Copper has become a focal point for investors as electrification, renewable-energy buildouts, grid modernization, and data-center expansion drive demand against a backdrop of constrained supply. For those seeking thematic exposure, COPP and COPX are two of the most prominent U.S.-listed copper-mining exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Although they target a similar investor goal—leveraged sensitivity to the copper complex through publicly traded miners—they are not direct clones. They differ in index methodology, portfolio concentration, geographic mix, and the presence of a physical-copper component, which can produce meaningfully different risk and return profiles over a full market cycle.
COPP is a passively managed, non-diversified ETF that seeks to track the Nasdaq Sprott Copper Miners Index. The index is designed to capture companies deriving at least 50% of their revenue or assets from the mining, exploration, development, and production of copper, alongside publicly traded trusts that hold physical copper. The fund generally holds roughly 60 issuers, with basic materials accounting for nearly the entire portfolio.
The portfolio is notably concentrated. Top holdings include FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc., near 26%), TECK (Teck Resources Limited, about 10%), Antofagasta plc (near 9%), Lundin Mining Corporation, SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation), KGHM Polska Miedź, HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.), the Sprott Physical Copper Trust, First Quantum Minerals, and Ivanhoe Mines. The fund carries a total expense ratio of 0.66% and uses a modified market-cap weighting with capping rules, rebalanced semi-annually. A distinguishing feature is its roughly 4% allocation to physical copper, which tempers pure equity risk slightly. Launched in March 2024, COPP has a shorter operating history and smaller asset base than its peer.
COPX is a passively managed, non-diversified ETF that seeks to track the Solactive Global Copper Miners Total Return Index, which reflects the broad performance of global companies engaged in copper mining, refining, or exploration. The fund holds roughly 40 to 47 securities and has an expense ratio of 0.65%.
Unlike COPP, COPX maintains a comparatively balanced structure with no single position exceeding roughly 6%. Top holdings include Teck Resources, Hudbay Minerals, SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation), BHP Group, FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.), Glencore plc, KGHM Polska Miedź, Antofagasta plc, First Quantum Minerals, and Boliden AB. Materials represent over 95% of the portfolio. Geographically, COPX is dominated by Canadian issuers (roughly 40%), followed by the United States, Australia, China, and Japan—adding exposure to producers such as Zijin Mining and Sumitomo Metal Mining that are largely absent from COPP. Launched in 2010, COPX is the more established and liquid vehicle, with assets in the multi-billion-dollar range.
Both funds are leveraged to a global copper market shaped by structural demand and constrained supply. Electrification, electric-vehicle (EV) production, solar and wind installations, and the rapid buildout of power-hungry data centers have expanded long-term copper consumption. On the supply side, declining ore grades, long mine-development timelines, and permitting bottlenecks have kept output growth modest. Geopolitical and policy factors—including resource nationalism in parts of Latin America and Africa, trade policy, and tariff uncertainty—can inject volatility. Capital flows into thematic commodity funds have also fluctuated with cyclical risk appetite. Sector risks include copper-price swings, currency exposure across multiple jurisdictions, labor and cost inflation, and the operational risks inherent to mining.
Over recent market cycles, both COPP and COPX have exhibited high sensitivity to copper prices and to the earnings cycles of large-cap miners. Their relative positioning, however, diverges meaningfully. COPP's oversized weight in FCX means a single company can drive a disproportionate share of returns, amplifying both upside and downside and raising single-stock concentration risk. Its modest physical-copper sleeve may slightly reduce pure-equity volatility during commodity-driven moves. COPX, by contrast, offers a more even distribution across roughly 40 names and broader country exposure, including Chinese and Japanese producers, which can smooth idiosyncratic risk but also introduces different regional and currency dynamics. In a broad copper rally, a more diversified basket can dilute the contribution of any one outperformer; in a correction, COPP's concentration may magnify drawdowns. Liquidity and track record also favor COPX, which has a longer performance history for evaluating fund performance and relative positioning.
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Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a modest preference for COPX in a diversified, risk-aware context. COPX offers a more balanced portfolio, broader geographic diversification, greater liquidity, a longer track record, and a nearly identical expense ratio—characteristics that generally support more consistent relative positioning across market cycles. COPP's heavy concentration in FCX and its physical-copper sleeve can be attractive for investors seeking more direct, high-conviction exposure, but it also introduces higher single-name risk. The probabilistic assessment may shift with trend momentum, volatility, and sector rotation; however, on the balance of structural strength, cost efficiency, and diversification, COPX currently presents the more resilient profile.
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The Aroon Indicator for COPP entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 43 of the 48 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COPP as a result. In 37 of 44 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
COPP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COPP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COPP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for COPP's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COPP advanced for three days, in 154 of 163 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
COPP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where COPX declined for three days, in 262 of 295 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COPX as a result. In 76 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
COPX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COPX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for COPX entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COPX advanced for three days, in 294 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
COPX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
| COPP | COPX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 90% | 18 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 86% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COPP has been loosely correlated with MTAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COPP jumps, then MTAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COPP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COPP | 100% | -5.77% | ||
| MTAL - COPP | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| NAK - COPP | 48% Loosely correlated | -6.14% | ||
| RPC - COPP | 46% Loosely correlated | +4.60% | ||
| CVV - COPP | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.26% | ||
| SLS - COPP | 24% Poorly correlated | -6.51% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COPX has been closely correlated with BHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COPX jumps, then BHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COPX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COPX | 100% | -6.27% | ||
| BHP - COPX | 86% Closely correlated | -4.01% | ||
| WDS - COPX | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.18% | ||
| NEXA - COPX | 30% Poorly correlated | -7.77% | ||
| TKO - COPX | 13% Poorly correlated | -0.12% | ||
| MTAL - COPX | -2% Poorly correlated | -0.45% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DFSV | 38.91 | 0.49 | +1.28% |
| U.S. Small Cap Value Portfolio: ETF Class Shares (DFSV) | |||
| BNDD | 97.46 | 0.87 | +0.90% |
| Quadratic Deflation ETF (BNDD) | |||
| LSVD | 36.10 | -0.01 | -0.04% |
| LSV Disciplined Value ETF | |||
| ACEI | 23.44 | -0.34 | -1.41% |
| Innovator Equity Autocallable Income Strategy ETF | |||
| ECF | 11.44 | -0.36 | -3.05% |
| Ellsworth Growth and Income Fund Ltd | |||