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COST vs DLTR
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COST is a Buy and DLTR is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for COST turns positive, indicating new upward trend
COST saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 25, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 50 of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COST just turned positive on September 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where COST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
COST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COST advanced for three days, in 214 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
COST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for COST entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: COST's P/B Ratio (13.469) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.690). COST has a moderately high P/E Ratio (51.141) as compared to the industry average of (24.175). COST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.478) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.353) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
DLTR in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for DLTR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DLTR as a result. In 43 of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DLTR just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where DLTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
DLTR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in 197 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
DLTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DLTR entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.178) is normal, around the industry mean (5.690). P/E Ratio (16.079) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.175). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.447) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.109) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
COST | DLTR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 18 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DLTR's Valuation (76) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as COST (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DLTR’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DLTR (72) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew somewhat faster than DLTR’s over the last 12 months.
DLTR's SMR Rating (23) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as COST (34) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DLTR’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
DLTR's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as COST (43) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DLTR’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as DLTR (62) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to DLTR’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | DLTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while DLTR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- COST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DLTR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DLTR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COST’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DLTR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +4.11% price change this week, while DLTR (@Discount Stores) price change was +5.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
COST is expected to report earnings on Dec 10, 2026.
DLTR is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.35% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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