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DLTR vs PSMT
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DLTR is a Hold and PSMT is a Hold.
DLTR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
DLTR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 23 of 27 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DLTR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DLTR as a result. In 45 of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DLTR just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where DLTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +6.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in 199 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for DLTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
DLTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DLTR entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.357) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (14.218) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.447) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.109) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
PSMT sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On October 13, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for PSMT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 37 of the 58 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PSMT just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where PSMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +0.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PSMT advanced for three days, in 187 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PSMT as a result. In 42 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PSMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator for PSMT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PSMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.833) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (33.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.130) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.886) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
DLTR | PSMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 23 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PSMT's Valuation (70) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as DLTR (84). This means that PSMT’s stock grew similarly to DLTR’s over the last 12 months.
PSMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Discount Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for DLTR (77). This means that PSMT’s stock grew significantly faster than DLTR’s over the last 12 months.
DLTR's SMR Rating (23) in the Discount Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PSMT (64). This means that DLTR’s stock grew somewhat faster than PSMT’s over the last 12 months.
DLTR's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as PSMT (46). This means that DLTR’s stock grew similarly to PSMT’s over the last 12 months.
PSMT's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Discount Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DLTR (66). This means that PSMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than DLTR’s over the last 12 months.
| DLTR | PSMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 10 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 54% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DLTR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PSMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DLTR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PSMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DLTR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PSMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DLTR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PSMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
DLTR (@Discount Stores) experienced а +4.67% price change this week, while PSMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +0.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +4.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.83%.
Reported Earning Dates
DLTR is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
PSMT is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+4.42% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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DLTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DLTR has been loosely correlated with OLLI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DLTR jumps, then OLLI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DLTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | 100% | -0.18% | ||
| OLLI - DLTR | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.49% | ||
| PSMT - DLTR | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.08% | ||
| WMT - DLTR | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.80% | ||
| COST - DLTR | 20% Poorly correlated | +1.13% | ||
| DG - DLTR | 7% Poorly correlated | +0.35% | ||
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PSMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PSMT has been loosely correlated with WMT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 35% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PSMT jumps, then WMT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PSMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSMT | 100% | +0.08% | ||
| WMT - PSMT | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.80% | ||
| DLTR - PSMT | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.18% | ||
| COST - PSMT | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.13% | ||
| OLLI - PSMT | 18% Poorly correlated | -2.49% | ||
| TBBB - PSMT | 7% Poorly correlated | +2.94% | ||
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