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DELL vs SMCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DELL has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date performance than SMCI, with gains exceeding 265% compared to roughly 27% for SMCI.
- Both companies benefit from robust demand for AI servers, yet DELL reports a record $51.3 billion AI-optimized server backlog while SMCI has secured over $60 billion in new orders.
- DELL maintains a larger market capitalization of approximately $295 billion versus SMCI’s $24 billion, reflecting greater scale and diversification.
- Valuation metrics show SMCI trading at a lower trailing price-to-earnings ratio of about 11.4 compared to DELL’s 36.5, indicating different risk-reward profiles.
- Recent market activity highlights governance concerns for SMCI alongside positive partnership developments, while DELL focuses on guidance raises and earnings momentum ahead of its September report.
- Sector exposure centers on AI infrastructure for both, with DELL offering broader enterprise solutions and SMCI emphasizing specialized high-density server configurations.
Introduction
Investors and traders focused on the artificial intelligence infrastructure theme often compare DELL and SMCI because both companies supply critical hardware for data centers and high-performance computing. This analysis examines their relative performance, business positioning, and market dynamics in the current environment. Portfolio managers evaluating concentrated technology exposure, growth-oriented investors seeking AI-related catalysts, and quantitative traders monitoring momentum shifts may find the comparison relevant for assessing risk-adjusted opportunities across large-cap and mid-cap segments of the sector.
DELL Overview and Recent Performance
Dell Technologies Inc. operates as a global technology provider offering servers, storage, networking, and client solutions with a growing emphasis on AI-optimized infrastructure. In recent weeks, DELL shares have traded near $456 after closing at $472.26 on August 28, reflecting volatility amid broader market movements and anticipation of fiscal second-quarter results. The stock maintains a substantial year-to-date advance supported by repeated guidance increases tied to AI server demand. A record $51.3 billion AI-optimized server backlog has bolstered sentiment, while analysts anticipate continued revenue expansion driven by enterprise adoption. Recent market activity shows resilience despite short-term pullbacks, with institutional focus remaining on supply constraints and upcoming earnings.
SMCI Overview and Recent Performance
Super Micro Computer, Inc. specializes in high-performance server and storage solutions optimized for artificial intelligence, cloud, and edge computing workloads. Over the recent period, SMCI shares have fluctuated around the $37 level following a close of $38.46 on August 25, influenced by order announcements and external developments. The company reported strong fiscal 2026 results with revenue reaching $39.1 billion and secured more than $60 billion in new orders, primarily AI-related. A partnership expansion with Cisco for liquid-cooled AI racks provided a positive catalyst, though governance and compliance matters have periodically weighed on sentiment. Recent market activity reflects recovery attempts amid competitive pressures in the AI server space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DELL operates with a diversified business model encompassing servers, PCs, and enterprise services, providing broader revenue stability compared to SMCI’s more concentrated focus on specialized AI servers. Growth drivers for both center on AI infrastructure demand, though DELL benefits from larger-scale backlog execution while SMCI highlights rapid order intake and margin expansion potential. Recent momentum favors DELL in absolute returns and market capitalization scale, yet SMCI trades at materially lower valuation multiples that may appeal to value-oriented participants. Risk factors include SMCI’s exposure to regulatory and governance overhangs versus DELL’s supply-chain constraints. Sector exposure remains aligned in AI hardware, but DELL offers greater enterprise integration and SMCI provides customization advantages for specific high-density deployments. Market sentiment reflects confidence in sustained AI spending for both, tempered by differing execution track records and balance-sheet profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, backlog visibility, and relative positioning within the AI infrastructure supply chain, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to DELL over SMCI. The larger company exhibits more stable momentum patterns and diversified catalysts that align with sustained institutional flows. SMCI presents compelling order momentum and valuation appeal but carries elevated variability from external developments. This assessment reflects pattern recognition across recent market data rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DELL is a StrongBuy and SMCI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DELL’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSMCI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DELL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DELL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMCI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DELL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DELL (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +14.88% price change this week, while SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was +6.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -0.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +35.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
DELL is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-0.89% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
| DELL | SMCI | DELL / SMCI | |
| Capitalization | 339B | 26B | 1,304% |
| EBITDA | 14.8B | 3.07B | 481% |
| Gain YTD | 320.190 | 35.258 | 908% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.49 | 12.14 | 251% |
| Revenue | 134B | 39.1B | 343% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 7.52B | - |
| Total Debt | 31.2B | 8.76B | 356% |
DELL | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SMCI's Valuation (29) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as DELL (44) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry. This means that SMCI’s stock grew similarly to DELL’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (77) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's SMR Rating (17) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (36) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (41) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (94) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
| DELL | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 19 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 80% |
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DELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DELL has been loosely correlated with NTAP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DELL jumps, then NTAP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | 100% | +1.50% | ||
| NTAP - DELL | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| SMCI - DELL | 49% Loosely correlated | +4.54% | ||
| HPQ - DELL | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| LOGI - DELL | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| P - DELL | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
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