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BMA vs SUPV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) vs. Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) and Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) are both Argentine regional banks offering retail, corporate, and financial services, with exposure to the same macroeconomic environment in Argentina.
- In recent market activity, BMA has maintained a larger market capitalization and announced dividend distributions, while SUPV has exhibited higher price volatility amid earnings reports.
- Both stocks have faced downward pressure in broader timeframes, reflecting sector challenges such as currency fluctuations and interest rate dynamics in Argentina.
- BMA demonstrates relatively greater scale in assets and branch network compared to the smaller SUPV, influencing liquidity and investor positioning.
- Market sentiment for both remains tied to Argentine economic indicators, with limited differentiation in recent weeks beyond company-specific capital returns and operational updates.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in size versus potential agility, with neither showing consistent outperformance in the latest period.
Introduction
This comparison examines BMA and SUPV, two publicly traded Argentine banks listed on the NYSE as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). Both operate primarily in retail and corporate banking within Argentina, making them relevant for investors seeking exposure to emerging-market financial services. Traders and portfolio managers focused on sector peers, macroeconomic influences from Latin America, or relative value opportunities may find this analysis useful for assessing positioning within a volatile regional banking landscape.
BMA Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Macro S.A. (BMA) provides a range of banking products including deposits, loans, credit cards, and foreign trade services to retail and corporate clients across Argentina. The company operates a network of branches and emphasizes services tailored to regional economies. In recent weeks, BMA stock has traded in a range influenced by broader market sentiment toward Argentine financials, with price movements reflecting ongoing economic adjustments. Key developments include announcements regarding dividend distributions, which have supported investor attention amid capital return initiatives. Overall sentiment has been shaped by the bank’s scale and liquidity profile, contributing to relatively stable positioning compared to smaller peers during periods of market fluctuation.
SUPV Overview and Recent Performance
Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV) functions as a financial services holding company offering personal and business banking, corporate lending, insurance, and asset management services primarily in Argentina. Its operations include loans, deposits, and digital banking solutions through a network of branches and ATMs. In recent market activity, SUPV has displayed notable price swings tied to earnings releases and sector-wide pressures. Performance has been affected by mixed results in quarterly reports and sensitivity to local economic conditions. Sentiment reflects the company’s smaller scale, which can amplify both upside potential and downside risks during shifts in investor appetite for Argentine equities.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, BMA operates with greater scale as a standalone regional bank, while SUPV functions as a holding company with diversified segments including insurance and asset management, offering potentially broader revenue streams but added complexity. Growth drivers for both center on Argentina’s economic recovery, though BMA benefits from a larger deposit base and corporate client relationships. Recent momentum shows BMA with more consistent dividend-related catalysts, whereas SUPV has encountered sharper swings linked to earnings variability. Risk factors include shared exposure to currency and regulatory changes in Argentina, with SUPV carrying higher relative volatility due to its smaller market capitalization. Sector exposure remains aligned in regional banking, yet market sentiment has occasionally favored larger players like BMA for perceived stability during uncertain periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, capital return initiatives, and relative positioning within the Argentine banking sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term characteristics to BMA over SUPV. This assessment draws from BMA’s larger scale and recent dividend activity, which may support more stable sentiment compared to the higher volatility observed in SUPV. Outcomes remain subject to broader market and economic variables.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BMA is a Hold and SUPV is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BMA’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSUPV’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BMA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SUPV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BMA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SUPV’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BMA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SUPV’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BMA (@Regional Banks) experienced а -2.67% price change this week, while SUPV (@Regional Banks) price change was -8.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
BMA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
SUPV is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+1.32% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BMA | SUPV | BMA / SUPV | |
| Capitalization | 6.39B | 995M | 642% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 11.491 | -12.690 | -91% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.62 | 37.62 | 65% |
| Revenue | 4.71T | 1.15T | 411% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.48T | 119B | 1,245% |
BMA | SUPV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BMA's Valuation (21) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SUPV (79) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA’s stock grew somewhat faster than SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SUPV (65) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA’s stock grew similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's SMR Rating (1) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SUPV (1) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA’s stock grew similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SUPV (39) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA’s stock grew similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
BMA's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SUPV (7) in the Major Banks industry. This means that BMA’s stock grew similarly to SUPV’s over the last 12 months.
| BMA | SUPV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 81% | 6 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 78% | 16 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 82% |
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SUPV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SUPV has been closely correlated with BBAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SUPV jumps, then BBAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SUPV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPV | 100% | -9.31% | ||
| BBAR - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -4.16% | ||
| GGAL - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -5.35% | ||
| BMA - SUPV | 93% Closely correlated | -4.33% | ||
| BSAC - SUPV | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| CIB - SUPV | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
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