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BKSY vs SPIR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BlackSky Technology (BKSY) vs. Spire Global (SPIR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BlackSky Technology (BKSY) and Spire Global (SPIR) both operate in the space-based data and analytics sector, delivering satellite-derived insights for defense, intelligence, and commercial applications.
- BKSY boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $1.39 billion compared to SPIR's around $685 million, reflecting greater scale.
- Recent developments include BKSY's Gen-3 satellite commissioning and a $99 million sole-source contract, driving positive momentum.
- SPIR secured a $70 million private placement and new partnerships in agriculture and hypersonic tracking, supporting growth amid volatility.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility with betas above 2 (a measure of price sensitivity to market movements), but SPIR shows higher recent price swings.
- Analyst consensus leans toward "Strong Buy" for both, though targets suggest potential downside from current levels.
Introduction
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) and Spire Global (SPIR) represent key players in the burgeoning space technology sector, leveraging satellite constellations for real-time data and analytics. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors eyeing high-growth opportunities in geospatial intelligence and Earth observation amid rising demand from defense, agriculture, and climate monitoring. Traders focused on momentum plays or sector rotation may find value in assessing their relative performance, business models, and recent catalysts in the current market environment. With both stocks showing volatility tied to contract wins and funding events, understanding their head-to-head dynamics aids informed positioning.
BKSY Overview and Recent Performance
BlackSky Technology (BKSY) is a space-based intelligence provider specializing in high-frequency satellite imagery, analytics, and monitoring for government and commercial clients. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $37–$38 per share, reflecting a market cap of about $1.39 billion. Sentiment has been bolstered by the rapid commissioning of its Gen-3 satellites in under a week, enabling general availability, and a multi-year $99 million sole-source U.S. government contract awarded in late March. These milestones, alongside a Q4 earnings beat earlier in the year, have contributed to upward price momentum and heightened investor interest in its real-time ISR (intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) capabilities.
SPIR Overview and Recent Performance
Spire Global (SPIR) operates a constellation of nanosatellites to collect space-based data on weather, maritime, aviation, and Earth intelligence for diverse sectors. Shares have hovered near $19.50, with a market cap around $685 million. Recent weeks have seen volatility, with a 20% surge following a $70 million private placement at $14 per share to fund expansion, alongside advancements in agriculture intelligence via soil moisture integration and selection for hypersonic tracking. Despite a Q4 revenue beat, an EPS miss and guidance for ongoing losses have tempered gains, influencing mixed sentiment in this high-beta environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BKSY and SPIR thrive in space data analytics, but BKSY emphasizes tactical imagery and defense-focused ISR, while SPIR offers broader datasets in weather and cargo tracking. Growth drivers differ: BKSY benefits from government contracts, versus SPIR's commercial diversification and recent funding. Recent momentum favors BKSY's steadier gains on tech rollouts, against SPIR's sharper swings (volatility 46.93% vs. 38.04%). Risk factors include high betas over 2, negative PE ratios, and execution on satellite expansions; sector exposure overlaps in aerospace but SPIR adds climate resilience. Market sentiment tilts toward BKSY's scale amid defense spending.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BKSY over SPIR, based on superior trend consistency from large contract awards and satellite advancements, alongside a larger market position and relatively lower volatility. While SPIR offers upside from funding and partnerships, its higher risk profile and dilution concerns reduce probabilistic edge in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BKSY is a Hold and SPIR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKSY’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileSPIR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BKSY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SPIR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKSY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPIR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKSY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SPIR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
BKSY (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а -6.73% price change this week, while SPIR (@Office Equipment/Supplies) price change was +6.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +5.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKSY is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
SPIR is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+5.37% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
| BKSY | SPIR | BKSY / SPIR | |
| Capitalization | 1.2B | 706M | 170% |
| EBITDA | -38.52M | 68.5M | -56% |
| Gain YTD | 72.907 | 143.067 | 51% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 11.47 | - |
| Revenue | 97.8M | 63.5M | 154% |
| Total Cash | 116M | 49.5M | 234% |
| Total Debt | 211M | 11.8M | 1,788% |
BKSY | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BKSY | SPIR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 89% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 88% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 86% | 5 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 87% | 8 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 79% |
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BKSY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKSY has been loosely correlated with SPIR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BKSY jumps, then SPIR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BKSY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKSY | 100% | -9.87% | ||
| SPIR - BKSY | 62% Loosely correlated | -7.88% | ||
| NOVT - BKSY | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| FTV - BKSY | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| KEYS - BKSY | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| MKSI - BKSY | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.00% | ||
More | ||||
SPIR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPIR has been loosely correlated with BKSY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPIR jumps, then BKSY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPIR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPIR | 100% | -7.88% | ||
| BKSY - SPIR | 59% Loosely correlated | -9.87% | ||
| EXPO - SPIR | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| ARLO - SPIR | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| AMTM - SPIR | 31% Poorly correlated | +3.53% | ||
| COE - SPIR | 29% Poorly correlated | -8.45% | ||
More | ||||