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CHEF vs USFD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHEF is a Hold and USFD is a Hold.
CHEF sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
CHEF saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHEF as a result. In 58 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
CHEF moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
CHEF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +2.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHEF advanced for three days, in 257 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 234 of 311 cases where CHEF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHEF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.032) is normal, around the industry mean (3.291). P/E Ratio (53.243) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.913). CHEF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.910) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. CHEF's P/S Ratio (1.148) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.357).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Momentum Indicator for USFD turns positive, indicating new upward trend
USFD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USFD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USFD just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where USFD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +0.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USFD advanced for three days, in 200 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
USFD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for USFD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USFD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
USFD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for USFD entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. USFD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.737) is normal, around the industry mean (3.291). P/E Ratio (28.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.913). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.516) is also within normal values, averaging (0.357).
CHEF | USFD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 46 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
USFD's Valuation (57) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (86). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
CHEF's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (9). This means that CHEF’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's SMR Rating (53) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (55). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
CHEF's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (45). This means that CHEF’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
CHEF's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for USFD (53). This means that CHEF’s stock grew somewhat faster than USFD’s over the last 12 months.
| CHEF | USFD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 15 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 50% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHEF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while USFD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CHEF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- USFD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHEF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while USFD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHEF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- USFD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CHEF (@Food Distributors) experienced а -3.08% price change this week, while USFD (@Food Distributors) price change was +1.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +0.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHEF is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
USFD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (+0.81% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
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