BJ stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
BJ’s Wholesale Club, founded in 1984, operates a membership-based warehouse club model primarily along the US East Coast, with roughly 260 clubs and a growing domestic presence across 21 states... Show more
Why BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock Is Up +10.9% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- BJ shares rose roughly 10.9% over the past 30 days, climbing from about $92.31 to $102.34 per share.
- The advance extends a multi-month rally built on a stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings report and raised full-year guidance.
- Record membership of 8.5 million and roughly 10% membership-fee growth continue to underpin investor confidence.
- A series of analyst price-target increases, including from Goldman Sachs and Evercore ISI, supported sentiment during the period.
- The company's next quarterly earnings report is expected in late November 2026.
BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) Company Overview and Market Position
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates one of the largest membership-based warehouse club chains in the United States, with roughly 250 clubs concentrated along the East Coast and in New England, alongside a growing footprint in Texas and Florida. Unlike its larger warehouse peers, including Costco (COST) and Walmart (WMT) through its Sam's Club division, BJ's differentiates itself with a smaller, more curated assortment of roughly 7,000 stock-keeping units and a heavier emphasis on convenient suburban locations.
The company generates approximately 80% of net sales from grocery and general merchandise, with the remainder coming from gasoline and ancillary services. Its high-margin, recurring membership-fee revenue is central to the investment thesis, and investors track BJ's closely for its membership growth, comparable-club sales, fuel profitability, and disciplined store-expansion strategy.
BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, BJ shares advanced approximately 10.9%, moving from a closing price near $92.31 to roughly $102.34. The climb was not entirely linear, with the stock consolidating in the low-$90s through late September before breaking decisively above $100 in mid-October.
The quarterly picture is similarly constructive. About three months earlier, BJ traded near $92.34, meaning the stock has gained roughly 10.8% over that span. The path higher included a pullback toward the $88–90 range in early September, followed by a steady recovery that carried shares to levels near the upper end of their 52-week range. This multi-month uptrend places the stock comfortably above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
What Drove BJ Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several verified factors supported BJ's advance over the past month. Analyst activity was notably constructive: Goldman Sachs reiterated a Buy rating with a $104 price target in early October, while Evercore ISI raised its target to $105 from $100 in mid-October and DA Davidson set a $108 target. These revisions reflected growing confidence in the company's membership momentum and expansion execution.
Company-specific developments also contributed. BJ's announced more than $25 million in tenure-based awards for over 30,000 hourly employees—the largest recognition program in its history—and outlined plans to simplify its assortment by reducing overlapping stock-keeping units over time. The company also prepared to open a new club in Ocala, Florida, signaling continued geographic expansion. Broader macroeconomic support, including stronger-than-expected U.S. GDP growth and solid private-sector job gains reported in late September, reinforced positive sentiment toward consumer-facing retailers during the period.
What Drove BJ Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The dominant catalyst over the past quarter was BJ's fiscal second-quarter earnings report, released in August. The company delivered adjusted earnings per share of $1.36, comfortably exceeding the $1.17 consensus estimate and rising 19% year over year, while net sales increased roughly 15.7% to $6.23 billion. Comparable-club sales rose 11.9% overall and 3.1% excluding gasoline, and membership reached a record 8.5 million.
Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $4.60 to $4.80, up from $4.40 to $4.60. The upgrade, combined with strong digital comparable-sales growth of 30% and an analyst upgrade from Gordon Haskett to Buy with a $115 price target in late July, helped establish the broader rally that continued through October. Fuel profitability, membership-fee growth, and encouraging early results from the Texas expansion all reinforced the positive narrative.
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BJ Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, investors are likely to focus on BJ's upcoming quarterly earnings report, expected in late November 2026, along with management's commentary on comparable-club sales excluding gasoline, membership renewal rates, and fuel margins. Gasoline profitability was a meaningful contributor to recent earnings, and any narrowing of fuel margins could affect results.
Other factors to monitor include the pace and returns of new-club openings in Texas and Florida, execution of the planned assortment simplification, and merchandise margin trends as tariff refunds wind down and competitive pricing pressure persists. With the stock trading near historically elevated valuation multiples, continued membership growth and traffic gains will be important to supporting the current price level. These are observations about market drivers, not investment recommendations.
Disclaimer
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BJ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
BJ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 42 of 54 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BJ as a result. In 59 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day moving average for BJ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +4.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BJ advanced for three days, in 175 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 224 cases where BJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
BJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BJ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.362) is normal, around the industry mean (5.837). P/E Ratio (24.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.624). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.251) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. BJ's P/S Ratio (0.530) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.008).
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General Information
a holding company of specialty stores
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