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DELL vs SMCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DELL has delivered explosive growth driven by AI-optimized servers, backed by a record AI server order backlog.
- SMCI trades at a lower valuation but carries higher volatility and unresolved governance and legal overhangs.
- Both companies are core beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure build-out, yet they differ sharply in business diversification and risk profile.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors DELL over SMCI.
- For deeper coverage, explore DELL Major News and DELL Today's Price Move, as well as SMCI Major News and SMCI Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are currently performing best across the market, visit Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Dell Technologies (DELL) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) sit at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, supplying the servers that power large-scale data centers. While both names are frequently grouped together as "AI hardware" plays, they represent very different risk-and-reward profiles. This stock comparison is relevant for growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to AI compute demand, as well as traders watching sector momentum and relative performance. By examining recent market activity, growth drivers, and market positioning, investors can better understand how these two tickers diverge despite operating in the same competitive arena.
DELL Overview and Recent Performance
Dell Technologies has evolved from a PC-focused manufacturer into a diversified IT infrastructure leader, spanning client devices, enterprise storage, networking, and high-performance AI servers. Its AI Factory platform, developed with NVIDIA (NVDA), has become a central pillar of its growth story. In its most recent reported quarter, revenue surged roughly 58% year over year to a record level, while earnings per share climbed sharply, fueled by strong AI server demand. The company has highlighted a record AI server backlog, providing forward revenue visibility.
In recent weeks, however, DELL shares have been volatile. A notable analyst downgrade questioned whether revenue gains reflected durable enterprise AI adoption or, in part, pass-through of rising memory component costs. The stock pulled back sharply before rebounding alongside a broader AI-sector recovery. Despite near-term swings, DELL remains in a longer-term uptrend, trading well above its 200-day moving average, with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in the mid-to-high 20s and a modest but consistent dividend.
SMCI Overview and Recent Performance
Super Micro Computer specializes in high-performance, energy-efficient server and storage systems, including liquid-cooled designs optimized for AI workloads built around NVIDIA GPUs (graphics processing units). The company recently issued a preliminary fiscal first-quarter update that substantially raised its revenue and gross-margin outlook, citing strong demand for AI platforms. The announcement lifted SMCI shares and provided a positive read-through for peers, including DELL.
Yet SMCI carries a more concentrated risk profile. The company has faced scrutiny tied to an alleged scheme to divert servers in violation of U.S. export rules, and it reported negative operating cash flow in its most recent fiscal year due to a substantial inventory build. It also recently appointed a new chief financial officer (CFO). From a valuation standpoint, SMCI trades near a single-digit-to-low-double-digit P/E multiple, well below its 52-week high, with analyst ratings ranging from Buy to Sell. This combination of lower valuation, higher uncertainty, and headline-driven trading has made SMCI one of the more volatile names in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two companies lies in diversification versus specialization. DELL blends AI servers with PCs, storage, and networking, providing a broader revenue base and a steadier earnings profile. SMCI is more narrowly focused on high-density, GPU-accelerated servers, giving it greater leverage to AI demand but less balance when sentiment shifts.
Growth drivers also differ. DELL benefits from a massive order backlog and expanding enterprise adoption of its AI Factory platform. SMCI is benefiting from a sharp upward revision to revenue and margin guidance, but its margin trajectory remains a key question as competition intensifies. On risk factors, DELL faces concerns about memory-cost inflation and a premium valuation, while SMCI contends with export-control scrutiny, negative operating cash flow, and governance uncertainty. In market sentiment, DELL has shown a steadier longer-term trend, whereas SMCI has traded more erratically, often moving on single headlines.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, stability, catalyst quality, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward DELL over SMCI. DELL combines a diversified business model, a record AI server backlog, and a longer-term uptrend that has remained intact even through recent pullbacks. By contrast, SMCI offers a lower valuation and strong near-term demand signals, but its higher volatility, negative operating cash flow, and unresolved legal and governance issues introduce greater uncertainty. While SMCI may present a more aggressive, higher-beta opportunity, DELL's more stable trend and broader positioning make it the ticker the AI would more likely favor at present.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DELL is a Hold and SMCI is a Hold.
DELL's RSI Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 2 days
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +9.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DELL advanced for three days, in 257 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
DELL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DELL as a result. In 54 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
DELL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DELL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DELL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for DELL entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DELL's P/B Ratio (-146.380) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (-6.197). P/E Ratio (18.903) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.638) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.474) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DELL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
SMCI's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for SMCI moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +9.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMCI advanced for three days, in 278 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
SMCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMCI as a result. In 71 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMCI turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
SMCI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMCI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator for SMCI entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.843) is normal, around the industry mean (-6.197). P/E Ratio (7.879) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.670). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.658) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SMCI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
DELL | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 3 Undervalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 80 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 78 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DELL's Valuation (3) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (47) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (80) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's SMR Rating (17) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (36) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (78) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (96) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
| DELL | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 81% | 13 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DELL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while SMCI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DELL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DELL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMCI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DELL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DELL (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а -22.57% price change this week, while SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was -12.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -24.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
DELL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-3.97% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
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DELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DELL has been loosely correlated with NTAP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DELL jumps, then NTAP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | 100% | +3.67% | ||
| NTAP - DELL | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| SMCI - DELL | 52% Loosely correlated | +6.20% | ||
| P - DELL | 50% Loosely correlated | +3.54% | ||
| SSYS - DELL | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| HPQ - DELL | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.33% | ||
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SMCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | 100% | +6.20% | ||
| DELL - SMCI | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.67% | ||
| RGTI - SMCI | 45% Loosely correlated | +19.29% | ||
| QBTS - SMCI | 42% Loosely correlated | +18.01% | ||
| SSYS - SMCI | 42% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| UMAC - SMCI | 41% Loosely correlated | +10.80% | ||
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