BPOP
Price
$177.84
Change
+$0.81 (+0.46%)
Updated
Aug 14, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
11.28B
75 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
FBP
Price
$29.70
Change
+$0.31 (+1.05%)
Updated
Aug 14, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
4.49B
75 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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BPOP vs FBP

BPOP vs FBP Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Jul 27, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? Popular, Inc. (BPOP) vs. First BanCorp. (FBP) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Both banks are dominant players in Puerto Rico's financial sector, yet BPOP operates at roughly three times the asset scale of FBP.
  • FBP delivers a superior net interest margin (NIM) — the difference between interest earned on loans and paid on deposits — reaching 4.68% in Q4 2025, compared to BPOP's 3.61%.
  • BPOP reported significantly higher absolute earnings, with full-year 2025 net income of $833 million, versus FBP's $345 million, reflecting its larger balance sheet.
  • Both institutions maintain strong capital positions, with Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratios — a key measure of financial strength — of 15.72% for BPOP and 16.8% for FBP.
  • Efficiency ratios favor FBP at 49.3%, indicating lower operating costs relative to revenue, while BPOP's efficiency metrics have been improving alongside its broader transformation initiatives.
  • Geographic concentration in Puerto Rico remains the defining risk factor for both stocks, though BPOP offers greater diversification through its U.S. mainland operations.

Introduction

Investors evaluating regional banking opportunities in U.S. territories often encounter two prominent names: BPOP (Popular, Inc.) and FBP (First BanCorp.). Both are financial holding companies headquartered in Puerto Rico, operating in a market shaped by unique economic dynamics, federal recovery funding, and a concentrated competitive landscape. This stock comparison examines how these two institutions stack up across profitability, growth trajectory, risk factors, and market positioning. For traders and long-term investors assessing banks with meaningful exposure to the Caribbean and select U.S. mainland markets, understanding the nuances that distinguish BPOP from FBP is essential for informed decision-making in the current market environment.

BPOP Overview and Recent Performance

BPOP (Popular, Inc.) is the largest financial institution in Puerto Rico and one of the most deeply entrenched banking franchises on the island, with over 125 years of operating history. Through its two primary segments — Banco Popular de Puerto Rico (BPPR) and Banco Popular North America (BPNA) — the company serves retail, mortgage, and commercial banking customers across Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the mainland United States, with notable operations in New York, Florida, and New Jersey.

In recent months, BPOP has generated considerable investor attention following its full-year 2025 financial results. The company reported annual net income of $833 million, representing a 36% increase compared to 2024. Net interest income reached $2.54 billion for the year, while the net interest margin expanded to 3.61% in Q4 2025, supported by higher loan balances and lower deposit costs. Tangible book value per share grew 21% year-over-year to $82.65, reflecting both strong earnings and a reduction in unrealized losses on the investment securities portfolio. The company actively returned capital to shareholders, repurchasing approximately $500 million in common stock during 2025 and raising its quarterly dividend to $0.75 per share. Credit quality metrics remained generally stable, with net charge-offs (NCOs) — loans unlikely to be collected — at 52 basis points for the full year, a 16-basis-point improvement from 2024. Management has guided for 3%–4% loan growth and 5%–7% net interest income expansion in 2026.

FBP Overview and Recent Performance

FBP (First BanCorp.), the bank holding company for FirstBank Puerto Rico, operates as the second-largest bank on the island with a growing presence in Florida and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Its business model spans commercial lending, consumer banking, and residential mortgage origination, serving a diversified client base of individuals, small-to-medium enterprises, and larger corporations across its geographic footprint.

FBP has delivered a compelling performance narrative in recent market activity. The company closed 2025 with record annual revenues surpassing $1 billion, net income of $345 million, and earnings per share growing 19% year-over-year to $2.15. The bank's net interest margin of 4.68% in Q4 2025 stands as one of the strongest among U.S. regional banks, driven by disciplined deposit-cost management and strategic reinvestment of maturing securities into higher-yielding assets. FBP's efficiency ratio improved to 49.3%, reflecting top-quartile operational discipline, while its return on average assets (ROA) reached 1.81% — a metric that measures how efficiently a bank uses its assets to generate profit. The bank maintained strong asset quality, with non-performing assets declining to an all-time low of 60 basis points of total assets. Capital management has been a hallmark: FBP returned approximately 95% of adjusted earnings to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, including an 11% increase to its quarterly dividend, now $0.20 per share. Tangible book value per share climbed 24% year-over-year to $12.29.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

While both BPOP and FBP share a common economic anchor in Puerto Rico, several contrasts define their investment profiles. Scale is the most obvious differentiator: BPOP's $39.3 billion loan portfolio and $66.2 billion deposit base dwarf FBP's $13.1 billion in loans. This scale advantage gives BPOP deeper market penetration — it holds the #1 deposit market share in Puerto Rico — but also means its growth rates tend to be more measured. FBP, as the more agile #2, has consistently posted stronger profitability ratios, including a higher NIM (4.68% versus 3.61%) and superior return on tangible common equity (ROTCE).

