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CPRT vs KMX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Copart (CPRT) vs. CarMax (KMX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different business models: CPRT (Copart) runs online salvage and used-vehicle auctions, while KMX (CarMax) is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the United States.
- Momentum favors KMX: CarMax has climbed roughly 48% year to date (YTD), while Copart has declined roughly 25% YTD despite a recent bounce.
- Fundamentals favor CPRT: Copart generates a roughly 32% profit margin and a near-zero debt load, versus CarMax's thin ~1% margin and higher leverage.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: On observable trend consistency and relative positioning, the AI framework currently favors KMX.
- For more context, explore CPRT Major News and CPRT Today's Price Move, as well as KMX Major News and KMX Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Copart (CPRT) and CarMax (KMX) both sit at the center of the used-vehicle ecosystem, yet they operate through very different models. Copart monetizes vehicles through online auctions, while CarMax generates revenue through retail sales and financing. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors weighing a high-margin, asset-light auction platform against a consumer-facing, cyclical retailer. In recent market activity, the two names have moved in notably different directions, making their relative performance and market positioning a useful case study for momentum-oriented traders and value-conscious investors alike.
CPRT Overview and Recent Performance
Copart, Inc. is a global provider of online vehicle auctions and remarketing services, selling salvage and used vehicles on behalf of insurers, banks, fleets, and dealers. The business is asset-light and highly profitable, with a profit margin near 32%, a return on invested capital (ROIC, a measure of how efficiently a company turns capital into profit) in the high-20% range, and a balance sheet holding roughly $4.5 billion in cash against minimal debt.
Recent weeks have been challenging for the stock. Shares remain well below their 52-week high and are down double digits YTD, reflecting softer U.S. insurance assignment volumes, the loss of a major national insurance account to a competitor, and moderating per-unit selling prices. Sentiment has also been shaped by Copart's all-cash tender offer to acquire ACV Auctions, which has been extended while an antitrust review proceeds, adding a layer of execution uncertainty. Despite the weaker trend, the shares have stabilized off their 52-week low as investors weigh long-term growth catalysts such as international expansion and rising total-loss frequency in vehicles.
KMX Overview and Recent Performance
CarMax, Inc. is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the United States, operating retail locations, wholesale auctions, and its own auto-finance arm. The company generates revenue from vehicle sales, extended protection plans, and financing, giving it a much larger top line than Copart but a far thinner margin of roughly 1%.
Recent market activity has favored CarMax. The stock has risen approximately 48% YTD and more than 35% over the trailing year, a sharp contrast to Copart's decline. The move has been supported by an earnings beat in the company's most recent quarterly report, signs of improving used-vehicle demand, and constructive analyst actions, including a notable upgrade from Bank of America with a higher price target. Offsetting these positives are a more leveraged balance sheet and persistent sensitivity to interest rates, which directly influence consumer financing costs and affordability. Nevertheless, the prevailing price trend over recent weeks has remained positive, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the used-car cycle.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, but only a select subset earns a place in its curated Trending AI Robots section. These featured bots are chosen because their strategies, statistics, and recent performance are considered among the most suitable for current market conditions. The available bots span a wide range of trading styles, timeframes, risk profiles, and ticker sets, each with its own win rate, profit factor, and trade history. This diversity allows traders to match a bot to their specific objectives rather than relying on a one-size-fits-all approach. To review the robots currently ranked as most relevant to the market, visit the Trending AI Robots page.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is momentum versus quality. KMX has delivered superior relative performance over the past year, driven by improving consumer demand and an earnings recovery, but it carries a higher beta (a measure of volatility versus the broader market) and relies on financing, which makes it more sensitive to interest rates and credit conditions.
CPRT, by contrast, operates with a fortress balance sheet, exceptional margins, and a structural tailwind from rising vehicle complexity and total-loss frequency. Its near-term challenge is operational rather than financial, centered on insurance volume softness and the pending ACV Auctions acquisition. In valuation terms, Copart trades at a lower trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio than CarMax, while CarMax offers a more direct play on the recovering consumer cycle. These trade-offs mean the two names appeal to different investor profiles: stability and quality for Copart, cyclical upside and momentum for CarMax.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative positioning, and recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI framework would currently lean toward KMX. CarMax's sustained positive momentum, its stronger YTD and trailing-year returns, and a recent earnings beat signal a more consistent uptrend than Copart's, which remains weighed down by volume softness and merger uncertainty. While Copart holds a structurally superior business on profitability and balance-sheet strength, those advantages have not yet translated into favorable price behavior. The AI assessment therefore favors the name exhibiting clearer positive trend alignment, with the caveat that outcomes are probabilistic and subject to change as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CPRT is a Buy and KMX is a Buy.
CPRT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CPRT turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CPRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CPRT as a result. In 45 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
CPRT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CPRT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +8.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPRT advanced for three days, in 179 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 117 of 224 cases where CPRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CPRT moved out of overbought territory on November 10, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 59%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
CPRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CPRT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.251) is normal, around the industry mean (5.887). P/E Ratio (20.481) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.618). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.678) is also within normal values, averaging (1.946). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.321) is also within normal values, averaging (9.907).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CPRT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
KMX's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMX turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where KMX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KMX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 57 cases where KMX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +5.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in 207 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 154 of 225 cases where KMX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KMX as a result. In 63 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
KMX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.194) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (31.975) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). KMX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.417) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.324) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
CPRT | KMX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 9 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CPRT's Valuation (76) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as KMX (82) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that CPRT’s stock grew similarly to KMX’s over the last 12 months.
CPRT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as KMX (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that CPRT’s stock grew similarly to KMX’s over the last 12 months.
CPRT's SMR Rating (53) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMX (86) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that CPRT’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMX’s over the last 12 months.
KMX's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as CPRT (45) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that KMX’s stock grew similarly to CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
KMX's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for CPRT (73) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that KMX’s stock grew significantly faster than CPRT’s over the last 12 months.
| CPRT | KMX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 6 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CPRT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while KMX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CPRT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KMX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CPRT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CPRT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KMX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
CPRT (@Office Equipment/Supplies) experienced а +3.99% price change this week, while KMX (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +1.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Office Equipment/Supplies industry was +14.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
CPRT is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
KMX is expected to report earnings on Dec 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Office Equipment/Supplies (+14.39% weekly)The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.16% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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CPRT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CPRT has been loosely correlated with FND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CPRT jumps, then FND could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CPRT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPRT | 100% | -0.40% | ||
| FND - CPRT | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| WSM - CPRT | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| RH - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.80% | ||
| HD - CPRT | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| LOW - CPRT | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
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KMX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMX has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KMX jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMX | 100% | -0.55% | ||
| CPRT - KMX | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.40% | ||
| FND - KMX | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| HZO - KMX | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| HNST - KMX | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| RH - KMX | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.80% | ||
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