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ABEV vs BUD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ambev (ABEV) vs. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Common ownership, different footprints: ABEV (Ambev) is a Latin America and Canada-focused brewer that is majority-controlled by BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), the world's largest brewer.
- Growth profile differs: BUD has delivered stronger top-line momentum and premiumization gains, while ABEV has shown notable margin expansion and cash-flow improvement despite a softer revenue result.
- Valuation gap: ABEV trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple than BUD, reflecting its narrower geographic exposure and currency sensitivity.
- Momentum contrast: BUD has outperformed over the past year, while ABEV's relative performance has been more modest and uneven.
- For more detail, explore ABEV Major News and ABEV Today's Price Move, as well as BUD Major News and BUD Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the market, visit Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors evaluating beer and beverage stocks often weigh scale and global diversification against regional growth and valuation. ABEV and BUD offer a compelling side-by-side because they share a controlling relationship yet occupy very different market positions. Ambev focuses on Brazil, Central America, the Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada, while Anheuser-Busch InBev spans more than 400 brands across roughly every major market. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors weighing emerging-market consumer exposure against a diversified global franchise, and for those tracking how premiumization and digital distribution are reshaping the beverage sector.
ABEV Overview and Recent Performance
Ambev S.A., traded on the NYSE as ABEV, is one of Latin America's largest beverage companies, producing beer, soft drinks, and non-alcoholic beverages across Brazil and neighboring regions. In recent weeks, its performance has been defined by solid operating execution tempered by a top-line shortfall. In its most recent quarterly report, adjusted earnings per American Depositary Share (ADS) came in line with expectations, while revenue of roughly $3.97 billion missed consensus estimates.
Beneath the headline, the results showed resilience: beer volumes grew by a mid-single-digit percentage, gross margin expanded by about 200 basis points (a basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point), and normalized EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose nearly 9%. Operating cash flow also strengthened materially. Sentiment has been influenced by a combination of foreign-exchange and commodity cost pressures, weather effects in key markets, and stepped-up marketing investment tied to the FIFA World Cup. The company continues to emphasize premium brands, its BEES business-to-business digital platform, and the Zé Delivery direct-to-consumer service as core growth levers.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV, listed on the NYSE as BUD, is the world's largest brewer, headquartered in Leuven, Belgium, with a portfolio that includes Budweiser, Corona, Stella Artois, and Michelob Ultra. Its recent market activity reflects a stronger momentum profile: the stock has gained well into double-digit percentages over the trailing year and has traded near the upper end of its 52-week range.
In its latest quarterly results, reported revenue increased on an organic basis while profitability rose sharply, with underlying earnings per share climbing more than 20% year over year. Growth has been driven by premiumization, with no-alcohol beer revenue up strongly and the "Beyond Beer" category (products such as ready-to-drink cocktails) expanding rapidly. The company has also advanced its balance-sheet priorities, improving its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio and progressing a large share-repurchase program. Investor sentiment has been supported by these catalysts, though a soft consumer backdrop in certain markets and foreign-exchange headwinds remain watch items.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
At the business-model level, both companies are brewers, but their risk and growth exposures diverge sharply. BUD offers global diversification across mature and emerging markets, with about 70% of EBITDA historically generated in developing economies and a premium brand portfolio that supports pricing power. ABEV concentrates that same thesis into Latin America and Canada, giving it higher sensitivity to the Brazilian real, local inflation, and regional weather patterns.
On growth drivers, BUD's premiumization, no-alcohol, and Beyond Beer initiatives are scaling globally and showing stronger revenue momentum. ABEV's growth is more tied to Brazil beer volume recovery, premium brand expansion, and its digital ecosystem. On financial positioning, ABEV carries a notably lighter debt load relative to its earnings, while BUD operates with higher leverage that it has been steadily reducing. Valuation also differs: ABEV trades at a lower trailing P/E multiple, whereas BUD commands a premium reflective of its scale and diversification. From a sentiment standpoint, BUD's relative performance has been stronger over recent months, while ABEV's share of investor attention remains tied to regional catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, catalyst breadth, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward BUD in the current environment. The stock's stronger trailing momentum, more diversified revenue base, and robust premiumization trends provide a steadier trend profile. That said, ABEV presents a distinct valuation and cash-flow case that could appeal in a scenario favoring Latin American consumer recovery. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and relative positioning can shift as new earnings and market data emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABEV is a Hold and BUD is a Buy.
ABEV in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026
ABEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 42 cases where ABEV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ABEV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 60 cases where ABEV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ABEV as a result. In 55 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +1.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ABEV advanced for three days, in 166 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ABEV turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
ABEV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ABEV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for ABEV moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ABEV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.487) is normal, around the industry mean (1.331). P/E Ratio (2.676) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.154). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.856) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. ABEV's P/S Ratio (2.729) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.539).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ABEV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
BUD in +2.49% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 10, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where BUD advanced for three days, in 184 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BUD as a result. In 41 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BUD just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where BUD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
BUD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BUD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 40%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 136 of 264 cases where BUD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BUD moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 48%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BUD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
BUD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BUD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.768) is normal, around the industry mean (1.331). BUD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (17.751) as compared to the industry average of (-0.154). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.583) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. BUD's P/S Ratio (2.564) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.539).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ABEV | BUD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABEV's Valuation (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (65). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (38). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's SMR Rating (49) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (68). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (59). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (96). This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
| ABEV | BUD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 58% | 14 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 52% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABEV’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while BUD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ABEV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- BUD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABEV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BUD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABEV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ABEV (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +4.92% price change this week, while BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +6.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -1.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABEV is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
BUD is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-1.70% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
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ABEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABEV has been loosely correlated with BUD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ABEV jumps, then BUD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ABEV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABEV | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| BUD - ABEV | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| CCU - ABEV | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| FMX - ABEV | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| DEO - ABEV | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.25% | ||
| TAP - ABEV | 28% Poorly correlated | -0.73% | ||
More | ||||
BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with ABEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then ABEV could also see price increases.