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UNFI vs USFD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is UNFI is a Hold and USFD is a Hold.
UNFI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
UNFI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UNFI as a result. In 59 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UNFI just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where UNFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +5.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UNFI advanced for three days, in 219 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UNFI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
UNFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UNFI entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.702) is normal, around the industry mean (3.291). P/E Ratio (34.142) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.913). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.093) is also within normal values, averaging (0.357).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UNFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UNFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for USFD turns positive, indicating new upward trend
USFD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USFD just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where USFD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
USFD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USFD advanced for three days, in 200 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for USFD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USFD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
USFD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for USFD entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. USFD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.737) is normal, around the industry mean (3.291). P/E Ratio (28.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.913). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.741). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.516) is also within normal values, averaging (0.357).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
UNFI | USFD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UNFI's Valuation (45) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (59). This means that UNFI’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Food Distributors industry is significantly better than the same rating for UNFI (82). This means that USFD’s stock grew significantly faster than UNFI’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's SMR Rating (53) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as UNFI (81). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to UNFI’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as UNFI (47). This means that USFD’s stock grew similarly to UNFI’s over the last 12 months.
UNFI's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as USFD (53). This means that UNFI’s stock grew similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
| UNFI | USFD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 67% | 17 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 1 day ago 54% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
UNFI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while USFD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- UNFI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- USFD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
UNFI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while USFD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- UNFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- USFD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
UNFI (@Food Distributors) experienced а +9.51% price change this week, while USFD (@Food Distributors) price change was +4.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was +2.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
UNFI is expected to report earnings on Dec 09, 2026.
USFD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (+2.00% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
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UNFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that UNFI and PFGC have been poorly correlated (+30% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that UNFI and PFGC's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UNFI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 100% | +1.22% | ||
| PFGC - UNFI | 30% Poorly correlated | +2.35% | ||
| USFD - UNFI | 28% Poorly correlated | +3.07% | ||
| SYY - UNFI | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.46% | ||
| CHEF - UNFI | 23% Poorly correlated | +1.12% | ||
| AVO - UNFI | 20% Poorly correlated | +0.25% | ||
More | ||||
USFD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USFD has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if USFD jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USFD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| PFGC - USFD | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.35% | ||
| SYY - USFD | 39% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| CHEF - USFD | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| UNFI - USFD | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.22% | ||
| DIT - USFD | 6% Poorly correlated | -4.43% | ||
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