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BJ vs WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BJ and WMT operate in the discount retail sector but differ significantly in scale, with WMT holding a market capitalization exceeding $840 billion compared to BJ's approximately $11.4 billion.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing downward pressure in early September 2026, with BJ closing at $89.85 (down 3.58%) and WMT at $106.05 (down 1.02%) on September 8.
- BJ trades at a lower price-to-earnings ratio of around 19.7 with earnings per share of $4.57, while WMT carries a higher multiple near 38.4 with earnings per share of $2.76.
- BJ focuses on membership warehouse clubs primarily in the eastern United States, whereas WMT maintains a global footprint across multiple retail formats including grocery and general merchandise.
- Year-to-date performance through early September 2026 remained relatively flat to modestly negative for both, with BJ showing greater short-term volatility in recent weeks.
- Valuation and growth metrics present trade-offs, as BJ offers potentially higher relative earnings growth potential while WMT provides broader diversification and dividend income.
Introduction
This comparison examines BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.) and WMT (Walmart Inc.), two publicly traded companies in the consumer defensive sector focused on discount retailing. Both entities serve price-conscious consumers through warehouse and supercenter formats, yet they differ in operational scope, geographic reach, and market positioning. Institutional investors, active traders monitoring relative performance, and those evaluating sector exposure within consumer staples may find this analysis relevant for assessing competitive dynamics and market sentiment in the current environment.
BJ Overview and Recent Performance
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates a membership-based warehouse club model with a primary presence along the U.S. East Coast. The company emphasizes private-label products, fuel sales, and grocery offerings across roughly 260 locations. In recent market activity, BJ shares traded in a 52-week range of $83.21 to $105.78, closing at $89.85 on September 8, 2026, amid broader sector pressures. Performance in recent weeks reflected volatility, with notable daily swings tied to earnings momentum and macroeconomic factors affecting consumer spending. Second-quarter results highlighted revenue growth exceeding 15% year-over-year, supported by membership fee increases and fuel contributions, though gross margins faced some compression from promotional activity.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer, operating supercenters, discount stores, and warehouse clubs including Sam's Club, with significant international operations and a growing advertising business. The company reported fiscal 2026 revenue surpassing $713 billion. In recent market activity, WMT shares fluctuated within a 52-week range of $98.88 to $135.16, closing at $106.05 on September 8, 2026. Recent weeks showed moderated declines following earlier volatility, influenced by grocery demand stability and advertising revenue contributions. Quarterly results demonstrated consistent sales growth around 5-6% year-over-year, with adjusted earnings meeting or exceeding expectations amid ongoing investments in e-commerce and supply chain enhancements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BJ and WMT share exposure to discount retail but contrast sharply in business model and scale. BJ relies on a focused membership warehouse format with limited geographic footprint, enabling agile responses to regional demand but exposing it to higher concentration risk. WMT leverages massive scale across grocery, general merchandise, and international segments, supporting diversified revenue streams and economies of scale. Recent momentum favored BJ's earnings growth trajectory relative to its smaller base, while WMT exhibited greater stability through its advertising and omnichannel initiatives. Risk factors include BJ's narrower margins and regional sensitivity versus WMT's higher valuation multiple and sensitivity to broader consumer trends. Market sentiment in recent weeks reflected caution for both amid economic uncertainty, with WMT benefiting from defensive characteristics and dividend support.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as valuation metrics, earnings consistency, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to BJ. Its lower price-to-earnings ratio and demonstrated revenue expansion in the most recent quarter suggest potential for attractive risk-adjusted returns compared to WMT's elevated multiple, though WMT's scale and diversification provide meaningful stability advantages. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing conditions rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BJ is a Hold and WMT is a Buy.
BJ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 40 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BJ's Valuation (89) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (96). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (50). This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
BJ's SMR Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (42). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (59). This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (52). This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
| BJ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 7 days ago 38% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BJ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while WMT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BJ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BJ’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BJ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BJ (@Discount Stores) experienced а -3.23% price change this week, while WMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +2.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
BJ is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.15% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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BJ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BJ has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BJ jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.37% | ||
| COST - WMT | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.59% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 35% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| DG - WMT | 31% Poorly correlated | -1.66% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.74% | ||
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