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ABEV vs BUD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ambev S.A. (ABEV) vs. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ABEV and BUD have delivered approximately 17% year-to-date (YTD) gains, reflecting resilient performance in the beverage sector.
- ABEV offers a higher dividend yield of 9.53% compared to BUD's 1.78%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- ABEV trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.5 versus BUD's 22.3, indicating relative value.
- BUD boasts a larger market capitalization of $146 billion and broader global exposure.
- Recent analyst sentiment shows mixed views for ABEV with a downgrade, while BUD benefits from raised price targets.
- Tickeron's AI models currently favor BUD for its diversification and momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits ABEV, a dominant brewer in Latin America and a subsidiary of BUD, against its global parent company, BUD, the world's largest beer producer. Investors eyeing the alcoholic beverages sector—particularly those balancing regional value plays with international growth opportunities—will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuation metrics, and market positioning. Amid shifting consumer preferences toward premium products and economic sensitivities in emerging markets, this head-to-head highlights key trade-offs in stability, yield, and expansion potential.
ABEV Overview and Recent Performance
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) is a leading beverage company focused on beer, soft drinks, and other non-alcoholic products primarily in Brazil, where it holds about 69% of the beer market share, as well as in other Latin American countries. The stock has shown stability with a low beta of 0.31, trading around $2.90 recently, supported by a market cap of $45 billion, earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20, and a robust dividend yield. In recent market activity, ABEV has outperformed consumer staples peers YTD with gains around 17%, driven by strong profitability trends and revenue growth in Brazil's beer segment. Sentiment has been influenced by positive growth outlooks tempered by a recent UBS downgrade citing risk/reward concerns, alongside broader economic factors in emerging markets.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) is a global beverage giant producing over 500 beer brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across regions including North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, with a market cap exceeding $146 billion. Trading near $75.56, it features a P/E ratio of 22.3, EPS of $3.39, and a beta of 0.79, reflecting moderate volatility. Recent weeks have seen steady YTD appreciation of about 17%, bolstered by U.S. manufacturing investments totaling $600 million, partnerships for events like the FIFA World Cup, and focus on non-alcoholic and premium products amid volume stabilization. Upcoming quarterly earnings and analyst upgrades have supported positive sentiment, offsetting prior volume challenges in key markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ABEV and BUD operate in the beer industry but differ markedly in scale and geography: ABEV dominates Latin America with regional efficiency, while BUD leverages a diversified global portfolio for premiumization growth. Recent momentum is comparable YTD, but ABEV's lower beta and higher yield suit defensive plays, contrasting BUD's higher volatility and expansion catalysts like U.S. investments. Risk factors include currency fluctuations for ABEV and competitive pressures for BUD. Market sentiment favors BUD with greater upside to analyst targets (16% vs. 10%).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward BUD based on its superior market positioning, global diversification, recent operational expansions, and stronger relative analyst upside potential. While ABEV offers compelling value and yield, BUD's trend consistency and catalysts suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid premium beer demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABEV is a Hold and BUD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABEV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBUD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ABEV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABEV’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BUD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABEV’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ABEV (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а -3.96% price change this week, while BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +2.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -1.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABEV is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
BUD is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-1.18% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| ABEV | BUD | ABEV / BUD | |
| Capitalization | 50.4B | 156B | 32% |
| EBITDA | 29B | 15.8B | 184% |
| Gain YTD | 27.530 | 27.948 | 99% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.57 | 22.37 | 70% |
| Revenue | 88.2B | 61B | 145% |
| Total Cash | 19.6B | 5.28B | 371% |
| Total Debt | 3.11B | 73B | 4% |
ABEV | BUD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 4 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABEV's Valuation (18) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (53). This means that ABEV’s stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (67). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's SMR Rating (51) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (76). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (46). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's P/E Growth Rating (37) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (50). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
| ABEV | BUD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 47% |
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| BUZZ | 37.71 | 0.57 | +1.53% |
| VanEck Social Sentiment ETF | |||
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +0.74% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 58% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.32% | ||
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