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MDLZ vs MKC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Mondelez International (MDLZ) has delivered stronger year-to-date performance compared with McCormick & Company (MKC), with positive returns versus notable declines for MKC amid differing commodity exposures.
- Both companies operate in the consumer staples sector, with MDLZ focused on global snacks and chocolate and MKC specializing in spices, seasonings, and flavorings, leading to distinct input cost sensitivities.
- Recent market activity shows MDLZ benefiting from analyst support ahead of its second-quarter 2026 earnings release, while MKC has demonstrated relatively steadier volume trends in prior periods.
- Commodity pressures, particularly cocoa for MDLZ and broader input costs for MKC, remain key variables influencing margins and sentiment in recent weeks.
- Market positioning favors MDLZ for growth-oriented exposure and MKC for earnings stability, creating trade-offs for investors seeking different risk-return profiles in the staples space.
- Relative performance highlights contrasts in resilience, with MDLZ showing better momentum recently while MKC maintains a track record of volume-led organic growth.
Introduction
Mondelez International (MDLZ) and McCormick & Company (MKC) represent two established players in the consumer staples sector, offering investors exposure to packaged foods with differing product portfolios and geographic footprints. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business fundamentals, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative value within defensive equities. Professionals monitoring sector rotation or seeking diversification across staples names may find the analysis relevant when assessing stability versus growth potential in the current environment.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) produces and markets global snack brands including chocolate, biscuits, and gum, with significant operations in emerging markets. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, posting year-to-date gains in the low-to-mid teens amid mixed valuation signals. Sentiment has been supported by consistent analyst Buy ratings and preparations for the second-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for late July. Broader influences include ongoing commodity cost management, particularly cocoa, alongside investments in emerging snack brands and retail expansion. Price behavior has reflected steady trading within its recent range, with the shares closing near $60.52 in late July sessions.
MKC Overview and Recent Performance
McCormick & Company (MKC) specializes in spices, seasonings, flavorings, and condiments, serving both consumer and industrial markets with a focus on branded and private-label products. Recent performance has featured relative underperformance year-to-date compared with broader staples peers, influenced by input cost pressures and volume dynamics. The company has maintained emphasis on earnings stability and organic growth through diversified sourcing. Market sentiment reflects caution around tariff and commodity headwinds, though historical patterns indicate resilience in volume trends. Price action in recent weeks has aligned with sector defensive characteristics, positioning the shares for potential stabilization as cost environments evolve.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Mondelez International (MDLZ) and McCormick & Company (MKC) both belong to the consumer staples sector yet differ materially in business models: MDLZ emphasizes global snack and confectionery brands with emerging-market growth drivers, whereas MKC centers on flavor solutions with broader industrial exposure. Recent momentum has favored MDLZ through stronger year-to-date returns, while MKC has exhibited greater earnings stability and volume resilience despite shared commodity and tariff pressures. Risk factors include cocoa volatility for MDLZ versus more diversified input costs for MKC. Sector exposure remains defensive for both, though market sentiment has tilted toward MDLZ on near-term catalyst visibility ahead of earnings. Trade-offs center on MDLZ’s higher growth sensitivity versus MKC’s comparatively steadier operational profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and the relative magnitude of commodity-driven headwinds, Tickeron’s AI-driven assessment would likely express a near-term probabilistic preference for MKC over MDLZ. McCormick’s demonstrated volume resilience and manageable margin variability align with characteristics algorithmic models often weight more heavily. Mondelez offers appeal through potential cocoa cost normalization and emerging-market exposure, yet the steadier trajectory observed in MKC currently receives higher model conviction in comparative evaluations. This reflects signal weighting rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDLZ is a StrongBuy and MKC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMKC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MKC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MKC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MKC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а -0.67% price change this week, while MKC (@Food: Major Diversified) price change was +0.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +10.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.33%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
MKC is expected to report earnings on Oct 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+10.96% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.04% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
| MDLZ | MKC | MDLZ / MKC | |
| Capitalization | 79.4B | 14.2B | 559% |
| EBITDA | 6.28B | 1.39B | 451% |
| Gain YTD | 17.478 | -20.825 | -84% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.99 | 8.81 | 431% |
| Revenue | 39.7B | 7.39B | 538% |
| Total Cash | 1.72B | 331M | 518% |
| Total Debt | 22.1B | 4.93B | 448% |
MDLZ | MKC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MKC's Valuation (16) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (27) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (82) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (100) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MKC's SMR Rating (38) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (62) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (59) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Food Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for MKC (98) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew significantly faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MKC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 9 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 51% | 14 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 52% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.65% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.49% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
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