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DB vs NWG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Deutsche Bank (DB) vs. NatWest Group (NWG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DB has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 18%, outpacing NWG's 6.6% gain, amid recent market volatility.
- Both stocks trade at attractive valuations with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 8.7-8.8, reflecting efficient profitability relative to share prices.
- NWG offers a higher dividend yield of 5.6%, appealing to income-focused investors, compared to DB's 3.7%.
- DB exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 1.03 versus NWG's 0.83 (beta measures a stock's volatility relative to the market).
- Analysts project significant upside for DB with a 41% potential increase to targets around $45, while NWG holds a consensus "Hold" rating.
- Recent headwinds for DB include regulatory scrutiny and private credit exposure, contrasting NWG's steadier profile.
Introduction
Deutsche Bank (DB) and NatWest Group (NWG), two prominent European banks, offer distinct exposures within the financial sector. DB, a global investment powerhouse, contrasts with NWG's UK-centric retail and commercial focus. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, valuations, and market dynamics amid shifting interest rates and economic uncertainties. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye DB, while income-oriented investors could favor NWG. Understanding these differences aids in portfolio diversification and relative performance assessment in the current environment.
DB Overview and Recent Performance
Deutsche Bank AG (DB) is a leading global investment bank with operations in corporate banking, investment banking, and asset management. Trading near $31.81 with a market capitalization of $61 billion, the stock has navigated volatility in recent weeks. Following record 2025 profits of €9.7 billion pre-tax, shares faced pressure from a regulatory raid and disclosure of €25.9 billion in private credit exposure, leading to a sharp pullback. However, anticipation of Q1 2026 results has spurred a modest rebound, with the stock up over 6% in the past month and YTD gains of 18%. Sentiment reflects optimism on revenue targets of €33 billion for 2026, bolstered by strong earnings per share (EPS) of $3.62.
NWG Overview and Recent Performance
NatWest Group plc (NWG) focuses on retail, commercial, and private banking primarily in the UK, with a market cap of about $63 billion. Shares recently closed at $15.76, reflecting steady trading amid broader sector pressures. Building on robust 2025 results, including Q4 EPS beats and full-year profit growth, the stock has posted YTD returns of 6.6%. Recent analyst downgrades to "Market Perform" have tempered enthusiasm, yet attractive metrics like a P/E of 8.66 and EPS of $1.82 support resilience. Investors await Q1 2026 earnings, with performance influenced by UK economic conditions and interest rate dynamics, maintaining a lower-risk profile relative to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DB and NWG both benefit from European banking tailwinds but diverge in models: DB's global investment banking drives higher growth potential via fees and trading, targeting €33 billion revenues, while NWG emphasizes stable UK lending and deposits. Momentum favors DB with superior YTD gains and recent monthly upside, versus NWG's more muted trajectory. Risk profiles contrast, with DB exposed to regulatory probes and private credit (non-bank financial institution) risks, heightening its beta, while NWG offers sector stability and superior yield. Market sentiment leans bullish on DB via "Strong Buy" calls and 41% upside, against NWG's "Hold."
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward DB based on stronger trend consistency, YTD momentum, and analyst-projected upside amid revenue growth targets. NWG provides relative stability and yield appeal, but DB's catalysts position it favorably in probabilistic terms for near-term outperformance, subject to Q1 results and macro factors.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DB is a Buy and NWG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DB’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNWG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- DB’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NWG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DB’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NWG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NWG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
DB (@Regional Banks) experienced а +4.61% price change this week, while NWG (@Regional Banks) price change was +6.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
DB is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
NWG is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+0.83% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| DB | NWG | DB / NWG | |
| Capitalization | 68.3B | 67.2B | 102% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -6.406 | 4.355 | -147% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.96 | 9.48 | 105% |
| Revenue | 32.2B | 17B | 189% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 137B | 6.64B | 2,063% |
DB | NWG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NWG's Valuation (18) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as DB (22). This means that NWG’s stock grew similarly to DB’s over the last 12 months.
NWG's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as DB (27). This means that NWG’s stock grew similarly to DB’s over the last 12 months.
DB's SMR Rating (6) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as NWG (7). This means that DB’s stock grew similarly to NWG’s over the last 12 months.
DB's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as NWG (45). This means that DB’s stock grew similarly to NWG’s over the last 12 months.
NWG's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DB (82). This means that NWG’s stock grew somewhat faster than DB’s over the last 12 months.
| DB | NWG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 61% | 27 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 65% |
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NWG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NWG has been closely correlated with LYG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NWG jumps, then LYG could also see price increases.