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CAG vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Conagra Brands (CAG) has faced steeper year-to-date declines compared to Mondelez International (MDLZ), reflecting challenges in its North American grocery-focused portfolio amid elevated dividend yields near 10%.
- Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates more resilient recent performance with positive year-to-date returns aligned with broader market benchmarks, supported by its global snacks exposure and analyst consensus leaning toward Buy ratings.
- Both stocks operate in the consumer staples sector but differ in geographic and product focus, with CAG emphasizing packaged foods in the U.S. and MDLZ benefiting from international diversification in chocolate, biscuits, and gum.
- Recent market activity shows CAG trading near multi-year lows with upcoming fiscal fourth-quarter earnings anticipated on July 15, 2026, while MDLZ maintains steadier positioning post its first-quarter results and leadership transition.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in volatility and yield, with CAG offering higher income potential at the cost of greater price pressure in recent weeks.
Introduction
Conagra Brands (CAG) and Mondelez International (MDLZ) represent two established players in the consumer staples sector, making them relevant for investors seeking exposure to packaged foods and snacks. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and portfolio managers evaluating relative value within defensive equities. Both companies face common pressures from input costs and consumer preferences, yet differ in scale, geographic reach, and growth profiles. The analysis draws on observable market data and developments to highlight contrasts that may inform allocation decisions in the current environment.
CAG Overview and Recent Performance
Conagra Brands (CAG) produces and markets branded packaged foods primarily in North America, including frozen meals, snacks, and condiments under well-known labels. In recent weeks, the stock has traded under pressure, with prices reflecting broader concerns over profitability and dividend sustainability amid an anticipated earnings decline for the fiscal fourth quarter. Market activity shows the shares near the lower end of their 52-week range, accompanied by a notably high dividend yield. Sentiment has been influenced by the company's removal from the S&P 500 index and upcoming results scheduled for July 15, 2026, which analysts expect to show year-over-year earnings contraction. These factors have contributed to relative underperformance versus broader indices in recent market activity.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) focuses on global snacking with iconic brands in chocolate, biscuits, and confectionery, deriving significant revenue from international markets. Recent performance has shown greater stability, with the stock maintaining year-to-date gains roughly in line with the S&P 500. Developments include a leadership change with the appointment of a new chief financial officer effective in July 2026 and continued quarterly dividend payments. In recent weeks, price movements have reflected typical sector volatility without the same degree of downward pressure observed in some peers. Analyst coverage remains constructive, with consensus ratings favoring Buy and price targets above current levels, supporting a relatively positive sentiment in the current market environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Conagra Brands (CAG) and Mondelez International (MDLZ) both belong to the consumer staples sector yet pursue distinct strategies. CAG centers on North American grocery staples with higher exposure to domestic retail dynamics, while MDLZ benefits from broader global diversification across emerging and developed snack markets. Recent momentum favors MDLZ in relative returns and analyst sentiment, contrasting with CAG’s emphasis on income generation through its elevated dividend yield. Risk factors include CAG’s sensitivity to earnings shortfalls and index-related flows versus MDLZ’s exposure to currency fluctuations and commodity inputs. Sector-wide pressures on volumes affect both, but MDLZ’s international footprint provides a buffer that has supported steadier positioning in recent market activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including relative trend consistency, earnings visibility, and market positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Mondelez International (MDLZ) over Conagra Brands (CAG). MDLZ exhibits more stable performance metrics and favorable analyst alignment in recent periods, while CAG contends with near-term earnings uncertainty and sharper price adjustments. This assessment reflects pattern recognition across available data rather than directional certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAG is a Hold and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAG’s TA Score shows that 8 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAG’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CAG (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а -3.56% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -3.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -1.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.36%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAG is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-1.94% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.38% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| CAG | MDLZ | CAG / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 6.62B | 75.5B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 938M | 5.23B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | -16.473 | 11.149 | -148% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.12 | 29.12 | 35% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 39.3B | 28% |
| Total Cash | 55.1M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 7.33B | 21.6B | 34% |
CAG | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAG's Valuation (5) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MDLZ (22). This means that CAG’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (89) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (100). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's SMR Rating (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (92). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (60). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAG (97). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAG’s over the last 12 months.
| CAG | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 47% | 12 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | N/A |
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CAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAG has been closely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAG jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.91% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.78% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.44% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
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