBR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBD | 100% | +1.74% | ||
| BSBR - BBD | 82% Closely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| INTR - BBD | 71% Closely correlated | +1.05% | ||
| BBDO - BBD | 66% Closely correlated | +1.68% | ||
| BSAC - BBD | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| BCH - BBD | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.01% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BSBR has been closely correlated with BBD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BSBR jumps, then BBD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BSBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSBR | 100% | +0.93% | ||
| BBD - BSBR | 82% Closely correlated | +1.74% | ||
| ITUB - BSBR | 81% Closely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| INTR - BSBR | 70% Closely correlated | +1.05% | ||
| BCH - BSBR | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| BSAC - BSBR | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.28% | ||
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