Investors seeking pure-play exposure to the U.S. energy complex often narrow their choice to sector ETFs that differ in subtle but important ways. The Strive U.S. Energy ETF (DRLL) and the Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) are frequently compared because they occupy the same general category yet reflect distinct philosophies of index construction. This ETF comparison matters now because the energy sector is being reshaped by capital-allocation discipline, geopolitical supply risk, and shifting commodity-price expectations. While both funds are passively managed and target similar investor goals, they are not direct substitutes: DRLL offers a concentrated, major-weighted energy exposure, whereas VDE provides broader sector diversification at a fraction of the cost.
DRLL is a passively managed, market-cap-weighted ETF that seeks to track the Solactive United States Energy Regulated Capped Index, a subset of the 1,000 largest U.S.-listed companies within the energy sector. Launched in August 2022, the fund holds roughly 38 to 39 stocks and carries an expense ratio of 0.41%. Its portfolio is concentrated in integrated oil and gas names, which account for roughly half of assets, followed by oil and gas E&P and refining and marketing.
Top holdings are dominated by XOM (Exxon Mobil) and CVX (Chevron), each near 22% to 23% of the fund, with smaller positions in COP (ConocoPhillips), EOG (EOG Resources), PSX (Phillips 66), VLO (Valero Energy), and MPC (Marathon Petroleum). The fund's defining structural feature is its high concentration: the top ten holdings represent a substantial majority of assets, which can amplify both upside and downside tied to a handful of integrated producers.
VDE is a passively managed ETF that tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. companies across the broader energy sector. Launched in September 2004, it is one of the largest and longest-tenured energy ETFs, with roughly 110 to 117 holdings and an expense ratio of just 0.09%. The 25/50 methodology caps any single issuer near 25% of the index and limits the aggregate weight of issuers above 5%, promoting greater diversification relative to a pure cap-weighted fund.
Top holdings include XOM, CVX, COP, and MPC, alongside midstream and services companies such as WMB (Williams Companies), SLB, KMI (Kinder Morgan), and BKR (Baker Hughes). By including midstream infrastructure and oil-field services, VDE provides exposure to sub-industries that DRLL largely omits, making its sector allocation more balanced and its return stream less dependent on a handful of integrated majors.
Both funds operate within an energy sector shaped by producer capital discipline, shareholder-return priorities, and commodity-price sensitivity. Integrated majors have emphasized buybacks and dividends over aggressive production growth, while E&P companies have focused on free-cash-flow generation and debt reduction. Natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export demand has supported midstream names, benefiting VDE's broader composition. At the same time, geopolitical tensions, OPEC+ output decisions, and global demand expectations continue to drive crude-oil volatility. Regulatory and energy-transition debates add longer-term uncertainty for hydrocarbons. Within this environment, sector exposure remains cyclical: favorable cash flows and high dividend yields support the group during supply-constrained periods, while demand fears or recession risk can trigger sharp sector rotation.
Over recent market cycles, both ETFs have generally moved in the same direction, given their shared core positions in integrated majors. However, relative positioning has diverged because of structure. VDE's inclusion of midstream and services companies has historically tempered some of the volatility tied to upstream commodity swings, while DRLL's concentration in Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and large E&P names has made it more sensitive to crude-oil direction and the earnings cycles of those specific companies. During periods when refining margins or natural-gas infrastructure outperformed upstream producers, VDE's broader lineup provided a smoother relative path. Conversely, when integrated majors led the sector higher, DRLL's concentrated weight could magnify participation. On a cost basis, VDE's lower expense ratio gives it a persistent structural advantage in fund performance over time.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to apply these capabilities to your own energy-sector research.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VDE in most current scenarios. Its substantially lower expense ratio, broader diversification across roughly 110-plus holdings, and inclusion of midstream and oil-field services sub-industries provide more balanced sector exposure and reduced single-name concentration risk. While DRLL offers a more direct, concentrated bet on integrated majors and could outperform during strong upstream rallies, its higher cost and heavier reliance on a small group of mega-cap producers make it a less efficient core holding. From a probabilistic standpoint, VDE's cost efficiency, diversification profile, and more consistent structural characteristics give it an edge for long-term, diversified energy exposure.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
DRLL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 66 of the 77 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DRLL turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
DRLL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DRLL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DRLL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DRLL advanced for three days, in 295 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
DRLL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 234 of 262 cases where DRLL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
VDE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 77 of the 87 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VDE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
VDE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VDE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VDE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 346 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
VDE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 297 of 335 cases where VDE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
| DRLL | VDE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 79% | 7 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DRLL has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DRLL jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DRLL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRLL | 100% | +0.31% | ||
| CVX - DRLL | 91% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| XOM - DRLL | 91% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| COP - DRLL | 90% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| EOG - DRLL | 89% Closely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| OVV - DRLL | 87% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
More | ||||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VDE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VDE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PFM | 58.80 | 0.17 | +0.29% |
| Invesco Dividend Achievers ETF (PFM) | |||
| SDY | 163.73 | 0.21 | +0.13% |
| State Street SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY) | |||
| KPDD | 4.86 | N/A | N/A |
| KraneShares 2x Long PDD Daily ETF (KPDD) | |||
| CNXT | 35.92 | -0.41 | -1.13% |
| VanEck ChiNext Innovators ETF (CNXT) | |||
| EUV | 19.20 | -0.23 | -1.18% |
| Corgi Lithography & Semiconductor Photonics ETF (EUV) | |||