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CVNA vs W
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs. Wayfair Inc. (W) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVNA has achieved profitability with trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS of $8.47 and net income of $1.41 billion, contrasting with W's ongoing losses and TTM EPS of -$2.44.
- CVNA's market cap stands at $58.5 billion, significantly larger than W's $10.3 billion, reflecting greater scale in the used vehicle e-commerce space.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility with betas around 3.5, sensitive to consumer spending trends in recent market activity.
- CVNA trades near its 52-week high with positive sentiment ahead of Q1 earnings, while W faces cautious outlooks amid customer declines.
- Year-to-date, W has outperformed with approximately 22% gains versus CVNA's 3%, though longer-term relative performance favors CVNA.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CVNA and W, two prominent e-commerce players in consumer discretionary sectors—used vehicles and home furnishings, respectively. Both have navigated post-pandemic recoveries amid economic shifts, high interest rates, and fluctuating consumer demand. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing growth in digital retail may find value in analyzing their relative performance, financial health, and market positioning. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in profitability, volatility, and upcoming catalysts, offering insights into sector dynamics and potential trade-offs in a volatile environment.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
Carvana Co. (CVNA) operates a leading e-commerce platform for buying and selling used vehicles, emphasizing a seamless online experience with inspection, financing, and delivery services. In recent weeks, shares have hovered around $409, down slightly from late-2025 peaks near $430 but up significantly year-over-year. The stock's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 48.3 (TTM), supported by robust profitability with TTM revenue of $20.32 billion and net income of $1.41 billion. Sentiment has been buoyed by record Q4 2025 results and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, expecting $1.41 EPS and $6.12 billion revenue, alongside profit growth and analyst upgrades. High debt-to-equity (133%) remains a risk, but unit growth and operational efficiencies have driven positive momentum in recent market activity.
W Overview and Recent Performance
Wayfair Inc. (W) is an e-commerce destination for furniture, décor, and home goods through platforms like Wayfair, Joss & Main, and Birch Lane. Shares recently closed at $78.78, within a 52-week range of $28.77 to $119.98, reflecting volatility. The forward PE is 26.25, but trailing losses persist with TTM revenue of $12.46 billion and net loss of $313 million. Recent performance shows one-month gains around 13%, though three-month declines and cautious YTD trends amid active customer softness. Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates, yet shares dipped on weak guidance; ongoing hybrid retail tests and revenue pressures influence sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVNA and W both thrive in e-commerce but diverge in focus: automotive retail versus home goods, exposing CVNA to vehicle cycles and W to housing trends. Growth drivers include CVNA's logistics expansion versus W's brand diversification. Recent momentum favors CVNA pre-earnings, while W contends with revenue headwinds. Risks encompass high betas (3.61 vs. 3.31), economic sensitivity, and leverage for both. Sector exposure ties to discretionary spending, but CVNA's profitability edges sentiment, trading at a premium valuation amid stronger positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward CVNA due to consistent profitability trends, upcoming earnings catalysts, and superior relative scale versus W. Factors like positive EPS revisions and momentum stability suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, though W could rebound on consumer recovery. This assessment reflects observable data patterns, not guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVNA is a Hold and W is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- W’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVNA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while W’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- W’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while W (@Internet Retail) price change was +13.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.59%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -0.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
W is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (+1.66% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
@Internet Retail (-0.20% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
| CVNA | W | CVNA / W | |
| Capitalization | 45.9B | 10.2B | 450% |
| EBITDA | -88M | 128M | -69% |
| Gain YTD | -24.056 | -22.727 | 106% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.14 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 22.5B | 12.7B | 177% |
| Total Cash | 2.9B | 1.06B | 273% |
| Total Debt | 5.55B | 3.64B | 153% |
CVNA | W | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (73) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as W (100) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to W’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's Profit vs Risk Rating (82) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as W (100) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to W’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for W (100) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew significantly faster than W’s over the last 12 months.
W's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (62) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that W’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
W's P/E Growth Rating (94) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (97) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that W’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| CVNA | W | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 89% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 83% | 19 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 84% | 7 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 88% |
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | -5.49% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.48% | ||
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