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BTI vs TPB
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BTI is a Hold and TPB is a Hold.
BTI in +4.22% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 15, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where BTI advanced for three days, in 235 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BTI as a result. In 49 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTI just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where BTI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
BTI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for BTI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
BTI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BTI entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.885) is normal, around the industry mean (16.498). P/E Ratio (14.572) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.415) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.058) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.521) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BTI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
TPB's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TPB moved out of oversold territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 27 of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 58 cases where TPB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPB as a result. In 62 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPB just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +9.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPB advanced for three days, in 233 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
TPB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for TPB entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.815) is normal, around the industry mean (16.498). P/E Ratio (26.252) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.048) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.701) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TPB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock worse than average.
BTI | TPB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 83 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (9) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPB (63). This means that BTI’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPB’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for TPB (85). This means that BTI’s stock grew significantly faster than TPB’s over the last 12 months.
TPB's SMR Rating (59) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (99). This means that TPB’s stock grew somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as TPB (83). This means that BTI’s stock grew similarly to TPB’s over the last 12 months.
TPB's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (90). This means that TPB’s stock grew similarly to BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | TPB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 34% | 1 day ago 57% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TPB’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TPB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TPB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а +4.64% price change this week, while TPB (@Tobacco) price change was +5.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -2.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
TPB is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-2.66% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with PM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then PM could also see price increases.
TPB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPB has been loosely correlated with PM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 37% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPB jumps, then PM could also see price increases.