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MDLZ vs MKC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MDLZ has outperformed MKC year-to-date with roughly 8% gains versus a 24% decline, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields above 3%, appealing to income-focused investors in the consumer staples sector.
- MDLZ boasts a larger market capitalization of about $74 billion compared to MKC's $14 billion, indicating greater scale and global presence.
- MKC trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.5 versus MDLZ's 30.5, suggesting potential value amid merger-related pressures.
- Recent developments show MDLZ gearing up for quarterly earnings with revenue growth expected, while MKC navigates integration risks from its Unilever Foods merger.
- Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward MDLZ for its stability and trend consistency.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MDLZ and MKC, two established players in the consumer staples sector focused on snacks and seasonings. Both companies cater to essential consumer needs, offering resilience in volatile markets but differing in scale, growth trajectories, and recent catalysts. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing defensive positions with dividends will find this analysis valuable for understanding their market positioning, sentiment shifts, and potential trade-offs in the current environment.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a global leader in snacks, with brands like Oreo and Cadbury driving sales across biscuits, chocolate, and gum. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around $58, within a 52-week range of $51 to $71, supported by a market cap exceeding $70 billion. Year-to-date gains hover near 8%, outpacing broader indices amid stable demand. Influences include anticipation for upcoming quarterly earnings, where revenue growth is projected despite expected earnings per share (EPS) pressure, and analyst notes on demand softness. Lower beta (0.39) underscores its defensive nature, bolstered by a 3.5% dividend yield and forward P/E of 19.
MKC Overview and Recent Performance
McCormick & Company (MKC) specializes in spices, herbs, and flavor solutions through Consumer and Flavor Solutions segments, with iconic brands like Frank's RedHot. Recently, shares have hovered near $52, down sharply year-to-date by about 24% within a 52-week range of $48 to $78, reflecting a $14 billion market cap. Recent quarterly results beat EPS and revenue estimates with 17% growth, yet stock weakness persists due to the announced merger with Unilever's Foods business, raising debt and integration concerns. A 3.7% dividend yield and low trailing P/E of 8.5 highlight value, though higher beta (0.71) signals elevated volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MDLZ and MKC operate in complementary consumer staples niches—snacks versus flavors—but share exposure to grocery channels and emerging markets. Growth drivers differ: MDLZ leverages global brand scale and recent revenue beats (9% quarterly growth), while MKC shows stronger short-term sales acceleration (17%) yet merger uncertainties cap upside. Momentum favors MDLZ with positive YTD returns and lower volatility; MKC offers deeper value via cheaper multiples and higher return on equity (ROE, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity) at 25%. Risk factors include demand headwinds for MDLZ and debt from MKC's deal. Sentiment tilts stable for the larger cap, contrasting MKC's post-merger dip.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors MDLZ over MKC, driven by superior trend consistency, lower beta for stability, positive relative performance, and catalysts like impending earnings. While MKC presents value amid merger potential, elevated risks temper its appeal. This probabilistic edge suits momentum-oriented strategies in consumer staples.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDLZ is a Hold and MKC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMKC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MKC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MKC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MKC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а -1.80% price change this week, while MKC (@Food: Major Diversified) price change was -4.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +0.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.24%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -1.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3629.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
MKC is expected to report earnings on Jun 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+0.74% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Major Diversified (-1.48% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
| MDLZ | MKC | MDLZ / MKC | |
| Capitalization | 77.6B | 12.5B | 621% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 1.35B | 388% |
| Gain YTD | 13.252 | -31.342 | -42% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.92 | 7.60 | 394% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 7.11B | 553% |
| Total Cash | 1.52B | 178M | 856% |
| Total Debt | 21.6B | 4.92B | 439% |
MDLZ | MKC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MKC's Valuation (21) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (30) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (74) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (100) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MKC's SMR Rating (36) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (70) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (65) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Food Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for MKC (98) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew significantly faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MKC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 40% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 53% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 5 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 29% | 3 days ago 53% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.76% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
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