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D vs DUK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dominion Energy (D) vs. Duke Energy (DUK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dominion Energy (D) offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 4.3%, compared to Duke Energy's (DUK) 3.3%.
- DUK has demonstrated stronger year-to-date performance at around 14%, outperforming D's 3% gain.
- Recent three-month momentum favors DUK with an 11.7% rise, versus mixed results for D.
- Both stocks benefit from defensive utility sector positioning amid market volatility, with stable regulated revenues.
- D faces upcoming Q1 earnings with expected EPS (earnings per share) decline, while DUK announced a $103 billion capital plan.
- Higher payout ratio for D (77%) contrasts DUK's 67%, signaling differences in dividend sustainability.
Introduction
Dominion Energy (D) and Duke Energy (DUK) are prominent electric utility providers, serving millions across the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. This comparison is relevant for income-focused investors seeking dividend stability and defensive plays in volatile markets, as well as traders monitoring relative performance in the utilities sector. Both stocks offer exposure to regulated infrastructure with growth from clean energy transitions and rising demand, helping readers assess positioning in the current environment.
Dominion Energy (D) Overview and Recent Performance
Dominion Energy (D), headquartered in Virginia, delivers electricity to 3.6 million customers and natural gas to 1.9 million, primarily in Virginia and the Carolinas. The company emphasizes offshore wind, solar, and nuclear for clean energy goals. In recent market activity, shares have traded around $62-$64, reflecting a year-to-date gain of 2.9% and 19.6% over the past year. Performance has been influenced by anticipation of Q1 earnings, expected to show a 6.45% EPS decline, alongside insider buying and advancements in offshore wind projects. Sentiment remains supported by a 4.3% dividend yield, though higher interest rates pressure utility valuations.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy (DUK), a larger utility giant, serves over 8.4 million electric customers across the Carolinas, Florida, and Midwest, with natural gas operations. It focuses on grid modernization and renewables. Shares have hovered near $127-$129 in recent weeks, with 13.9% year-to-date returns and an 11.7% three-month advance outperforming the industry. Key drivers include a Q4 2025 revenue beat at $7.94 billion and a $103 billion five-year investment plan for infrastructure expansion. A 3.3% dividend yield bolsters appeal, with shares trading below recent highs amid broader sector resilience.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both D and DUK operate regulated utility models, generating stable revenues from electric and gas distribution with predictable returns. DUK benefits from greater scale and geographic diversity, driving growth via its expansive capex plans, while D emphasizes offshore wind catalysts. Recent momentum tilts to DUK, with superior three-month gains amid data center demand tailwinds. D counters with a higher dividend yield but elevated payout ratio, potentially limiting flexibility. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity—higher rates compress P/E (price-to-earnings) multiples—and regulatory hurdles. Market sentiment favors DUK for stability, though both exhibit defensive traits versus broader indices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Duke Energy (DUK) based on stronger trend consistency, recent momentum outperformance, and clear catalysts like substantial infrastructure investments. While D provides attractive yield, DUK's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term upside in the utilities sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is D is a Hold and DUK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
D’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDUK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- D’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
D’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DUK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- D’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
D (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +2.58% price change this week, while DUK (@Electric Utilities) price change was -1.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
D is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.41% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| D | DUK | D / DUK | |
| Capitalization | 60.2B | 96.6B | 62% |
| EBITDA | 8.45B | 17.6B | 48% |
| Gain YTD | 19.185 | 7.382 | 260% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.18 | 19.06 | 106% |
| Revenue | 17.4B | 33.2B | 52% |
| Total Cash | 351M | 2.14B | 16% |
| Total Debt | 51.8B | 91.2B | 57% |
D | DUK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (44) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as D (50). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to D’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for D (87). This means that DUK’s stock grew somewhat faster than D’s over the last 12 months.
D's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (72). This means that D’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
D's Price Growth Rating (26) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (52). This means that D’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as D (56). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to D’s over the last 12 months.
| D | DUK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 31% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 55% | 19 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 27% |
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