Geographic diversification represents another key trade-off. BPOP maintains a substantial U.S. mainland presence through its Popular Bank subsidiary, offering partial insulation from Puerto Rico-specific economic shocks. FBP's operations, while expanding in Florida, remain more concentrated on the island, which can amplify both upside from federal reconstruction spending and downside from local economic headwinds. On capital deployment, both banks have been aggressive: BPOP repurchased $500 million in shares in 2025, while FBP returned close to 100% of earnings to shareholders. FBP's dividend yield has historically trended higher, though BPOP's recent $0.75 quarterly payout reflects growing confidence in sustainable earnings. Risk-wise, both banks face the same overarching concern — exposure to Puerto Rico's economic cycles, natural disaster risk, and the pace of federal disaster relief fund disbursement. BPOP's larger commercial loan book introduces additional credit concentration considerations, while FBP's smaller consumer portfolio may face pressure as inflation-sensitive households adjust spending patterns.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable metrics available through recent financial disclosures and market data, Tickeron's AI-driven framework would likely lean toward FBP as the more compelling opportunity in the current environment. The rationale centers on FBP's superior net interest margin and efficiency ratio, which suggest that the bank is extracting more profit from each dollar of assets — a quality that quantitative models often reward in the regional banking sector. FBP's consistent track record of returning nearly all earnings to shareholders, combined with an all-time low in non-performing assets, signals both discipline and stability. That said, this assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive. BPOP offers diversification advantages and significantly larger absolute earnings power that may appeal to AI strategies emphasizing lower volatility and broader revenue streams. The relative positioning of these two stocks depends heavily on which factors — margin quality, scale, diversification, or capital return — a given model prioritizes, and market conditions can shift that calculus over time.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
BPOP vs. FBP commentary
Aug 15, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BPOP is a Hold and FBP is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 15, 2026
Stock price -- (BPOP: $177.03 vs. FBP: $29.39)
Brand notoriety: BPOP and FBP are both not notable
Both companies represent the Regional Banks industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: BPOP: 51% vs. FBP: 74%
Market capitalization -- BPOP: $11.28B vs. FBP: $4.49B
BPOP [@Regional Banks] is valued at $11.28B. FBP’s [@Regional Banks] market capitalization is $4.49B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Regional Banks] industry ranges from $142.82B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Regional Banks] industry is $6.55B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

BPOP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFBP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • BPOP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • FBP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, both BPOP and FBP are a good buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

BPOP’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FBP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • BPOP’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
  • FBP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, FBP is a better buy in the short-term than BPOP.

Price Growth

BPOP (@Regional Banks) experienced а +0.51% price change this week, while FBP (@Regional Banks) price change was +1.14% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.11%.

Reported Earning Dates

BPOP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.

FBP is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Regional Banks (+1.26% weekly)

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
BPOP($11.3B) has a higher market cap than FBP($4.49B). FBP (12.40) and BPOP (11.96) have similar P/E ratio . FBP (44.250) and BPOP (43.706) have similar YTD gains . FBP has more cash in the bank: 684M vs. BPOP (403M). FBP has less debt than BPOP: FBP (290M) vs BPOP (1.22B). BPOP has higher revenues than FBP: BPOP (3.12B) vs FBP (970M).
BPOPFBPBPOP / FBP
Capitalization11.3B4.49B252%
EBITDAN/AN/A-
Gain YTD43.70644.25099%
P/E Ratio11.9612.4096%
Revenue3.12B970M322%
Total Cash403M684M59%
Total Debt1.22B290M421%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
BPOP vs FBP: Fundamental Ratings
BPOP
FBP
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
8822
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
60
Fair valued
61
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
124
SMR RATING
1..100
1424
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
4140
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
4639
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

BPOP's Valuation (60) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FBP (61). This means that BPOP’s stock grew similarly to FBP’s over the last 12 months.

FBP's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (12). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.

BPOP's SMR Rating (14) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FBP (24). This means that BPOP’s stock grew similarly to FBP’s over the last 12 months.

FBP's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (41). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.

FBP's P/E Growth Rating (39) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BPOP (46). This means that FBP’s stock grew similarly to BPOP’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
BPOPFBP
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
49%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
49%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
54%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
58%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 16 days ago
58%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
54%
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BPOP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
FBP
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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BPOP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BPOP has been closely correlated with FBP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BPOP jumps, then FBP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To BPOP
1D Price
Change %
BPOP100%
+0.48%
FBP - BPOP
86%
Closely correlated
+0.62%
UCB - BPOP
81%
Closely correlated
+0.99%
ASB - BPOP
81%
Closely correlated
+0.09%
FNB - BPOP
81%
Closely correlated
+0.31%
AUB - BPOP
81%
Closely correlated
+0.52%
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