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CVNA vs ETSY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs. Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CVNA and ETSY have posted strong gains in recent weeks, with CVNA up over 40% in the past month amid anticipation for Q1 earnings.
- ETSY leads year-to-date performance at around 13%, reflecting recovery momentum following the sale of its Depop unit.
- CVNA's higher P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio, around 48) signals elevated growth expectations compared to ETSY's roughly 45.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 29 could drive further volatility, with analysts forecasting robust revenue growth for both.
- Analyst price targets have risen recently for both stocks, indicating improving sentiment in the e-commerce space.
Introduction
Carvana Co. (CVNA) and Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) represent distinct e-commerce plays in the consumer discretionary sector, with CVNA focusing on used vehicle sales and ETSY on handmade and vintage goods marketplaces. This stock comparison is relevant for traders eyeing short-term momentum amid recent market recoveries and investors assessing growth potential in online retail. Both have shown relative strength in recent market activity, with heightened interest ahead of Q1 earnings. Understanding their business models, performance drivers, and risks aids in evaluating relative positioning in a volatile environment.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
Carvana Co. (CVNA) operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars, emphasizing a seamless online experience with delivery options. In recent weeks, the stock has surged over 40% in the past month, trading around $409, driven by optimism for Q1 results expected on April 29, with forecasts of $1.41 EPS (earnings per share) and $6.12 billion in revenue. This follows record Q4 2025 performance and a 5-for-1 stock split earlier in the year. Sentiment has shifted positively on sustained unit growth and profitability improvements, though YTD returns remain slightly negative at -3%, reflecting broader volatility in auto retail. Analyst targets have climbed, with Bank of America raising to $410.
ETSY Overview and Recent Performance
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) runs a global online marketplace connecting buyers with independent sellers of unique, handmade, and vintage items. The stock has climbed about 32% in the past month, hovering near $63, buoyed by a share price recovery and the February sale of its Depop platform to eBay for $1.2 billion, allowing focus on core operations. YTD gains stand at 13%, outperforming peers amid analyst upgrades like Raymond James' $75 target. Q1 earnings due April 29 anticipate $0.69 EPS and $615 million revenue. Recent sentiment reflects resilience in niche e-commerce despite macroeconomic pressures on discretionary spending.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVNA and ETSY both thrive in e-commerce but diverge in business models: CVNA's asset-heavy used-car sales contrast ETSY's asset-light marketplace for creative goods. Growth drivers include CVNA's unit sales expansion versus ETSY's seller ecosystem and recent divestitures. Recent momentum favors CVNA in monthly gains, but ETSY shows steadier YTD progress. Risk factors encompass CVNA's high beta (2.86) and inventory sensitivity to rates, while ETSY faces competition from mass retailers. Sector exposure ties both to consumer discretionary, with sentiment lifted by earnings anticipation and analyst upgrades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CVNA, citing superior recent momentum, higher expected earnings growth, and consistent trend strength in recent market activity. While ETSY offers relative stability and valuation appeal, CVNA's catalysts position it probabilistically better for near-term outperformance, pending Q1 results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVNA is a Hold and ETSY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileETSY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ETSY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVNA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ETSY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVNA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ETSY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а +0.62% price change this week, while ETSY (@Internet Retail) price change was +6.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -2.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
ETSY is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-2.93% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
@Internet Retail (-0.08% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
| CVNA | ETSY | CVNA / ETSY | |
| Capitalization | 50.2B | 6.96B | 721% |
| EBITDA | -88M | 387M | -23% |
| Gain YTD | -17.018 | 32.287 | -53% |
| P/E Ratio | 40.58 | 28.10 | 144% |
| Revenue | 22.5B | 2.9B | 775% |
| Total Cash | 2.9B | 1.43B | 204% |
| Total Debt | 5.55B | 3.08B | 180% |
CVNA | ETSY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (74) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ETSY (85) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to ETSY’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's Profit vs Risk Rating (78) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ETSY (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to ETSY’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for ETSY (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew significantly faster than ETSY’s over the last 12 months.
ETSY's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVNA (54) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that ETSY’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
ETSY's P/E Growth Rating (79) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CVNA (96) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that ETSY’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| CVNA | ETSY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 84% | 8 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 70% |
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | +1.65% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | -2.84% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.59% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
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