Investors evaluating regional banking opportunities in U.S. territories often encounter two prominent names: BPOP (Popular, Inc.) and FBP (First BanCorp.). Both are financial holding companies headquartered in Puerto Rico, operating in a market shaped by unique economic dynamics, federal recovery funding, and a concentrated competitive landscape. This stock comparison examines how these two institutions stack up across profitability, growth trajectory, risk factors, and market positioning. For traders and long-term investors assessing banks with meaningful exposure to the Caribbean and select U.S. mainland markets, understanding the nuances that distinguish BPOP from FBP is essential for informed decision-making in the current market environment.
BPOP (Popular, Inc.) is the largest financial institution in Puerto Rico and one of the most deeply entrenched banking franchises on the island, with over 125 years of operating history. Through its two primary segments — Banco Popular de Puerto Rico (BPPR) and Banco Popular North America (BPNA) — the company serves retail, mortgage, and commercial banking customers across Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the mainland United States, with notable operations in New York, Florida, and New Jersey.
In recent months, BPOP has generated considerable investor attention following its full-year 2025 financial results. The company reported annual net income of $833 million, representing a 36% increase compared to 2024. Net interest income reached $2.54 billion for the year, while the net interest margin expanded to 3.61% in Q4 2025, supported by higher loan balances and lower deposit costs. Tangible book value per share grew 21% year-over-year to $82.65, reflecting both strong earnings and a reduction in unrealized losses on the investment securities portfolio. The company actively returned capital to shareholders, repurchasing approximately $500 million in common stock during 2025 and raising its quarterly dividend to $0.75 per share. Credit quality metrics remained generally stable, with net charge-offs (NCOs) — loans unlikely to be collected — at 52 basis points for the full year, a 16-basis-point improvement from 2024. Management has guided for 3%–4% loan growth and 5%–7% net interest income expansion in 2026.
FBP (First BanCorp.), the bank holding company for FirstBank Puerto Rico, operates as the second-largest bank on the island with a growing presence in Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Its business model spans commercial lending, consumer banking, and residential mortgage origination, serving a diversified client base of individuals, small-to-medium enterprises, and larger corporations across its geographic footprint.
FBP has delivered a compelling performance narrative in recent market activity. The company closed 2025 with record annual revenues surpassing $1 billion, net income of $345 million, and earnings per share growing 19% year-over-year to $2.15. The bank's net interest margin of 4.68% in Q4 2025 stands as one of the strongest among U.S. regional banks, driven by disciplined deposit-cost management and strategic reinvestment of maturing securities into higher-yielding assets. FBP's efficiency ratio improved to 49.3%, reflecting top-quartile operational discipline, while its return on average assets (ROA) reached 1.81% — a metric that measures how efficiently a bank uses its assets to generate profit. The bank maintained strong asset quality, with non-performing assets declining to an all-time low of 60 basis points of total assets. Capital management has been a hallmark: FBP returned approximately 95% of adjusted earnings to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, including an 11% increase to its quarterly dividend, now $0.20 per share. Tangible book value per share climbed 24% year-over-year to $12.29.
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While both BPOP and FBP share a common economic anchor in Puerto Rico, several contrasts define their investment profiles. Scale is the most obvious differentiator: BPOP's $39.3 billion loan portfolio and $66.2 billion deposit base dwarf FBP's $13.1 billion in loans. This scale advantage gives BPOP deeper market penetration — it holds the #1 deposit market share in Puerto Rico — but also means its growth rates tend to be more measured. FBP, as the more agile #2, has consistently posted stronger profitability ratios, including a higher NIM (4.68% versus 3.61%) and superior return on tangible common equity (ROTCE).
Geographic diversification represents another key trade-off. BPOP maintains a substantial U.S. mainland presence through its Popular Bank subsidiary, offering partial insulation from Puerto Rico-specific economic shocks. FBP's operations, while expanding in Florida, remain more concentrated on the island, which can amplify both upside from federal reconstruction spending and downside from local economic headwinds. On capital deployment, both banks have been aggressive: BPOP repurchased $500 million in shares in 2025, while FBP returned close to 100% of earnings to shareholders. FBP's dividend yield has historically trended higher, though BPOP's recent $0.75 quarterly payout reflects growing confidence in sustainable earnings. Risk-wise, both banks face the same overarching concern — exposure to Puerto Rico's economic cycles, natural disaster risk, and the pace of federal disaster relief fund disbursement. BPOP's larger commercial loan book introduces additional credit concentration considerations, while FBP's smaller consumer portfolio may face pressure as inflation-sensitive households adjust spending patterns.
Based on observable metrics available through recent financial disclosures and market data, Tickeron's AI-driven framework would likely lean toward FBP as the more compelling opportunity in the current environment. The rationale centers on FBP's superior net interest margin and efficiency ratio, which suggest that the bank is extracting more profit from each dollar of assets — a quality that quantitative models often reward in the regional banking sector. FBP's consistent track record of returning nearly all earnings to shareholders, combined with an all-time low in non-performing assets, signals both discipline and stability. That said, this assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive. BPOP offers diversification advantages and significantly larger absolute earnings power that may appeal to AI strategies emphasizing lower volatility and broader revenue streams. The relative positioning of these two stocks depends heavily on which factors — margin quality, scale, diversification, or capital return — a given model prioritizes, and market conditions can shift that calculus over time.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BPOP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFBP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BPOP’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FBP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
BPOP (@Regional Banks) experienced а +0.51% price change this week, while FBP (@Regional Banks) price change was +1.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.11%.
BPOP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
FBP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BPOP | FBP | BPOP / FBP | |
| Capitalization | 11.3B | 4.49B | 252% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 43.706 | 44.250 | 99% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.96 | 12.40 | 96% |
| Revenue | 3.12B | 970M | 322% |
| Total Cash | 403M | 684M | 59% |
| Total Debt | 1.22B | 290M | 421% |
BPOP | FBP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 39 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BPOP's Valuation (60) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FBP (61). This means that BPOP’s stock grew similarly to FBP’s over the last 12 months.
FBP's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (12). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.
BPOP's SMR Rating (14) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FBP (24). This means that BPOP’s stock grew similarly to FBP’s over the last 12 months.
FBP's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (41). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.
FBP's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (46). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.
| BPOP | FBP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 16 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 54% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DRUP | 70.62 | 0.91 | +1.31% |
| GraniteShares Nasdaq Sel Disruptors ETF | |||
| SFY | 155.09 | 1.34 | +0.87% |
| SoFi Select 500 ETF | |||
| FDVV | 64.33 | 0.50 | +0.78% |
| Fidelity High Dividend ETF | |||
| HYXF | 46.53 | 0.05 | +0.11% |
| iShares ESG Advanced Hi Yld Corp Bd ETF | |||
| LULG | 6.45 | -0.13 | -1.96% |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long LULU Daily ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BPOP has been closely correlated with FBP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BPOP jumps, then FBP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BPOP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BPOP | 100% | +0.48% | ||
| FBP - BPOP | 86% Closely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| UCB - BPOP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| ASB - BPOP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| FNB - BPOP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| AUB - BPOP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.52% | ||
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