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BJ vs WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- BJ is a regional, membership-only warehouse club expanding aggressively into Texas, while WMT is the world's largest retailer with a global footprint and a fast-growing digital, advertising, and membership ecosystem.
- Both companies are benefiting from value-seeking consumers, but their growth profiles differ sharply: BJ is scaling through new clubs, while Walmart is scaling through higher-margin alternative revenue streams.
- BJ recently raised its full-year earnings guidance after a strong quarter, whereas Walmart reaffirmed a conservative outlook that fell below Street expectations and weighed on sentiment.
- BJ trades closer to its 52-week high with meaningful valuation dispersion among analysts; Walmart trades below its high at a premium valuation supported by diversified revenue.
- Risk factors diverge: BJ faces margin pressure from expansion and pricing investments, while Walmart faces fuel costs, tariffs, and pressure on consumer spending.
2) Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to the U.S. discount retail and warehouse-club space often find themselves comparing a regional growth story against a global retail giant. This stock comparison examines BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings) and WMT (Walmart), two companies that serve cost-conscious consumers but operate with very different scale, market positioning, and growth strategies. For traders focused on relative performance and momentum, and for longer-term investors evaluating durable competitive advantages, understanding how these two names diverge on catalysts, valuation, and risk can clarify where each fits within a broader portfolio. Both have drawn attention in recent market activity as inflation and elevated fuel costs reshape consumer behavior.
3) BJ Overview and Recent Performance
BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings) is a regional membership-only warehouse club operator concentrated in the eastern half of the United States, with a footprint of roughly 267 clubs and 206 gas stations across 22 states. The company has made Texas a centerpiece of its expansion strategy, opening new clubs and gas stations there while planning roughly 25 to 30 additional locations across fiscal 2027 and 2028.
Recent market activity has been generally constructive for the stock. BJ reported strong quarterly results that beat analyst estimates on both revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS), driven by record membership of about 8.5 million, double-digit comparable club sales growth, and a notable surge in fuel volumes as shoppers sought gas discounts. Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS outlook and highlighted momentum in membership fee income and digitally enabled sales. This execution has lifted sentiment, though the stock has also faced scrutiny over softer profitability in earlier quarters, rising selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs tied to new openings, and pressure on general merchandise margins. Analyst price targets remain dispersed, reflecting a balance between strong near-term execution and lingering questions about sustainable margin growth.
4) WMT Overview and Recent Performance
WMT (Walmart) is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating Walmart U.S., Sam's Club, and a substantial international segment, alongside rapidly growing advertising, marketplace, and membership businesses such as Walmart Connect and Walmart+. Its scale spans more than 10,900 locations globally and a market capitalization approaching $1 trillion.
In recent weeks, Walmart's stock has shown mixed momentum. The company reported solid top-line results with U.S. comparable sales, e-commerce growth, and advertising revenue all advancing, supported by higher-income shoppers seeking value. However, shares pulled back after management reaffirmed a conservative full-year outlook that fell below Wall Street consensus, citing elevated fuel costs, tariffs, and pressure on consumer spending. Investors have also weighed the transition to new CEO John Furner and a premium valuation relative to historical averages. Sentiment remains generally constructive but divided, as analysts acknowledge Walmart's diversified, higher-margin revenue streams while some flag near-term headwinds and an already-rich multiple.
5) Trending AI Robots
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two names is scale versus focus. BJ is a regional, mid-cap operator whose growth depends largely on physical club expansion, membership economics, and fuel traffic. WMT is a diversified mega-cap whose growth increasingly comes from advertising, marketplace, and membership platforms layered on top of a massive store and e-commerce network.
On momentum, BJ has benefited from a sharper growth rate off a smaller base and an upward earnings revision, while Walmart's momentum has been tempered by conservative guidance and a valuation near the top of its historical range. In terms of risk, BJ is more exposed to execution risk in new markets and margin pressure from expansion and pricing investments; Walmart is more exposed to macroeconomic forces such as fuel costs, tariffs, and broad consumer-spending trends. Sector exposure overlaps, but the diversification of Walmart's revenue streams — including international operations — gives it a different risk profile than BJ's concentrated U.S. regional footprint. Market sentiment has been constructive on both, yet more defensive toward Walmart given its premium valuation and more mixed toward BJ given growth-related uncertainty.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward WMT in the current environment. Walmart's diversified revenue base, resilient traffic, and growing higher-margin platform businesses provide a more stable and repeatable earnings trajectory, which tends to align with AI models that prioritize trend consistency and lower relative volatility. BJ presents a compelling growth narrative with fresh catalysts tied to club expansion and membership gains, but its smaller scale, execution sensitivity, and narrower geographic footprint introduce comparatively more variability. A probabilistic framework would therefore favor Walmart for stability-oriented strategies while still recognizing BJ's stronger near-term growth signal. This reflects relative positioning rather than a definitive prediction of future performance.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BJ is a StrongBuy and WMT is a Buy.
BJ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
BJ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 42 of 54 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BJ as a result. In 59 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day moving average for BJ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +4.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BJ advanced for three days, in 175 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 158 of 224 cases where BJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
BJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BJ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.362) is normal, around the industry mean (5.837). P/E Ratio (24.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.624). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.251) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. BJ's P/S Ratio (0.530) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.008).
WMT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In 48 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +5.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 212 of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 362 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (10.312) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.837). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (46.097) as compared to the industry average of (24.624). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
BJ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 94 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BJ's Valuation (90) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (100). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (29). This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
BJ's SMR Rating (35) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (42). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
BJ's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (41). This means that BJ’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BJ (27). This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to BJ’s over the last 12 months.
| BJ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 38% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 49% | 7 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 55% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BJ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while WMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BJ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BJ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BJ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BJ (@Discount Stores) experienced а +4.05% price change this week, while WMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +6.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +3.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
BJ is expected to report earnings on Nov 20, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+3.87% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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BJ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BJ has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BJ jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +3.38% | ||
| COST - WMT | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| DG - WMT | 34% Loosely correlated | +2.63% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +2.59% | ||
| DLTR - WMT | 27% Poorly correlated | +3.53% | ||
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