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CAG vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAG (Conagra Brands) has faced significant pressure in 2026, with year-to-date returns around -11% to -17% amid a 50% dividend reduction and restructuring initiatives.
- MDLZ (Mondelez International) has shown stronger relative performance, posting year-to-date gains of approximately 12% to 14%, supported by consistent analyst buy ratings and upcoming earnings.
- Both companies operate in the consumer staples sector but differ in product focus: CAG emphasizes packaged foods with supply chain investments, while MDLZ focuses on global snacks with brand expansion efforts.
- Recent market activity highlights CAG's challenges with debt levels and dividend adjustments versus MDLZ's resilience in revenue growth and analyst support.
- Sentiment around MDLZ appears more constructive in the recent period due to outperformance versus the S&P 500 benchmark, while CAG shows signs of stabilization following prior declines.
- Relative positioning favors stability in MDLZ based on observable momentum and valuation signals in current market conditions.
Introduction
Conagra Brands (CAG) and Mondelez International (MDLZ) represent two established players in the consumer staples sector, offering investors exposure to packaged foods and snacks. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative performance amid broader market dynamics. Traders and investors focused on sector rotation, dividend strategies, or defensive positioning may find this analysis relevant when evaluating holdings or constructing portfolios. The review draws on verifiable data from financial platforms to highlight contrasts in momentum, risk profiles, and market sentiment without forward-looking speculation.
CAG Overview and Recent Performance
Conagra Brands (CAG) produces and markets packaged foods including frozen meals, snacks, and condiments under brands such as Birds Eye and Slim Jim. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $14.77 to $14.80, reflecting year-to-date declines of approximately 11% to 17% compared to the S&P 500. Factors influencing performance include a reported 50% dividend cut, ongoing restructuring, and a $125 million supply chain resilience investment. Earnings trends show mixed results, with prior quarters noting organic sales growth alongside adjusted earnings pressure. The company released fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results around mid-July 2026, contributing to ongoing sentiment assessment in the sector.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) develops and sells global snack products such as Oreo cookies, Cadbury chocolate, and Ritz crackers. The stock has recently traded near $60.52, delivering year-to-date returns of roughly 12% to 14%, outpacing the S&P 500 benchmark. Recent developments include first-quarter 2026 revenue growth, new product initiatives in emerging brands, and leadership changes such as the appointment of a new chief financial officer. Multiple analyst firms have maintained buy ratings with price targets in the mid-$60 range ahead of the scheduled second-quarter 2026 earnings release on July 28, 2026. Market activity reflects steady interest in the company’s international snack portfolio.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Conagra Brands (CAG) and Mondelez International (MDLZ) both operate in consumer staples yet pursue distinct strategies. CAG centers on North American packaged foods with emphasis on supply chain optimization and cost management, while MDLZ maintains a global snacks focus with innovation in premium and emerging brands. Recent momentum shows MDLZ delivering positive year-to-date returns against CAG’s underperformance relative to benchmarks. Risk factors for CAG include elevated debt and dividend adjustments, whereas MDLZ contends with currency fluctuations and input costs. Sector exposure overlaps in staples defensiveness, but MDLZ benefits from broader geographic diversification. Market sentiment appears more supportive for MDLZ based on analyst consensus and relative price stability in the recent period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to MDLZ over CAG. MDLZ demonstrates stronger year-to-date outperformance and sustained analyst support, suggesting more consistent momentum. CAG shows potential stabilization following adjustments but carries elevated near-term uncertainty tied to restructuring outcomes. This assessment reflects probabilistic weighting of available data rather than certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAG is a Buy and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CAG (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а -0.64% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +2.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.88%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -0.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAG is expected to report earnings on Oct 01, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.21% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-0.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| CAG | MDLZ | CAG / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 6.94B | 79.5B | 9% |
| EBITDA | -1.04B | 6.28B | -17% |
| Gain YTD | -11.366 | 17.724 | -64% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.12 | 38.07 | 27% |
| Revenue | 11.3B | 39.7B | 28% |
| Total Cash | 218M | 1.72B | 13% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 22.1B | 33% |
CAG | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAG's Valuation (5) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MDLZ (28). This means that CAG’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (77) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (100). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's SMR Rating (62) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAG (98). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (58). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Food Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for CAG (98). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew significantly faster than CAG’s over the last 12 months.
| CAG | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 48% | 5 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 46% |
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CAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAG has been closely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAG jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.