Advertisement
MDLZ vs MKC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MDLZ and MKC are consumer staples leaders, but they face different cost pressures: cocoa inflation for Mondelez and commodity plus tariff costs for McCormick.
- Mondelez reported stronger recent revenue momentum with pricing-led growth, while McCormick posted a modest earnings miss and softer forward guidance.
- Both companies have tempered their 2026 outlooks, reflecting cautious consumer spending and persistent input-cost headwinds.
- Analyst consensus on MDLZ skews toward "Outperform," while MKC carries a "Moderate Buy" rating with a wide range of price targets.
- McCormick has underperformed the broader market over the past year, whereas Mondelez has shown comparatively steadier relative performance in recent weeks.
- For deeper context on each name, explore MDLZ Major News and MDLZ Today's Price Move, as well as MKC Major News and MKC Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Mondelez International (MDLZ) and McCormick & Company (MKC) both operate in the defensive consumer staples space, yet they represent distinct corners of the food industry. Mondelez is a global snacking giant known for brands such as Oreo, Ritz, and Cadbury, while McCormick is a leading maker of spices, seasonings, and condiments including French's and Frank's RedHot. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders evaluating how two well-known consumer names navigate inflation, shifting demand, and cost volatility. By examining their relative performance and market positioning, readers can better assess which profile may align with their own objectives.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International is one of the world's largest snacking companies, generating roughly $38.5 billion in net revenue in 2025 across more than 150 countries. Its portfolio spans chocolate, biscuits, and baked snacks, with well-known brands including Oreo, Ritz, LU, Clif Bar, and Cadbury. In recent weeks, the company has been contending with a sharp and unusual rise in cocoa prices, which surged dramatically in 2024 before moderating. This dynamic pushed Mondelez to lean heavily on pricing to protect margins, a move that pressured sales volumes as cost-conscious consumers, particularly in the United States, traded down and shifted toward value channels.
In its most recent quarterly report, Mondelez delivered revenue growth driven almost entirely by higher pricing, while volume and product mix declined. The company's 2026 guidance of flat-to-low-single-digit organic revenue and earnings growth came in below analyst expectations, reflecting a cautious stance on consumer confidence and ongoing cost pressures. Sentiment has been mixed, with several firms maintaining or adjusting price targets while flagging near-term disruption in Europe and weak U.S. biscuit trends.
MKC Overview and Recent Performance
McCormick & Company is a global leader in flavor, selling spices, herbs, seasoning mixes, and condiments to both consumers and the food industry. Its portfolio includes household names such as McCormick, French's, Frank's RedHot, Cholula, and OLD BAY, with the majority of sales generated in the United States. In recent market activity, McCormick has faced pressure from unexpected commodity inflation and tariff-related costs, which have offset efficiency gains and squeezed gross margins even as volume-led growth continued across its consumer and flavor solutions segments.
The company's most recent quarterly results slightly missed analyst estimates on both earnings and revenue, and its forward guidance was viewed as softer than anticipated. McCormick also completed a $500 million senior notes offering, extending its debt maturity profile but adding to its interest burden. Over the past year, the stock has underperformed the broader S&P 500 index, though it has shown a more constructive tone on a year-to-date basis as analysts reassess its valuation and cost-reduction initiatives.
Trending AI Robots
For traders who prefer a systematic, data-driven approach to comparing names like MDLZ and MKC, Tickeron offers a curated selection of automated strategies. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI Trading Bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, statistics, and set of underlying securities. Because not every bot suits every market condition, only the most relevant and best-performing strategies are featured in the Trending AI Robots section. Exploring this page can help investors identify automated approaches that match current market environments and their own preferences.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ meaningfully in business model and growth drivers. Mondelez derives its strength from global snacking brands with substantial exposure to emerging markets, which have recently outperformed its developed-market segments. McCormick, by contrast, is more U.S.-centric and balanced between retail and foodservice or industrial customers, giving it a different demand profile and sensitivity to commodity and tariff costs.
On momentum, Mondelez has shown relatively steadier recent performance, supported by pricing power and a large free cash flow base, even as volumes soften. McCormick has faced a more visible earnings miss and a reset of some long-term goals, prompting several analyst price-target adjustments. Risk factors also diverge: Mondelez remains exposed to volatile cocoa and competitive pricing dynamics, while McCormick contends with input-cost inflation, private-label pressure, and a higher debt load following its recent refinancing. In terms of market sentiment, both names carry generally constructive analyst ratings, but Mondelez's consensus skews slightly more favorable on a relative basis.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MDLZ in the current environment. Mondelez's larger global footprint, stronger emerging-market growth, and more resilient revenue momentum offer a steadier foundation than McCormick's more recent earnings shortfall and softer guidance. That said, this is a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive call: McCormick's cost-reduction efforts and potential margin recovery represent catalysts that could narrow the gap over time. The relative positioning of both stocks will likely remain sensitive to commodity prices, consumer demand, and tariff developments in the months ahead.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDLZ is a Buy and MKC is a Hold.
MDLZ in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MDLZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 27 of 56 cases where MDLZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MDLZ as a result. In 46 of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MDLZ just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where MDLZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 18 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 41%.
MDLZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDLZ advanced for three days, in 166 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
MDLZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MDLZ moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 46%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDLZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator for MDLZ entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MDLZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.111) is normal, around the industry mean (1.474). P/E Ratio (23.787) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.685). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.891) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.160) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.028) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).
MKC saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for MKC moved out of overbought territory on October 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 33 of the 55 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MKC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
MKC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MKC entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MKC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MKC as a result. In 42 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MKC just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where MKC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 18 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
Following a +2.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MKC advanced for three days, in 174 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.817) is normal, around the industry mean (7.678). P/E Ratio (7.855) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.461). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.878) is also within normal values, averaging (8.458). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.825) is also within normal values, averaging (5.003).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MKC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MKC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
MDLZ | MKC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 54 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MKC's Valuation (54) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (70) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MKC (100) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MKC's SMR Rating (38) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (60) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (58) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MKC (94) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MKC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 48% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MKC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MKC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MKC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MKC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а +1.79% price change this week, while MKC (@Food: Major Diversified) price change was -1.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +2.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.65%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
MKC is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+2.19% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.61% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| CRYPTO / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| WBETH.X | 2519.139600 | 22.398682 | +0.90% |
| Wrapped Beacon ETH cryptocurrency | |||
| CHZ.X | 0.012125 | -0.000019 | -0.15% |
| Chiliz cryptocurrency | |||
| GLMR.X | 0.007915 | -0.000156 | -1.93% |
| Moonbeam cryptocurrency | |||
| IOTX.X | 0.003169 | -0.000338 | -9.63% |
| IoTeX cryptocurrency | |||
| KP3R.X | 0.788680 | -0.311098 | -28.29% |
| Keep3rV1 cryptocurrency | |||