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BKH vs ES
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Black Hills Corporation (BKH) vs. Eversource Energy (ES) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Black Hills Corporation (BKH) has outperformed Eversource Energy (ES) year-to-date, with a 9.80% gain compared to ES's 6.67%.
- BKH offers a 3.72% dividend yield with 56 years of increases, while ES provides a higher 4.43% yield and recent dividend hike.
- Recent market activity highlights BKH's momentum from data center demand and rate approvals, boosting shares about 8% in recent weeks.
- ES faces regulatory pressures in New England but maintains steady positioning ahead of quarterly earnings.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: $83 for BKH (10% potential) and $72.58 for ES (2% potential).
- Both exhibit low volatility (beta ~0.7), suiting defensive portfolios amid market swings.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits Black Hills Corporation (BKH), a diversified utility serving electric and gas needs in the Midwest and West, against Eversource Energy (ES), a major regulated electric utility focused on New England. Both operate in the stable utilities sector, appealing to dividend-focused investors and traders seeking defensive plays with income amid volatile markets. Recent sector tailwinds like data center demand and rate adjustments provide context for evaluating relative performance, growth drivers, and positioning in today's environment.
BKH Overview and Recent Performance
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) is a diversified energy holding company with electric utilities, gas utilities, and power generation segments, primarily in states like South Dakota, Colorado, and Wyoming. In recent market activity, BKH shares have risen approximately 8% over the past month, trading around $75.50 within a 52-week range of $55.49 to $78.69. Key influences include a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.703 per share—extending a 56-year streak of increases—and a South Dakota rate review seeking $50.6 million in annual revenue. Analyst upgrades citing hyperscaler (large tech data center) opportunities, such as Microsoft's land acquisitions benefiting utilities, have lifted sentiment. Year-to-date gains stand at 9.80%, with a market cap of $5.74 billion and P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 18.97.
ES Overview and Recent Performance
Eversource Energy (ES) delivers electricity, natural gas, and water services across Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, emphasizing regulated operations. Shares have shown resilience, trading near $71.07 in a 52-week range of $58.50 to $76.41, with year-to-date returns of 6.67%. Recent weeks reflect stability amid broader utility sector pressures, including Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) transmission rulings prompting lawsuits from New England utilities. A 5% dividend increase to $3.15 annualized supports income appeal, while upcoming quarterly earnings add focus. With a $26.71 billion market cap and P/E ratio of 15.59, ES benefits from scale but navigates regional regulatory dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) and Eversource Energy (ES) share utilities sector exposure but differ in scale and focus: BKH's smaller, diversified model (gas and electric) contrasts ES's larger regulated electric emphasis. Growth drivers favor BKH via emerging data center demand, while ES relies on steady rate recovery. Recent momentum tilts to BKH with stronger monthly gains; risk profiles align with low betas around 0.7, though ES faces more intense regional regulation. Market sentiment leans positive on BKH due to analyst targets implying greater upside, versus ES's modest potential amid earnings anticipation. Trade-offs include BKH's higher growth volatility versus ES's superior yield and liquidity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward Black Hills Corporation (BKH) over Eversource Energy (ES), based on superior recent trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and catalysts like data center expansion and rate wins. While ES offers higher yield stability, BKH's relative momentum and positioning suggest a probabilistic edge in the near term for trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BKH is a Hold and ES is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileES’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BKH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ES’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ES’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ES’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
BKH (@Gas Distributors) experienced а +0.99% price change this week, while ES (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKH is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
ES is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.75% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| BKH | ES | BKH / ES | |
| Capitalization | 5.6B | 25.8B | 22% |
| EBITDA | 837M | 5.64B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 7.911 | 4.321 | 183% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.14 | 14.71 | 130% |
| Revenue | 2.29B | 13.9B | 16% |
| Total Cash | 23.6M | 270M | 9% |
| Total Debt | 4.66B | 30.3B | 15% |
BKH | ES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 98 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ES's Valuation (19) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as BKH (31). This means that ES’s stock grew similarly to BKH’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ES (98). This means that BKH’s stock grew somewhat faster than ES’s over the last 12 months.
ES's SMR Rating (68) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as BKH (80). This means that ES’s stock grew similarly to BKH’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as ES (53). This means that BKH’s stock grew similarly to ES’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ES (93). This means that BKH’s stock grew somewhat faster than ES’s over the last 12 months.
| BKH | ES | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 52% | 9 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 43% |
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BKH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKH has been closely correlated with D. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BKH jumps, then D could also see price increases.
ES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ES has been closely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ES jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.