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PFGC vs USFD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Performance Food Group (PFGC) vs. US Foods (USFD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both PFGC and USFD are major U.S. foodservice distributors serving restaurants, institutions, and other customers with broadline product offerings.
- USFD has delivered stronger year-to-date stock performance, with gains exceeding 41% compared to roughly 28% for PFGC through early August 2026.
- Recent quarterly results show both companies reporting revenue growth and earnings beats, with USFD highlighting record adjusted EBITDA and technology-driven initiatives in its latest report.
- PFGC maintains a larger scale in certain distribution metrics, while USFD demonstrates higher recent momentum in share price appreciation and analyst sentiment.
- Market positioning for both remains tied to foodservice demand trends, input cost fluctuations, and operational efficiency improvements amid a competitive industry landscape.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects broader sector stability, with neither stock exhibiting extreme volatility relative to the S&P 500 benchmark.
Introduction
Performance Food Group (PFGC) and US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) operate as leading broadline foodservice distributors in North America. Investors and traders focused on the consumer staples and industrials sectors often compare these names due to their similar business models, exposure to restaurant and institutional demand, and sensitivity to economic conditions affecting dining-out trends. This analysis examines their recent stock behavior, operational developments, and relative positioning to assist those evaluating opportunities within the food distribution industry.
PFGC Overview and Recent Performance
Performance Food Group Company distributes food and related products across the United States and Canada through multiple operating segments. The company serves independent and chain restaurants, schools, healthcare facilities, and other venues. In recent market activity, PFGC shares have traded in a relatively narrow range near all-time highs, closing around $114.90 as of early August 2026. Year-to-date returns stand near 27.8%, supported by steady case volume growth and gross profit expansion reported in prior quarterly updates. Sentiment has remained constructive amid consistent operational execution and sector resilience, though the stock has shown more moderate gains compared to broader market benchmarks in the latest period.
USFD Overview and Recent Performance
US Foods Holding Corp. provides food and related products to restaurants, healthcare, hospitality, and other customers nationwide. The company emphasizes technology and private-label offerings in its distribution network. Recent market activity shows USFD shares advancing to approximately $108.88, with year-to-date gains exceeding 41%. The second-quarter 2026 earnings release in early August highlighted revenue growth, an earnings beat, and record adjusted EBITDA, contributing to positive price momentum. Sentiment has benefited from these results and ongoing efficiency initiatives, positioning the stock with stronger relative performance in recent weeks versus peers in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies share exposure to foodservice distribution, yet differ in scale and emphasis. PFGC operates with greater overall volume in certain segments, while USFD has highlighted technology integration and margin expansion more prominently in recent reporting. Recent momentum favors USFD, which posted larger year-to-date price appreciation alongside its earnings beat. Risk factors for both include commodity price volatility and shifts in consumer dining patterns, though PFGC has demonstrated steadier but slower share-price movement. Market sentiment remains balanced, with sector tailwinds supporting both amid stable demand indicators.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger recent earnings momentum, higher year-to-date returns, and consistent trend characteristics, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable relative performance to USFD over the near term. PFGC maintains solid positioning through scale and operational stability. This assessment reflects probabilistic evaluation of current data rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PFGC is a Hold and USFD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PFGC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileUSFD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- PFGC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- USFD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PFGC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while USFD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PFGC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- USFD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PFGC (@Food Distributors) experienced а -2.12% price change this week, while USFD (@Food Distributors) price change was +0.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -3.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
PFGC is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
USFD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (-3.07% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| PFGC | USFD | PFGC / USFD | |
| Capitalization | 16.5B | 23.7B | 70% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 1.66B | 99% |
| Gain YTD | 16.748 | 45.539 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.84 | 33.73 | 136% |
| Revenue | 66.7B | 39.7B | 168% |
| Total Cash | 45.9M | 49M | 94% |
| Total Debt | 7.88B | 5.33B | 148% |
PFGC | USFD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 95 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PFGC's Valuation (57) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (60). This means that PFGC’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (20). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's SMR Rating (56) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (78). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (52). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (48). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
| PFGC | USFD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 59% |
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PFGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFGC has been loosely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PFGC jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PFGC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFGC | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| USFD - PFGC | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.07% | ||
| CHEF - PFGC | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| SYY - PFGC | 40% Loosely correlated | +1.25% | ||
| UNFI - PFGC | 30% Poorly correlated | +2.74% | ||
| AVO - PFGC | 4% Poorly correlated | +0.38% | ||
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USFD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USFD has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if USFD jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USFD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| PFGC - USFD | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.96% | ||
| SYY - USFD | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.25% | ||
| CHEF - USFD | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| UNFI - USFD | 28% Poorly correlated | +2.74% | ||
| WILC - USFD | 20% Poorly correlated | -3.29% | ||
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