DFNL
Price
$51.54
Change
+$1.13 (+2.24%)
Updated
Nov 4, 03:13 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
451.45M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XLF
Price
$59.16
Change
+$1.96 (+3.43%)
Updated
Nov 4, 04:36 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
53.97B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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DFNL vs XLF

DFNL vs XLF Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) vs. Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF)

Key Takeaways

  • Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) is an actively managed fund concentrating on approximately 30 high-conviction financial companies, while Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) passively tracks a broad index of roughly 76 large-cap financial stocks.
  • DFNL carries a higher expense ratio of 0.61 percent compared to XLF at 0.08 percent, reflecting its active strategy versus the low-cost passive approach.
  • Both ETFs target the financial sector but differ in diversification: DFNL features greater international exposure and a more concentrated portfolio, whereas XLF emphasizes U.S. mega-cap names with broader representation across banks, insurers, and payment processors.
  • Top holdings overlap exists in names such as JPM and WFC, yet DFNL allocates more heavily to select regional banks and insurance firms, while XLF weights payment networks and diversified financials more prominently.
  • Structural differences influence risk profiles, with DFNL offering potential for manager-driven outperformance at the cost of higher fees and XLF providing cost-efficient, liquid exposure to the sector index.
  • Investors seeking thematic active management may prefer DFNL, while those prioritizing broad market representation and lower costs often align with XLF.

Introduction

Financial sector exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide targeted exposure to banks, insurers, and capital markets firms, making them relevant tools amid evolving interest rate environments, regulatory shifts, and economic cycles. Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) both focus on this sector yet pursue distinct strategies. DFNL employs active selection for concentrated, high-conviction positions with some global reach, while XLF delivers passive, cap-weighted access to the S&P 500 financials universe. These ETFs do not compete directly but serve as complementary or alternative vehicles for investors seeking sector exposure with differing risk, cost, and management profiles.

Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) Overview

Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) is an actively managed ETF launched in 2017 that seeks long-term capital growth through a concentrated portfolio of global financial companies. The fund typically holds around 30 securities selected using a bottom-up, research-driven discipline. Top holdings often include Capital One Financial, U.S. Bancorp, Fifth Third Bancorp, Markel Group, and Berkshire Hathaway, with notable allocations to banks (approximately 41 percent), financial services (39 percent), and insurance (19 percent). The expense ratio stands at 0.61 percent. Distinguishing features include benchmark-agnostic positioning, selective international exposure, and a focus on undervalued businesses with attractive growth characteristics. Rebalancing occurs as needed based on fundamental analysis rather than strict index rules.

Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) Overview

Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) is a passively managed ETF launched in 1998 that seeks to track the performance of the Financial Select Sector Index before expenses. The fund holds approximately 76 large-cap securities representing the S&P 500 financials sector. Prominent holdings typically feature Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, Visa, Mastercard, and Bank of America, with heavy weighting toward diversified financial services and banks. The expense ratio is 0.08 percent. Key characteristics include quarterly rebalancing to match the index, high liquidity, and predominant U.S. exposure with limited international components. As a sector SPDR, it offers transparent, rules-based access to the largest financial firms.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The financial sector encompasses banks, insurance providers, payment networks, and capital markets firms, influenced by interest rate policies, economic growth, regulatory developments, and credit cycles. Macroeconomic drivers such as Federal Reserve actions on rates, inflation trends, and corporate earnings influence capital flows and valuations. Regulatory changes around capital requirements and consumer protections, along with geopolitical tensions affecting global trade finance, represent ongoing considerations. Both ETFs navigate these dynamics, with the sector exhibiting sensitivity to economic expansions and contractions over recent market cycles.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the active concentration in DFNL has allowed for differentiated positioning relative to the broader index tracked by XLF. Performance differences often stem from sector rotation favoring specific sub-industries, earnings momentum among top holdings, and interest rate expectations. XLF generally delivers more stable, index-aligned returns with lower volatility due to its diversified large-cap focus and minimal fees. DFNL may exhibit greater dispersion in returns tied to manager selections and international allocations. Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between cost efficiency and potential for active alpha generation within the financials space.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your investment research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors including cost efficiency, broad diversification, and high liquidity, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probabilistic preference to Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) for most investors seeking consistent sector exposure. Its low expense ratio and passive methodology reduce drag over extended periods, while the index-tracking approach aligns closely with sector momentum. Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) may appeal in scenarios prioritizing active selection and potential outperformance, though higher fees introduce greater hurdles to net returns. Final selection depends on individual risk tolerance and objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
DFNL vs. XLF commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DFNL is a StrongBuy and XLF is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for DFNL with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

DFNL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026

DFNL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 36 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DFNL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DFNL as a result. In 64 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DFNL just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where DFNL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +0.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DFNL advanced for three days, in 302 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 264 of 313 cases where DFNL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DFNL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

DFNL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XLF with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

XLF in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

XLF moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 37 of 42 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In 71 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +1.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in 283 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 241 of 311 cases where XLF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
DFNLXLF
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
81%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 22 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 22 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
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DFNL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DFNL has been closely correlated with USB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DFNL jumps, then USB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DFNL
1D Price
Change %
DFNL100%
-0.63%
USB - DFNL
86%
Closely correlated
-0.99%
TFC - DFNL
82%
Closely correlated
-1.51%
PNC - DFNL
81%
Closely correlated
-0.97%
COF - DFNL
81%
Closely correlated
-0.98%
MTB - DFNL
80%
Closely correlated
-1.05%
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