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CHEF vs USFD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHEF is a Hold and USFD is a StrongBuy.
CHEF sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
CHEF saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 19, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHEF as a result. In 53 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
CHEF moved below its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CHEF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for CHEF entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +2.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHEF advanced for three days, in 262 of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
CHEF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHEF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.353) is normal, around the industry mean (3.113). P/E Ratio (42.416) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.619). CHEF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.910) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. CHEF's P/S Ratio (1.148) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.357).
USFD in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for USFD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on USFD as a result. In 62 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USFD just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where USFD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
USFD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USFD advanced for three days, in 201 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 171 of 286 cases where USFD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for USFD moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 49%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
USFD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. USFD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.349) is normal, around the industry mean (3.113). P/E Ratio (32.158) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.619). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.516) is also within normal values, averaging (0.357).
CHEF | USFD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
USFD's Valuation (70) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (90). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (7). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's SMR Rating (53) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (55). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as CHEF (43). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to CHEF’s over the last 12 months.
CHEF's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (45). This means that CHEF’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
| CHEF | USFD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHEF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while USFD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CHEF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- USFD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHEF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while USFD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHEF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- USFD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CHEF (@Food Distributors) experienced а -2.92% price change this week, while USFD (@Food Distributors) price change was +4.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -3.46%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHEF is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
USFD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (-3.46% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
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USFD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USFD has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if USFD jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USFD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 100% | +2.11% | ||
| PFGC - USFD | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| SYY - USFD | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.40% | ||
| CHEF - USFD | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
| UNFI - USFD | 24% Poorly correlated | +2.03% | ||
| DIT - USFD | 6% Poorly correlated | -1.74% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| OUNZ | 37.90 | 0.59 | +1.58% |
| VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) | |||
| POWR | 25.13 | 0.07 | +0.28% |
| iShares U.S. Power Infrastructure ETF (POWR) | |||
| MUSE | 48.17 | N/A | N/A |
| TCW Multisector Credit Income ETF (MUSE) | |||
| MCN | 5.40 | -0.01 | -0.18% |
| Madison Covered Call & Equity Strategy Fund | |||
| MYHB | 24.58 | -0.14 | -0.57% |
| State Street My2028 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (MYHB) | |||