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DELL vs SMCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DELL has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date returns than SMCI, driven by consistent AI server demand and major contract wins.
- Both companies operate in the AI infrastructure sector, but DELL offers broader exposure through its diversified hardware and services portfolio, while SMCI remains more specialized in high-performance servers.
- Recent market activity shows DELL achieving record highs amid a $10 billion AI-factory deal, whereas SMCI exhibits higher volatility ahead of its August earnings report.
- Growth drivers for both center on artificial intelligence (AI) data center expansion, though DELL reports more stable revenue trajectories in recent fiscal periods.
- Risk factors include valuation premiums for DELL and execution or financing challenges for SMCI in a competitive supply chain environment.
- Market sentiment favors established players with proven scale, positioning DELL with relatively steadier positioning in the current environment.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware boom often evaluate DELL and SMCI as complementary yet distinct plays in server and infrastructure markets. This comparison examines their business models, recent price behavior, and relative positioning amid sustained demand for AI-optimized computing. The analysis targets portfolio managers, momentum traders, and fundamental investors who require objective data on performance differentials, sector overlap, and risk profiles to inform allocation decisions in a rapidly evolving technology landscape.
DELL Overview and Recent Performance
Dell Technologies Inc. provides end-to-end IT infrastructure solutions, including servers, storage, networking, and personal computers, with growing emphasis on AI-optimized systems. In recent weeks, DELL shares reached an all-time closing high of $467.27 amid broader market enthusiasm for AI infrastructure. The company reported fiscal 2026 revenue of $113.5 billion, reflecting 19% year-over-year growth, supported by strong demand for AI servers. A notable catalyst included selection as technology provider for a $10 billion AI-factory project, contributing to momentum. Share price appreciation exceeded 260% year-to-date in available reports, with recent trading activity around the $450–$460 range reflecting both gains and modest pullbacks. Sentiment has remained constructive due to consistent contract momentum and diversified revenue streams.
SMCI Overview and Recent Performance
Super Micro Computer, Inc. specializes in high-performance servers and storage solutions tailored for data centers, cloud computing, and AI workloads. In recent market activity, SMCI shares have traded near $30–$31, showing recovery attempts after earlier volatility that included double-digit monthly declines. The company launched new AI data center racks and continues to benefit from substantial order backlogs tied to AI demand. Upcoming earnings scheduled for August 11, 2026, have drawn analyst attention amid mixed sentiment. Year-to-date performance has been more modest compared with peers, with shares reflecting both gains from product expansions and pressure from financing activities and supply chain considerations. Recent price behavior indicates heightened sensitivity to sector news and earnings expectations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DELL operates a diversified business model encompassing servers, PCs, and services, providing broader sector exposure and revenue stability than SMCI’s narrower focus on high-performance computing hardware. Growth drivers for both stem from AI data center buildouts, yet DELL has secured larger-scale contracts and reported more consistent fiscal results recently. Momentum favors DELL, which achieved record highs, while SMCI displays greater price volatility linked to earnings cycles and capital raises. Risk factors include elevated valuations for the larger-cap DELL versus execution and financing dependencies for SMCI. Market sentiment currently tilts toward established scale players, creating trade-offs between DELL’s relative stability and SMCI’s potential for sharper rebounds in favorable AI cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, contract momentum, and relative stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign higher probabilistic favor to DELL over SMCI. Stronger year-to-date performance, diversified exposure, and visible catalysts support this positioning, though outcomes remain subject to broader market conditions and sector developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DELL is a Buy and SMCI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DELL’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSMCI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DELL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DELL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMCI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DELL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DELL (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +12.99% price change this week, while SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was +33.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was +15.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +41.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
DELL is expected to report earnings on Sep 03, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (+15.88% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
| DELL | SMCI | DELL / SMCI | |
| Capitalization | 320B | 25.3B | 1,265% |
| EBITDA | 14.8B | 1.76B | 839% |
| Gain YTD | 296.436 | 33.789 | 877% |
| P/E Ratio | 39.40 | 20.61 | 191% |
| Revenue | 134B | 33.7B | 398% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.29B | - |
| Total Debt | 31.2B | 8.81B | 354% |
DELL | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 50 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 78 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 36 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SMCI's Valuation (35) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as DELL (50) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry. This means that SMCI’s stock grew similarly to DELL’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (79) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's SMR Rating (17) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (50) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (40) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (78) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
| DELL | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 76% |
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DELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DELL has been loosely correlated with NTAP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DELL jumps, then NTAP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | 100% | +2.07% | ||
| NTAP - DELL | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| LOGI - DELL | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| HPQ - DELL | 48% Loosely correlated | +6.90% | ||
| SMCI - DELL | 43% Loosely correlated | +4.12% | ||
| P - DELL | 41% Loosely correlated | +5.34% | ||
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SMCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | 100% | +4.12% | ||
| DELL - SMCI | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.07% | ||
| UMAC - SMCI | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| LOGI - SMCI | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.21% | ||
| RGTI - SMCI | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| OSS - SMCI | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.80% | ||
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