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CAT vs TEX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) vs. Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) reported first-quarter 2026 sales and revenues of $17.4 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year, supported by record backlog levels.
- Terex Corporation (TEX) achieved first-quarter 2026 sales of $1.7 billion, up 41% on a reported basis and 11% pro forma, with backlog reaching $7.1 billion.
- CAT recently completed the acquisition of Skycatch to expand mining technology capabilities and raised its quarterly dividend by 8% to $1.63.
- TEX reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook for sales of $7.5 billion to $8.1 billion and EBITDA growth of approximately 12% year-over-year on a pro forma basis.
- CAT maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and has demonstrated stronger year-to-date relative performance compared with TEX in recent market activity.
- Both companies operate in the industrial equipment sector but differ in scale, with CAT offering broader global exposure and TEX providing more concentrated growth in aerial and specialty segments.
Introduction
This comparison examines Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) and Terex Corporation (TEX), two companies in the industrial machinery and equipment space. Investors and traders seeking exposure to construction, mining, and infrastructure markets may find this analysis relevant, particularly those evaluating relative momentum, operational scale, and sector positioning. The review focuses on recent market activity, financial results, and business developments to highlight contrasts in performance and risk profiles without favoring either security.
CAT Overview and Recent Performance
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) designs, manufactures, and markets construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial gas turbines. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced volatility amid broader market movements while benefiting from positive developments. First-quarter 2026 results showed sales and revenues rising 22% to $17.4 billion, driven by higher volumes and price realization. The company maintains a record backlog, supporting ongoing momentum. Recent activity includes the acquisition of Skycatch to enhance mining technology and an 8% dividend increase to $1.63 per share. Analyst sentiment has remained generally constructive, with price targets reflecting confidence in long-term demand for infrastructure and mining solutions.
TEX Overview and Recent Performance
Terex Corporation (TEX) provides lifting and material processing equipment for construction, manufacturing, and other industries, including aerial work platforms and specialty vehicles. In recent market activity, the stock has posted gains on the back of strong operational results. First-quarter 2026 sales reached $1.7 billion, up 41% reported and 11% pro forma, with adjusted EBITDA of $173 million. Backlog expanded to $7.1 billion, accompanied by a book-to-bill ratio above 1.0. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.17 per share and reaffirmed its 2026 guidance for sales between $7.5 billion and $8.1 billion with EBITDA growth of roughly 12% year-over-year on a pro forma basis. Performance has reflected steady demand across segments despite a smaller overall scale than larger peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) operates at a much larger scale, with market capitalization exceeding $380 billion versus roughly $7 billion for Terex Corporation (TEX). This size difference translates to broader global distribution networks and greater resilience in cyclical downturns. Growth drivers for CAT include mining and data-center-related infrastructure, reinforced by the recent Skycatch acquisition. TEX focuses on aerial platforms and material processing, delivering higher percentage revenue growth in the latest quarter but from a smaller base. Recent momentum has favored CAT in absolute terms, though TEX offers a lower forward price-to-earnings ratio. Risk factors differ: CAT faces exposure to commodity cycles and geopolitical supply-chain issues, while TEX contends with narrower end-market concentration. Market sentiment reflects CAT’s established leadership alongside TEX’s operational improvements and backlog visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and recent catalysts such as the Skycatch acquisition, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) over Terex Corporation (TEX). The larger company’s scale, record backlog, and dividend growth provide a broader foundation for sustained positioning. TEX demonstrates solid percentage gains and attractive valuation metrics, yet the relative size and diversification advantages tilt the assessment toward CAT in the current environment. This assessment reflects data-driven probabilities rather than certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CAT is a StrongBuy and TEX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileTEX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TEX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TEX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CAT (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.96% price change this week, while TEX (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -5.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -4.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
TEX is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-4.02% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CAT | TEX | CAT / TEX | |
| Capitalization | 429B | 7.49B | 5,725% |
| EBITDA | 15B | 517M | 2,901% |
| Gain YTD | 63.288 | 23.578 | 268% |
| P/E Ratio | 46.39 | 32.00 | 145% |
| Revenue | 70.8B | 5.93B | 1,195% |
| Total Cash | 4.07B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 43.1B | 2.75B | 1,568% |
CAT | TEX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 62 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEX's Valuation (37) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CAT (82). This means that TEX’s stock grew somewhat faster than CAT’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TEX (62). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TEX’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's SMR Rating (20) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for TEX (89). This means that CAT’s stock grew significantly faster than TEX’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TEX (44). This means that CAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TEX’s over the last 12 months.
CAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TEX (8). This means that CAT’s stock grew similarly to TEX’s over the last 12 months.
| CAT | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 56% | 6 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 70% |
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CAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAT has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAT jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT | 100% | -2.20% | ||
| TEX - CAT | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| CNH - CAT | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| MTW - CAT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| CMCO - CAT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| AGCO - CAT | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
More | ||||
TEX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEX has been closely correlated with MTW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEX jumps, then MTW could also see price increases.