CMDT
Price
$35.63
Change
+$0.16 (+0.45%)
Updated
Sep 24, 11:54 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
901.35M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GSG
Price
$36.62
Change
+$0.47 (+1.30%)
Updated
Sep 24, 11:59 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.09B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CMDT vs GSG

CMDT vs GSG Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Sep 15, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? PIMCO Commodity Strategy Active Exchange-Traded Fund (CMDT) vs. iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)

Key Takeaways

  • CMDT is an actively managed commodity ETF seeking total return through commodity-linked derivatives backed by a diversified fixed-income collateral portfolio, while GSG passively tracks the S&P GSCI Total Return Index with heavy energy weighting.
  • CMDT offers a lower expense ratio of 0.65% compared to GSG’s 0.75%, providing a potential cost advantage for long-term holders.
  • GSG provides broad but energy-dominant exposure (approximately 70% energy commodities) via a commodity pool structure established in 2006, whereas CMDT employs active management launched in 2023 for potentially more flexible positioning across commodity sectors.
  • Both ETFs target commodity exposure for inflation hedging and diversification but differ in strategy: CMDT emphasizes active total return generation, while GSG focuses on production-weighted index replication.
  • Structural differences include CMDT’s use of synthetic replication with fixed-income backing versus GSG’s futures-based commodity pool approach, influencing liquidity profiles and tax treatments.
  • In the current market environment, relative positioning hinges on commodity sector momentum, with active strategies like CMDT potentially adapting better to shifting supply-demand dynamics than passive index trackers.

Introduction

Commodity ETFs have gained relevance amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and geopolitical tensions affecting energy and raw materials markets. CMDT and GSG both deliver commodity exposure but represent distinct approaches within the sector. They do not compete directly as identical products; instead, they offer alternative strategies targeting similar investor goals of diversification and inflation sensitivity. CMDT emphasizes active management for potential outperformance, while GSG provides straightforward passive tracking of a production-weighted commodity benchmark.

PIMCO Commodity Strategy Active Exchange-Traded Fund (CMDT) Overview

The CMDT ETF is an actively managed fund from PIMCO that seeks total return exceeding a diversified commodity benchmark. It invests in commodity-linked derivative instruments, including futures and swaps, supported by an actively managed portfolio of fixed-income instruments of varying maturities and may also invest directly in commodities. The fund is non-diversified with hundreds of holdings primarily in derivatives and collateral securities. Its expense ratio stands at 0.65%. As an active strategy launched in May 2023, CMDT features flexible rebalancing and distinguishes itself through PIMCO’s expertise in collateral management and commodity selection rather than strict index replication.

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) Overview

The GSG ETF is a passively managed commodity pool from iShares that tracks the S&P GSCI Total Return Index. Launched in July 2006, it provides exposure to a broad basket of commodities weighted by global production, resulting in significant energy sector concentration. The fund holds futures contracts rather than physical commodities and maintains an expense ratio of 0.75%. GSG’s structure as a commodity pool leads to specific tax treatment (typically 60/40 long-term/short-term capital gains) and focuses on index replication without active intervention in holdings or allocations.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The commodities sector faces influences from global supply chain dynamics, energy transition policies, geopolitical developments in key producing regions, and macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and economic growth forecasts. Recent market cycles have highlighted volatility in energy prices alongside opportunities in metals and agricultural commodities driven by demand shifts and weather patterns. Capital flows into commodity products reflect investor interest in inflation protection, though regulatory considerations around derivatives and commodity pools continue to shape product structures. Both ETFs operate within this environment where broad commodity benchmarks respond to production data and futures curve movements.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, commodity markets have experienced fluctuations tied to energy price trends and broader economic indicators. CMDT’s active approach allows potential adjustments to holdings and collateral strategies during sector rotations or volatility spikes, while GSG’s passive structure mirrors the S&P GSCI’s energy-heavy composition, leading to more direct sensitivity to oil and natural gas movements. Over broader timeframes, differences in expense ratios and management style contribute to variations in net returns and risk profiles, with CMDT positioned for potentially tighter tracking of total return objectives and GSG offering established benchmark exposure across multiple market cycles.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on ETFs like CMDT and GSG can leverage this platform for deeper analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors including lower expense ratio, active management flexibility, and diversified commodity strategy, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to CMDT over GSG for investors prioritizing cost efficiency and adaptive positioning within the commodity sector, though outcomes remain subject to prevailing market conditions and individual risk tolerance.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
CMDT vs. GSG commentary
Sep 24, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMDT is a Hold and GSG is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CMDTGSG
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
85%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
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CMDT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GSG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CMDT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that CMDT and PWR have been poorly correlated (+1% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CMDT and PWR's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CMDT
1D Price
Change %
CMDT100%
+0.54%
PWR - CMDT
1%
Poorly correlated
-1.20%
MDLZ - CMDT
-0%
Poorly correlated
+0.59%