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D vs DUK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dominion Energy (D) vs. Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dominion Energy (D) has delivered stronger year-to-date performance than Duke Energy (DUK), with YTD returns near 24% versus approximately 13% for DUK amid broader market gains.
- Both companies operate as regulated electric utilities and are positioned to benefit from rising electricity demand driven by data centers and electrification trends.
- Dominion Energy maintains a more concentrated geographic exposure, particularly in Virginia, while Duke Energy offers greater diversification across multiple states and a larger nuclear generation component.
- Recent developments include Dominion Energy's upcoming second-quarter earnings call on July 31, 2026, and Duke Energy's North Carolina rate settlement plus a quarterly dividend increase.
- Dividend yields stand at approximately 3.7% for Dominion Energy and 3.4% for Duke Energy, supporting income-oriented strategies in the utilities sector.
- Market sentiment for both remains constructive due to infrastructure investment cycles, though relative momentum has favored Dominion Energy in recent market activity.
Introduction
Investors and traders frequently compare Dominion Energy (D) and Duke Energy (DUK) as leading regulated electric utilities in the United States. Both companies serve millions of customers across the eastern U.S. and stand to gain from structural increases in power demand. This analysis examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and key differentiators to assist those evaluating relative performance, dividend stability, and sector positioning within the current market environment. The comparison is particularly relevant for income-focused portfolios and those assessing utilities exposure amid evolving energy infrastructure needs.
Dominion Energy (D) Overview and Recent Performance
Dominion Energy operates as a major regulated utility with significant electric and natural gas operations, primarily serving customers in Virginia and surrounding states. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience, closing near $71.10 as of July 24, 2026, with year-to-date gains of approximately 23.87%. Performance has been supported by positive sentiment around data center power demand and reaffirmed full-year 2026 operating earnings per share guidance. The company is scheduled to report second-quarter results on July 31, 2026. A dividend yield near 3.7% continues to attract income investors, while market capitalization stands at approximately $62.5 billion.
Duke Energy (DUK) Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy is one of the largest U.S. electric utilities, serving customers across six states with a diversified generation mix that includes nuclear assets. The stock closed at approximately $130.52 on July 24, 2026, reflecting year-to-date returns near 13.27%. Recent market activity has been influenced by a favorable North Carolina rate settlement and a quarterly dividend increase to $1.085 per share, supporting a yield of about 3.4%. The company is set to report earnings on August 4, 2026. With a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion, Duke Energy benefits from broader geographic reach and ongoing infrastructure investments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Dominion Energy and Duke Energy share a core regulated utility model but differ in scale, geography, and growth emphasis. Dominion Energy’s more focused Virginia-centric footprint provides sharper exposure to data center expansion, potentially driving higher near-term demand visibility, though it introduces greater regulatory concentration risk. Duke Energy’s multi-state operations and expanding nuclear capabilities offer broader diversification and long-term optionality in clean energy transitions. Recent momentum has tilted toward Dominion Energy on relative returns, while Duke Energy has highlighted regulatory wins and dividend growth. Both face similar sector risks, including interest rate sensitivity and capital expenditure requirements, yet trade-offs in geographic concentration versus scale define their distinct profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, demand catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI framework would likely express a modest probabilistic preference for Dominion Energy (D) in the current environment. The company’s concentrated data center exposure in Virginia offers clearer near-term visibility compared with broader industry dynamics, alongside consistent earnings execution. Duke Energy (DUK) presents compelling diversification and nuclear advantages that could narrow any gap under different conditions. This assessment reflects measurable elements rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is D is a Buy and DUK is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
D’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDUK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- D’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
D’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DUK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- D’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DUK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
D (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -3.23% price change this week, while DUK (@Electric Utilities) price change was -4.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -1.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
D is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
DUK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-1.28% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| D | DUK | D / DUK | |
| Capitalization | 60B | 96.2B | 62% |
| EBITDA | 8.45B | 17.6B | 48% |
| Gain YTD | 18.941 | 7.043 | 269% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.62 | 18.58 | 127% |
| Revenue | 17.4B | 33.2B | 52% |
| Total Cash | 351M | 2.14B | 16% |
| Total Debt | 51.8B | 91.2B | 57% |
D | DUK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (38) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as D (46). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to D’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for D (87). This means that DUK’s stock grew somewhat faster than D’s over the last 12 months.
D's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (73). This means that D’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
D's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (58). This means that D’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
D's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (61). This means that D’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| D | DUK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 34% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 52% | 14 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 45% |
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Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, D has been closely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if D jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.