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BJ vs COST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) vs. Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) reported solid comparable club sales growth in recent quarters driven by membership and digital channels, though its stock has shown more modest year-to-date returns compared to broader market benchmarks.
- Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) delivered robust net sales increases in its most recent reported periods, supported by strong traffic and membership trends, with year-to-date stock performance outpacing that of BJ.
- Both companies operate in the membership warehouse club sector, but COST maintains a larger scale with greater international exposure and consistent analyst support for expansion plans.
- Recent market activity shows BJ trading at lower absolute price levels with relatively higher volatility in short-term performance, while COST exhibits greater price stability amid sector resilience.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to consumer discretionary spending, with membership fee income serving as a key growth driver for each.
- Relative momentum favors COST in recent weeks based on sales metrics and positioning, though both face similar macroeconomic pressures on retail margins.
Introduction
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) and Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) represent two prominent players in the membership-based warehouse retail sector. Investors and traders often compare these stocks to assess relative value, growth trajectories, and resilience within consumer retail amid evolving economic conditions. This analysis appeals to those evaluating sector peers for portfolio allocation, momentum strategies, or diversification within consumer discretionary holdings. The comparison highlights differences in scale, performance metrics, and market positioning without favoring either security.
BJ Overview and Recent Performance
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) operates a chain of membership warehouse clubs primarily in the eastern United States, offering groceries, general merchandise, and fuel through a membership model. Recent market activity has reflected steady membership fee income growth and expansion efforts, including new club openings. Stock performance in recent weeks showed modest fluctuations around the $93 level, with year-to-date returns near 3.75% as of mid-August 2026. Influences on sentiment include positive comparable sales trends from earlier fiscal periods and broader retail sector dynamics, though one-year returns have lagged broader indices at approximately -9.2%.
COST Overview and Recent Performance
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) runs a global network of membership warehouse clubs emphasizing high-volume, low-margin sales of groceries, household goods, and other categories. Recent market activity benefited from sustained comparable sales growth, including an 8.9% rise in July 2026, alongside plans for significant warehouse expansion. The stock traded near $961 as of mid-August 2026, delivering year-to-date returns of about 11.9% and maintaining relative stability compared to peers. Sentiment has been supported by strong traffic metrics and analyst commentary on durable membership strength, with one-year performance near flat at under 1%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) and Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) share a membership warehouse model but differ in scale and reach, with COST operating a significantly larger global footprint. Growth drivers for both center on membership renewals and comparable sales, though COST has demonstrated stronger recent sales momentum. In terms of recent momentum, COST posted superior year-to-date gains relative to BJ's more tempered results. Risk factors include exposure to consumer spending patterns and margin pressures for each, while sector exposure remains concentrated in retail. Market sentiment appears steadier for COST amid expansion news, presenting trade-offs in liquidity, valuation multiples, and geographic diversification for investors assessing positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent sales consistency, broader expansion catalysts, and more favorable relative positioning versus benchmarks, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) over BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) in trend stability assessments. This view remains probabilistic and subject to ongoing market shifts rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BJ is a StrongBuy and COST is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BJ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCOST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BJ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- COST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BJ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while COST’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BJ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- COST’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BJ (@Discount Stores) experienced а -0.62% price change this week, while COST (@Discount Stores) price change was -2.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
BJ is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
COST is expected to report earnings on Sep 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.17% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| BJ | COST | BJ / COST | |
| Capitalization | 11.7B | 410B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 14.5B | 8% |
| Gain YTD | 3.021 | 8.145 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.30 | 46.55 | 44% |
| Revenue | 22B | 294B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 27.8M | 20B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 2.86B | 8.14B | 35% |
BJ | COST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 59 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BJ's Valuation (90) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as COST (99). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (44). This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
COST's SMR Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (36). This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (60). This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
BJ's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as COST (59). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
| BJ | COST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 11 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 30% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | N/A |
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