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CAG vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Conagra Brands (CAG) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAG shares have declined sharply in recent months, down approximately 17% over the past month amid challenges in packaged foods, while MDLZ has shown relative stability with minimal downside.
- Conagra Brands reported mixed fiscal Q3 2026 results on April 1, with organic net sales up 2.4% but overall sales down 1.9%, contributing to ongoing share price pressure.
- MDLZ approaches Q1 earnings with expected revenue growth but projected EPS decline, supported by year-to-date gains of about 8% versus CAG's 17% drop.
- Both stocks operate in consumer staples, but MDLZ's global snack focus offers diversification, contrasting CAG's North American grocery emphasis amid inflation headwinds.
- Year-to-date, MDLZ outperforms with positive returns, while CAG lags significantly, reflecting divergent sector sentiment.
Introduction
Conagra Brands (CAG) and Mondelez International (MDLZ), both key players in the consumer staples sector, offer investors exposure to essential food products amid fluctuating market conditions. This comparison analyzes their recent stock performance, business dynamics, and market positioning to aid traders seeking relative value or those evaluating defensive holdings. With packaged foods facing inflation pressures and shifting consumer preferences, understanding how CAG's grocery staples stack up against MDLZ's global snacks portfolio is crucial for portfolio diversification strategies in the current environment.
CAG Overview and Recent Performance
Conagra Brands (CAG) is a leading North American producer of branded frozen, refrigerated, and shelf-stable foods, including brands like Birds Eye and Healthy Choice. In recent market activity, CAG shares have traded near multi-year lows around $14, reflecting a steep decline of over 40% in the past year and about 17% in the recent month. Fiscal Q3 2026 earnings released in early April showed organic net sales growth of 2.4%, though reported sales dipped 1.9%, with adjusted operating margin at 10.6%. Sentiment has been pressured by persistent inflation impacting volumes, leadership transition with new CEO John Brase appointed mid-April, and broader sector weakness, leading to heightened volatility and underperformance relative to benchmarks.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) specializes in global snacks, including chocolates, biscuits, and gummies under brands like Oreo and Cadbury. Shares have hovered around $57-58 in recent weeks, down modestly about 1% over the past month but up roughly 8% year-to-date, contrasting sharper declines elsewhere in staples. Following FY2025 results with organic net revenue growth of 4.3%, MDLZ anticipates Q1 revenue expansion to $9.77 billion, though EPS is projected to fall 17.6%. Performance reflects resilient emerging market demand and premiumization trends, tempered by North American softness and currency effects, fostering steadier sentiment compared to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CAG and MDLZ thrive in consumer staples, but diverge in scope: CAG focuses on U.S. grocery essentials with higher exposure to volume-sensitive categories, while MDLZ leverages a global portfolio emphasizing high-margin snacks and emerging markets for growth. Recent momentum favors MDLZ, with lower volatility (6% vs. CAG's 8%) and positive YTD returns versus deep losses. Risk factors include inflation eroding CAG margins more acutely, while MDLZ faces currency risks but benefits from pricing power. Market sentiment tilts toward MDLZ's stability, though CAG offers higher dividend yield as a trade-off for elevated downside risk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward MDLZ based on superior trend consistency, year-to-date outperformance, and lower volatility in recent market activity. Factors like organic growth resilience and global diversification position it favorably relative to CAG's volume pressures and leadership flux, suggesting higher probability of near-term stability though both warrant monitoring for earnings catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAG is a StrongBuy and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CAG (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а +5.61% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was +2.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.68%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +11.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAG is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (+2.21% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+11.75% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| CAG | MDLZ | CAG / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 6.57B | 80.9B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 938M | 5.23B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | -17.017 | 18.030 | -94% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.12 | 31.18 | 32% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 39.3B | 28% |
| Total Cash | 55.1M | 1.52B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 7.33B | 21.6B | 34% |
CAG | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CAG's Valuation (5) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MDLZ (23). This means that CAG’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (100). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's SMR Rating (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (92). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as CAG (63). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to CAG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Food Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for CAG (97). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew significantly faster than CAG’s over the last 12 months.
| CAG | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 34% |
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CAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAG has been closely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CAG jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.04% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.16% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.57% | ||
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