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MDLZ vs MKC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. McCormick & Company (MKC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Mondelez International (MDLZ) operates as a global leader in snacks and chocolate with broader international exposure, while McCormick & Company (MKC) focuses on spices, seasonings, and flavor solutions with a more concentrated product portfolio.
- Recent market activity shows MDLZ trading near $58 with year-to-date returns around 10%, compared to MKC near $51 exhibiting stronger year-to-date performance exceeding 20% amid earnings beats.
- Both companies reported solid quarterly results in the first half of 2026, with organic revenue growth in the low single digits and reaffirmed full-year outlooks, though MDLZ faces upcoming earnings on July 28, 2026.
- MDLZ benefits from scale with a market capitalization near $75 billion versus MKC’s approximately $14 billion, influencing liquidity and sector positioning within consumer staples.
- Sentiment for both has been shaped by currency impacts, volume trends, and integration efforts, with MKC highlighting progress on acquisitions and MDLZ noting regional variations in emerging markets.
- Risk factors include commodity price volatility and consumer spending shifts, balanced against defensive qualities typical of the packaged foods sector.
Introduction
Mondelez International (MDLZ) and McCormick & Company (MKC) represent two established players in the consumer staples sector, offering investors exposure to packaged foods and flavor products. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating stability, growth drivers, and market sentiment within defensive equities. The analysis draws on verifiable developments from recent weeks to provide a balanced view suitable for those monitoring relative performance in the current environment.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a multinational company specializing in snacks, chocolate, biscuits, and baked goods, with significant operations across North America, Europe, Latin America, and Asia. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $58.30 following modest declines, reflecting broader sector pressures and a 52-week range of approximately $51.20 to $71.15. Year-to-date returns stand around 10%, aligning closely with the S&P 500. Key influences include Q1 2026 results showing organic net revenue growth of 3.0% and a beat on adjusted earnings per share, alongside a leadership transition with a new chief financial officer effective July 1, 2026. Regional strength in emerging markets and reaffirmed full-year organic revenue guidance of flat to +2% have supported sentiment amid currency fluctuations and volume trends.
MKC Overview and Recent Performance
McCormick & Company (MKC) is a global leader in spices, seasonings, flavorings, and condiments, serving both consumer and industrial markets. Recent market activity places the stock near $51.40, with year-to-date returns exceeding 20% and outperformance relative to broader indices. The company reported strong Q2 2026 results on June 25, featuring net sales growth of 16.7% (organic 1.7%) and an earnings per share beat, prompting reaffirmation of fiscal 2026 outlook including margin expansion expectations. Integration progress on acquisitions has contributed to positive sentiment, while the 52-week range spans roughly $44.82 to $73.84. Performance has been influenced by favorable currency impacts and steady demand in core flavor categories despite typical seasonal and consumer spending variables.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Mondelez International (MDLZ) and McCormick & Company (MKC) differ in scale and focus, with MDLZ’s larger market capitalization and global snack portfolio providing wider diversification across regions and categories compared to MKC’s specialized flavor and seasoning emphasis. Growth drivers for MDLZ include emerging market resilience and chocolate segment momentum, while MKC benefits from acquisition integration and consistent organic sales in core products. Recent momentum favors MKC’s stronger year-to-date returns and recent earnings beat, contrasted with MDLZ’s steadier but more modest performance near broader market levels. Risk factors for both center on commodity costs and consumer demand shifts, though MDLZ’s international exposure introduces additional currency considerations. Sector sentiment remains defensive for packaged foods, with MKC showing relative outperformance in recent weeks amid integration catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to McCormick & Company (MKC) due to stronger recent momentum and reaffirmed outlook following its Q2 results. Mondelez International (MDLZ) offers comparable stability with upcoming catalysts around its July 28 earnings release. The assessment reflects data-driven evaluation rather than certainty, acknowledging that market conditions can shift based on broader economic indicators and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDLZ is a Hold and MKC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMKC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MKC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MKC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MKC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а -3.41% price change this week, while MKC (@Food: Major Diversified) price change was -0.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.92%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -1.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
MKC is expected to report earnings on Oct 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.38% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Food: Major Diversified (-1.93% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
| MDLZ | MKC | MDLZ / MKC | |
| Capitalization | 75.5B | 14.1B | 535% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 1.39B | 376% |
| Gain YTD | 11.149 | -21.602 | -52% |
| P/E Ratio | 29.12 | 8.73 | 334% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 7.39B | 532% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 331M | - |
| Total Debt | 21.6B | 4.93B | 438% |
MDLZ | MKC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MKC's Valuation (16) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (22) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (89) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (100) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MKC's SMR Rating (37) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MKC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MKC (60) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to MKC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MKC (97) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than MKC’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MKC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 54% | 12 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 50% | 5 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 62% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.91% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.78% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.44% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
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