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BTI vs TPB
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BTI is a StrongBuy and TPB is a Buy.
BTI in +1.60% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 11, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where BTI advanced for three days, in 239 of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 51 cases where BTI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BTI as a result. In 45 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
BTI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BTI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 143 of 294 cases where BTI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BTI moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTI turned negative on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
BTI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BTI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.709) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.297). P/E Ratio (20.817) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.512). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.415) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.054) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.521) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
TPB in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 11, 2026
TPB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 41 cases where TPB's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +5.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPB advanced for three days, in 231 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 166 of 222 cases where TPB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPB as a result. In 52 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPB turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
TPB moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TPB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.071) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.297). P/E Ratio (28.154) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.512). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.048) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.701) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TPB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
BTI | TPB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 77 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (71) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as TPB (74). This means that BTI’s stock grew similarly to TPB’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for TPB (90). This means that BTI’s stock grew significantly faster than TPB’s over the last 12 months.
TPB's SMR Rating (59) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (99). This means that TPB’s stock grew somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPB (77). This means that BTI’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPB’s over the last 12 months.
TPB's P/E Growth Rating (55) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (80). This means that TPB’s stock grew similarly to BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | TPB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 11 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 75% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TPB’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPB’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а +1.64% price change this week, while TPB (@Tobacco) price change was -15.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -6.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
TPB is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-6.81% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
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TPB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPB has been loosely correlated with PM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 37% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPB jumps, then PM could also see price increases.