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CTVA vs MOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) vs. The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CTVA shares have delivered stronger YTD performance at approximately 21%, outpacing MOS's 7% gain amid robust Q1 results and reaffirmed guidance.
- MOS trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 13x versus CTVA's 44x, reflecting its value positioning in potash and phosphate production.
- Recent market activity shows CTVA benefiting from seed and crop protection demand, while MOS faces softer North American fertilizer demand but eyes Q1 earnings.
- Both stocks operate in agriculture inputs, but CTVA plans a Q4 2026 separation into seed (Vylor) and crop protection entities, potentially unlocking value.
- CTVA exhibits lower debt/equity at 14% compared to MOS's 43%, signaling relatively stronger balance sheet stability.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight momentum in ag-related sectors, aiding stock comparison analysis.
Introduction
Comparing CTVA and MOS offers insights into agriculture input leaders: Corteva in seeds and crop protection versus Mosaic in phosphate and potash fertilizers. Both face commodity cycles, weather impacts, and global demand shifts, making this stock comparison relevant for traders eyeing sector rotation and investors assessing relative performance in basic materials. Recent market activity underscores contrasts in momentum and valuation, helping evaluate positioning amid evolving ag trends like sustainability and supply chain resilience.
CTVA Overview and Recent Performance
Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) is a pure-play agriculture company providing seed technologies and crop protection products, including herbicides, insecticides, and digital farming tools. In recent weeks, shares have traded around $81, reflecting YTD gains of 21% and 1-year returns near 23%, supported by strong Q1 2026 results: net sales up 11% to $4.91 billion and operating EBITDA rising 21% year-over-year (YoY). Management reaffirmed full-year guidance for operating EBITDA of $4.0-4.2 billion and EPS of $3.45-3.70, while advancing plans for a Q4 2026 separation into seed (Vylor) and crop protection businesses. Sentiment has been buoyed by volume growth in seeds and cost efficiencies, though shares dipped post-earnings on profit-taking. Market cap stands at $54 billion, with a trailing P/E of 44x.
MOS Overview and Recent Performance
The Mosaic Company (MOS) produces concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, operating mines and facilities globally. Shares hover near $22, with YTD performance at 7% and 1-year gains around 29%, but recent trading reflects caution ahead of Q1 earnings expected May 11. Prior Q4 saw EPS of $0.22 missing estimates amid weak U.S. phosphate demand, contributing to softer momentum. Analysts anticipate Q1 EPS of $0.20 and revenue of $2.75 billion, down YoY. Initiatives like idling Brazil facilities and rare earths exploration with Rainbow Rare Earths aim to diversify. Market cap is $7 billion, with a lower trailing P/E of 13x and higher dividend yield.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CTVA and MOS share ag input exposure but diverge in models: Corteva emphasizes innovation-driven seeds (majority profits) and crop protection, while Mosaic focuses on mining-intensive phosphates and potash. Growth drivers contrast—CTVA leverages R&D pipelines and the upcoming split for focus; MOS rides fertilizer pricing tied to commodities. Recent momentum favors CTVA with superior YTD returns, but MOS offers value at lower P/S (0.6x vs. 3.1x) and P/B (0.6x vs. 2.2x). Risks include weather/volatility for both, higher debt for Mosaic (43% debt/equity vs. 14%), and sentiment shifts from demand cycles. Sector ties amplify trade-offs in positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CTVA, driven by trend consistency from Q1 beats, reaffirmed guidance, and structural catalysts like the Q4 separation. Its relative stability, lower leverage, and YTD outperformance signal higher probability of near-term upside versus MOS's earnings overhang and demand pressures, though Mosaic's valuation provides a margin of safety.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CTVA is a Hold and MOS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CTVA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMOS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CTVA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MOS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CTVA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CTVA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CTVA (@Chemicals: Agricultural) experienced а +2.48% price change this week, while MOS (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price change was +1.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Agricultural industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
CTVA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MOS is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Agricultural (+0.96% weekly)The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.
| CTVA | MOS | CTVA / MOS | |
| Capitalization | 51.4B | 7.16B | 718% |
| EBITDA | 3.15B | 1.99B | 158% |
| Gain YTD | 15.203 | -8.280 | -184% |
| P/E Ratio | 41.55 | 160.79 | 26% |
| Revenue | 17.9B | 12.4B | 144% |
| Total Cash | 1.97B | 282M | 697% |
| Total Debt | 3.36B | 5.76B | 58% |
CTVA | MOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 47 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MOS's Valuation (16) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as CTVA (46) in the null industry. This means that MOS’s stock grew similarly to CTVA’s over the last 12 months.
CTVA's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for MOS (100) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that CTVA’s stock grew significantly faster than MOS’s over the last 12 months.
CTVA's SMR Rating (87) in the null industry is in the same range as MOS (91) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that CTVA’s stock grew similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
CTVA's Price Growth Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as MOS (62) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that CTVA’s stock grew similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
MOS's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CTVA (60) in the null industry. This means that MOS’s stock grew somewhat faster than CTVA’s over the last 12 months.
| CTVA | MOS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 56% |
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CTVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CTVA has been loosely correlated with NTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CTVA jumps, then NTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CTVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTVA | 100% | +1.53% | ||
| NTR - CTVA | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.98% | ||
| MOS - CTVA | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.69% | ||
| IPI - CTVA | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.66% | ||
| FMC - CTVA | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| CF - CTVA | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
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