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BKSY vs NOVT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BlackSky Technology (BKSY) vs. Novanta (NOVT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BKSY has surged nearly 100% year-to-date (YTD), driven by Gen-3 satellite expansions and contract wins, contrasting NOVT's more modest 11% YTD gain.
- BKSY's market cap stands at $1.39 billion with high volatility (beta 2.25), while NOVT at $4.72 billion offers relative stability (beta 1.64).
- Both stocks operate in industrials but diverge: BKSY in space-based intelligence faces losses (EPS -2.09), NOVT in precision components is profitable (EPS 1.47, P/E 90).
- Recent backlog growth for BKSY (up 32% to $345 million) signals revenue potential, versus NOVT's steady Q4 revenue increase of 9%.
- Analyst targets suggest downside for BKSY ($27.62 average) amid rapid gains, while NOVT ($157) indicates upside potential.
Introduction
This comparison pits BKSY, a leader in real-time space-based intelligence, against NOVT, a provider of precision photonic and motion control solutions. Both firms serve advanced technology sectors amid rising demand for AI-driven analytics and automation. Traders seeking high-momentum plays may eye BKSY's volatility, while investors favoring stability might prefer NOVT's profitability. In the current market, where space economy hype meets industrial resilience, this analysis highlights relative performance, growth drivers, and positioning for portfolio diversification.
BKSY Overview and Recent Performance
BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) delivers AI-enabled geospatial intelligence via its satellite constellation and Spectra platform, targeting government and commercial clients in defense, logistics, and monitoring. Recent market activity has propelled the stock to a 52-week high near $40.62, with YTD returns exceeding 99% and one-year gains over 429%. Sentiment has shifted positively on Gen-3 satellite rollouts, including rapid commissioning and multi-year expansions, alongside a $99 million indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract and backlog growth to $345 million (up 32%). Record 2025 revenue of $107 million and narrowing losses fueled momentum, though high debt and negative EPS underscore risks in recent weeks.
NOVT Overview and Recent Performance
Novanta Inc. (NOVT) designs precision components for medical, robotics, and industrial applications, spanning laser systems, motion control, and imaging tech. The stock trades around $132, with YTD gains of 11% and a 52-week range of $98.27–$149.95. Recent performance reflects steady growth, including Q4 2025 revenue up 9% to $258 million and full-year results nearing $1 billion, bolstered by organic expansion and AI partnerships. Analyst upgrades, such as Baird's to Outperform (target $144), have supported sentiment amid broader industrials strength, though elevated P/E signals valuation pressures in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BKSY and NOVT contrast sharply in business models: BKSY's subscription-based satellite data offers scalable growth in space/defense, while NOVT's components supply recurring revenue in medical/industrials. Growth drivers favor BKSY's contract backlog and Gen-3 catalysts versus NOVT's organic sales. Recent momentum tilts to BKSY's explosive uptrend, but NOVT shows lower risk with profitability. BKSY exposes to high-beta space volatility and losses; NOVT to cyclical industrials. Market sentiment leans bullish on BKSY's wins, balanced by NOVT's upgrades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward BKSY due to superior trend consistency, Gen-3 catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent market positioning. While NOVT provides stability, BKSY's momentum suggests higher probability of near-term upside, contingent on execution amid space sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BKSY is a Hold and NOVT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKSY’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNOVT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BKSY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NOVT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKSY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOVT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKSY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NOVT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BKSY (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а -6.50% price change this week, while NOVT (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price change was -2.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was -0.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.02%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was -1.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKSY is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
NOVT is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (-0.74% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (-1.46% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| BKSY | NOVT | BKSY / NOVT | |
| Capitalization | 998M | 5.39B | 19% |
| EBITDA | -38.52M | 179M | -22% |
| Gain YTD | 43.467 | 27.187 | 160% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 111.99 | - |
| Revenue | 97.8M | 1.01B | 10% |
| Total Cash | 116M | 389M | 30% |
| Total Debt | 211M | 290M | 73% |
BKSY | NOVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 44 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BKSY's Valuation (56) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOVT (92) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that BKSY’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOVT’s over the last 12 months.
NOVT's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as BKSY (100) in the null industry. This means that NOVT’s stock grew similarly to BKSY’s over the last 12 months.
NOVT's SMR Rating (85) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as BKSY (99) in the null industry. This means that NOVT’s stock grew similarly to BKSY’s over the last 12 months.
NOVT's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as BKSY (50) in the null industry. This means that NOVT’s stock grew similarly to BKSY’s over the last 12 months.
NOVT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BKSY (47) in the null industry. This means that NOVT’s stock grew somewhat faster than BKSY’s over the last 12 months.
| BKSY | NOVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 9 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 67% |
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BKSY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKSY has been loosely correlated with SPIR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BKSY jumps, then SPIR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BKSY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKSY | 100% | -5.75% | ||
| SPIR - BKSY | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| NOVT - BKSY | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| FTV - BKSY | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| KEYS - BKSY | 42% Loosely correlated | -5.56% | ||
| MKSI - BKSY | 42% Loosely correlated | -7.46% | ||
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NOVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOVT has been loosely correlated with ST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NOVT jumps, then ST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NOVT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOVT | 100% | -2.78% | ||
| ST - NOVT | 52% Loosely correlated | -5.59% | ||
| VPG - NOVT | 51% Loosely correlated | -4.79% | ||
| BKSY - NOVT | 40% Loosely correlated | -5.75% | ||
| TDY - NOVT | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| VNT - NOVT | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
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