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DOV vs KMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dover Corporation (DOV) vs. Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KMT has significantly outperformed DOV in recent market activity, with year-to-date gains of approximately 37% compared to DOV's 14%.
- Both stocks trade at similar trailing P/E ratios (price-to-earnings) around 27, but KMT shows stronger quarterly revenue growth at 9.8% year-over-year.
- DOV benefits from a diversified business model across multiple industrial segments, offering stability with a market cap near $30 billion.
- KMT has seen recent analyst upgrades to Strong Buy status, driven by earnings beats and momentum in metal cutting tools.
- Relative performance highlights KMT's one-year return exceeding 114%, far outpacing DOV's 39%.
- Both face industrial sector cyclicality, but DOV exhibits lower beta (1.25 vs. 1.47), indicating reduced volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines DOV and KMT, two industrial machinery firms navigating current market dynamics. Investors seeking exposure to manufacturing and tooling sectors may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth trajectories, and risk profiles. With broader economic recovery influencing industrials, traders focused on momentum versus stability can use this head-to-head to inform positioning in a volatile environment. Key metrics like recent returns, valuations, and sentiment shifts provide objective insights for portfolio decisions.
DOV Overview and Recent Performance
Dover Corporation (DOV) is a diversified global manufacturer offering equipment, components, and digital solutions across engineered products, clean energy, imaging, pumps, and climate technologies. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $222, with a market cap approaching $30 billion and a trailing P/E ratio of 27.8. Year-to-date performance stands at about 14%, supported by solid revenue of $8.1 billion (TTM) and ROE (return on equity) of 15.3%. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst coverage highlighting margin strength and growth in industrial backdrops, alongside anticipation for upcoming quarterly earnings. Recent weeks saw modest gains amid broader sector rotation, though shares pulled back slightly from 52-week highs near $238, reflecting valuation caution after multi-year climbs.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc. (KMT) develops tungsten carbide, ceramics, and tooling solutions for metal cutting and infrastructure applications in aerospace, automotive, mining, and energy sectors. The stock recently hovered near $39, with a $3 billion market cap and trailing P/E of 27.1. It has delivered robust year-to-date returns of 37% and over 114% in the past year, fueled by quarterly revenue growth of 9.8% and an earnings beat in the latest reported quarter. Positive momentum stems from pricing actions, cost initiatives, and strength in key segments, with analysts noting upward revisions in estimates. Shares have advanced from 52-week lows around $18, though volatility persists with a beta of 1.47.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DOV and KMT both operate in the industrials sector but differ in scope: DOV's broad diversification across five segments reduces single-market reliance, while KMT specializes in precision tooling for high-demand applications like aerospace and mining. Growth drivers favor KMT with 9.8% recent quarterly revenue increase versus DOV's 8.8%, alongside superior momentum (37% YTD vs. 14%). Risk factors include cyclical exposure for both, but KMT's higher beta signals greater sensitivity to economic shifts, offset by a higher dividend yield (2.05% vs. 0.94%). Market sentiment leans toward KMT with recent Strong Buy upgrades, while DOV maintains steady analyst support amid earnings anticipation. Valuation trade-offs show comparable P/E multiples, but KMT's debt/equity (47%) mirrors DOV's (48%), balancing stability profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KMT over DOV based on stronger trend consistency, recent earnings momentum, and relative outperformance in industrials. With upward estimate revisions and sector tailwinds, KMT appears better positioned for near-term upside, though DOV offers diversification advantages in prolonged cycles. This probabilistic edge reflects observable data rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOV is a Buy and KMT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOV’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DOV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DOV (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +1.24% price change this week, while KMT (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +7.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.30%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +3.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
KMT is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.88% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+3.28% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| DOV | KMT | DOV / KMT | |
| Capitalization | 29.3B | 2.67B | 1,099% |
| EBITDA | 1.88B | 360M | 522% |
| Gain YTD | 11.895 | 24.405 | 49% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.18 | 19.65 | 138% |
| Revenue | 8.28B | 2.14B | 387% |
| Total Cash | 1.64B | 107M | 1,535% |
| Total Debt | 3.29B | 660M | 498% |
DOV | KMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (8) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (29) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMT (100) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's SMR Rating (57) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as KMT (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as KMT (47) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
KMT's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (38) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
| DOV | KMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 52% | 14 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 70% |
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KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | +1.10% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| THR - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
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