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CRGY vs TTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) vs. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CRGY, a U.S.-focused exploration and production (E&P) company, has delivered year-to-date (YTD) gains of 53%, outperforming its larger peer amid strong oil prices.
- TTE, a global integrated energy major, shows YTD returns of 39% with lower volatility, bolstered by renewables expansion and a 4% dividend yield.
- Both stocks have risen about 57% over the past year, reflecting robust sector momentum, though CRGY's smaller market cap ($4.2B) implies higher risk-reward potential.
- Recent weeks saw CRGY volatile with asset sales and earnings anticipation, while TTE advanced on wind project approvals in Kazakhstan.
- Analysts rate CRGY a Buy with targets up to $19; TTE Moderate Buy with targets to $120.
Introduction
This comparison pits CRGY, a nimble U.S. oil and gas producer, against TTE, a diversified global energy leader. Both operate in the energy sector, benefiting from elevated oil prices and geopolitical tensions, but differ in scale, strategy, and risk profile. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye CRGY's growth trajectory, while long-term investors might prefer TTE's stability and dividends. This analysis highlights recent market positioning, performance, and catalysts to aid informed relative performance decisions in today's volatile environment.
CRGY Overview and Recent Performance
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is an independent E&P firm focused on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in key U.S. basins like Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta. With a market cap of $4.2 billion, it pursues growth through acquisitions and operational efficiencies. In recent market activity, shares traded around $12.73, within a 52-week range of $7.68–$14.02, reflecting volatility tied to commodity swings. YTD gains reached 53%, driven by strong Q4 2025 results (revenue $865 million, EPS beat) and asset optimization, including a $90 million DJ Basin sale. Sentiment has shifted positively on analyst upgrades and upcoming Q1 earnings, though recent weeks showed dips amid broader sector pressures.
TTE Overview and Recent Performance
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is a multinational integrated energy company spanning oil, gas, biofuels, renewables, and electricity production worldwide. Headquartered in France with a $193 billion market cap, it balances traditional upstream with green transitions. Shares recently hovered near $90, in a 52-week span of $56–$93, supported by steady performance. YTD up 39% and 57% over one year, momentum stems from robust trading, higher oil prices, and Q1 catalysts like maximized refinery output for French supply security. Recent developments include final investment in a 1 GW Kazakhstan wind project with battery storage, enhancing renewables exposure and investor confidence.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CRGY emphasizes U.S. shale growth via mergers and acquisitions (M&A), exposing it to domestic production cycles and higher volatility (smaller cap, focused upstream). TTE offers integrated operations with global diversification, including renewables (20%+ of investments), mitigating oil dependency. Recent momentum favors CRGY's 53% YTD surge versus TTE's 39%, but TTE provides stability (lower beta) and superior trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue scale ($182B vs. $3.6B). Risk factors include commodity exposure for both, though CRGY faces debt from expansions, while TTE contends with regulatory shifts in Europe. Market sentiment leans bullish on CRGY for earnings beats, TTE for strategic catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CRGY with higher probability for near-term upside, given superior YTD momentum, analyst enthusiasm, and basin-specific catalysts amid firm oil trends. TTE remains compelling for stability but trails in relative growth positioning. Observable trend consistency and positioning favor CRGY probabilistically in this environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CRGY is a Hold and TTE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CRGY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CRGY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CRGY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CRGY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TTE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +0.35% price change this week, while TTE (@Integrated Oil) price change was -0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
CRGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
TTE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CRGY | TTE | CRGY / TTE | |
| Capitalization | 3.82B | 196B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 43B | 3% |
| Gain YTD | 40.731 | 34.546 | 118% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.39 | 13.06 | 194% |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 184B | 2% |
| Total Cash | 9.78M | 29.9B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 5.37B | 64B | 8% |
TTE | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CRGY | TTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 62% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 78% | 10 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 51% |
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TTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTE has been loosely correlated with CRGY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTE jumps, then CRGY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTE | 100% | +0.34% | ||
| CRGY - TTE | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| E - TTE | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| SHEL - TTE | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BP - TTE | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| EQNR - TTE | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.55% | ||
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