COPX
Price
$71.72
Change
-$1.12 (-1.54%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
6.62B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
FXZ
Price
$74.59
Change
-$0.68 (-0.90%)
Updated
Nov 3, 03:43 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
365.52M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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COPX vs FXZ

COPX vs FXZ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) vs. First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund (FXZ)

1) Key Takeaways

  • Different mandates: COPX is a single-commodity, passive copper miners fund, while FXZ is a broad, factor-based (smart beta) U.S. materials fund spanning chemicals, steel, fertilizers, and gold miners.
  • Exposure contrast: COPX is roughly 97% basic materials and overwhelmingly international; FXZ is roughly 83% basic materials with a heavy U.S. tilt and a meaningful industrials sleeve.
  • Cost parity: Expense ratios are nearly identical, with COPX at 0.65% and FXZ at 0.64%.
  • Risk profiles diverge: COPX carries substantially higher volatility driven by copper prices and global mining cycles, while FXZ offers relatively lower, more diversified factor exposure.
  • Performance drivers differ: COPX is levered to electrification, copper supply deficits, and China demand; FXZ is driven by U.S. industrial activity, crop input cycles, and precious metals strength.
  • Positioning: Neither fund competes directly; they serve different portfolio roles within the natural resources and materials universe.

2) Introduction

Investors looking to add commodities-linked or industrial-materials exposure often face a choice between a concentrated thematic fund and a broader factor-driven vehicle. The Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) and the First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund (FXZ) sit in the same broad natural-resources conversation but are not direct substitutes. COPX isolates global copper producers, making it a pure play on the energy transition and electrification. FXZ spans the entire U.S. materials complex using a rules-based stock-selection process. This ETF comparison examines their structural differences, sector exposure, cost, and relative positioning to help investors understand which vehicle better aligns with their objectives.

3) Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) Overview

COPX is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the Solactive Global Copper Miners Index, providing exposure to companies involved in copper mining globally. It holds roughly 40 to 46 positions, concentrated in pure-play copper producers and diversified miners with significant copper revenue. Top holdings have recently included HBM (Hudbay Minerals), TECK (Teck Resources), SCCO (Southern Copper), BHP (BHP Group), and FCX (Freeport-McMoRan), alongside Glencore, KGHM Polska Miedź, Boliden, and Antofagasta. The top ten holdings represent roughly half of total assets.

Sector allocation is overwhelmingly basic materials at approximately 97%, with a small industrials remainder. Geographically, the fund is international: Canada accounts for roughly 35–40% of assets, with meaningful weight in the United States, Australia, China, Japan, Poland, and Latin America. The expense ratio is 0.65%. As a concentrated, single-commodity thematic fund, COPX is structurally sensitive to copper prices, mining costs, geopolitical risk in producing regions, and Chinese industrial demand.

4) First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund (FXZ) Overview

FXZ is a smart beta (rules-based) fund that tracks the StrataQuant Materials Index, using the AlphaDEX selection methodology. The index screens the materials and processing companies within the Russell 1000 Index and applies a modified equal-dollar weighting scheme designed to favor stocks with growth and value characteristics. The fund holds around 39 to 40 names, making it moderately concentrated for a factor-based strategy.

Top holdings have recently included NEM (Newmont), AU (AngloGold Ashanti), CDE (Coeur Mining), CF (CF Industries), and STLD (Steel Dynamics), with additional exposure to AA (Alcoa), MOS (Mosaic), and NUE (Nucor). Sector exposure is dominated by basic materials at roughly 83%, with a notable industrials sleeve near 13%. The fund is predominantly U.S.-listed, with about 90% domestic exposure, and carries an expense ratio of 0.64%. Unlike COPX, FXZ diversifies across gold mining, steel, aluminum, chemicals, and agricultural fertilizers.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within a materials and natural-resources complex shaped by intersecting macro forces. Copper remains a focal point of the electrification narrative, with demand tied to electric vehicles, grid infrastructure, and renewable energy, while supply growth stays constrained by long mine-development timelines and declining ore grades. These structural factors have supported copper producer fundamentals across recent market cycles.

More broadly, the U.S. materials sector has been influenced by reindustrialization, reshoring, infrastructure spending, and crop-input pricing. Gold miners, which hold significant weight in FXZ, have benefited from safe-haven demand and inflation hedging in an environment of elevated geopolitical uncertainty. Meanwhile, interest-rate expectations, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and China's economic trajectory are key swing factors for both funds. Sector risks include cyclical demand slowdowns, commodity price reversals, and regulatory or environmental pressures on mining and chemical producers.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have been driven by different engines. COPX has tracked the strength in copper prices and global miner earnings, exhibiting higher beta and materially greater volatility — its annualized volatility has historically run well above 30% — consistent with a concentrated, commodity-linked portfolio. FXZ has shown relatively more tempered volatility, in line with its diversified materials and industrials composition and a trailing three-year beta near 1.07.

Relative positioning has been shaped by sector rotation rather than a single catalyst. Strength in gold and steel has supported FXZ's precious-metals and metals-processing holdings, while copper-specific supply-demand dynamics and China stimulus expectations have dictated COPX's path. For investors, the trade-off is clear: COPX offers higher upside leverage to a single commodity theme with greater drawdown risk, whereas FXZ provides broader, factor-diversified materials exposure with more moderate dispersion across holdings.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend strength, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and emerging market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Whether you are comparing copper miners or broad materials exposure, the AI Screener can sharpen your watchlist in seconds.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FXZ for investors seeking more balanced, lower-volatility exposure within the materials complex, given its broader diversification, meaningful U.S. tilt, and multi-theme positioning across gold, steel, chemicals, and fertilizers. COPX's concentrated, single-commodity profile offers stronger upside capture during copper upcycles but introduces materially higher drawdown risk. If the AI's momentum and trend filters detect sustained strength in copper and the electrification theme, it could tilt toward COPX; however, on a risk-adjusted, cost-efficiency, and diversification basis, FXZ's steadier factor-driven profile tends to score more favorably in mixed or uncertain market environments.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
COPX vs. FXZ commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COPX is a Hold and FXZ is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for COPX with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

COPX in -6.34% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where COPX declined for three days, in 262 of 295 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COPX as a result. In 77 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

COPX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for COPX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for COPX entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where COPX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +4.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COPX advanced for three days, in 293 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

COPX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FXZ with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

FXZ's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for FXZ moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 55 cases where FXZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXZ just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXZ advanced for three days, in 274 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

FXZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FXZ as a result. In 69 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator for FXZ entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
COPXFXZ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
87%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
84%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
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COPX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
FXZ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FXZ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXZ has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXZ jumps, then AU could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FXZ
1D Price
Change %
FXZ100%
+1.06%
AU - FXZ
72%
Closely correlated
+3.10%
NEM - FXZ
71%
Closely correlated
+2.33%
CDE - FXZ
70%
Closely correlated
+1.68%
CBT - FXZ
66%
Closely correlated
+1.73%
TKR - FXZ
60%
Loosely correlated
+2.41%
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