Advertisement
EMR vs KMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) vs. Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) is a roughly $90 billion automation and software leader with consistent order growth, while Kennametal Inc. (KMT) is a roughly $2.2 billion tooling and materials specialist whose results hinge heavily on tungsten pricing.
- Recent EMR momentum is supported by durable demand in growth verticals such as semiconductors and power generation, whereas KMT's record quarterly earnings were amplified by a large one-time tungsten price-versus-cost timing benefit.
- EMR generates strong positive free cash flow and recently raised its full-year outlook; KMT swung to negative free operating cash flow as elevated tungsten inventories strained working capital.
- Market positioning diverges sharply: EMR carries a consensus "Buy" rating, while KMT carries a consensus "Sell" rating and has cooled over the past 90 days.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: EMR is the favored ticker of the two based on trend consistency, stability, and the durability of its catalysts.
- For more information on these tickers' major news and today's price moves, explore EMR Major News, EMR Today's Price Move, KMT Major News, and KMT Today's Price Move.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see the AI trading bots currently best suited to prevailing market conditions.
Introduction
Industrial stocks often get grouped together by investors, yet their underlying drivers can differ dramatically. This stock comparison examines EMR (Emerson Electric Co.), a large-cap automation and industrial software leader, against KMT (Kennametal Inc.), a smaller-cap maker of tungsten carbide tooling and wear-resistant materials. Both serve manufacturing and industrial end markets, but their business models, growth engines, and recent relative performance have diverged. This comparison is most relevant to investors weighing a diversified, software-leaning industrial franchise against a materials-driven cyclical with higher sensitivity to commodity pricing. Understanding these contrasts can help clarify each company's market positioning and risk profile.
EMR Overview and Recent Performance
Emerson Electric is a global automation leader headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, delivering measurement instruments, valves, control systems, and industrial software. Its portfolio spans Software & Systems, Intelligent Devices, and Safety & Productivity segments. In recent weeks, EMR has demonstrated consistent momentum, underpinned by broad-based order growth and a healthy backlog. In its most recent quarter, underlying orders rose 7% and underlying sales grew 6%, with the company reporting an $8.2 billion backlog and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.0. Growth verticals advanced 27%, led by a 53% increase in semiconductor demand and a 37% rise in power generation, reflecting investment in grid infrastructure, data centers, and electrification. Management raised its full-year guidance, and analysts broadly maintain a "Buy" consensus. This steady, software-augmented growth trajectory has supported relative strength in the stock.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc. is an industrial technology company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, producing tungsten carbides, ceramics, and hard materials across its Metal Cutting and Infrastructure segments. In recent market activity, KMT delivered sharply higher results, with organic sales up 19% for the fiscal year and a record adjusted earnings quarter. However, a large portion of that surge reflected favorable timing between raw-material pricing and costs—approximately $252 million in a single quarter—driven by a historic run-up in tungsten prices. End-market demand was genuinely strong, with energy, earthworks, and aerospace and defense sales all growing substantially. At the same time, the elevated cost of tungsten inventories pushed free operating cash flow into negative territory. This mix of strong reported earnings alongside cash-flow strain and commodity-driven volatility has left sentiment more cautious, with the stock cooling in recent months.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, each built around distinct strategies, timeframes, performance statistics, and sets of securities. Because market conditions constantly shift, not every bot is well-suited to the current environment. The Trending AI Robots page curates only the bots whose approaches and recent results align most closely with prevailing market dynamics, helping traders filter a broad universe down to the most relevant options. These bots span diverse styles—from short-term momentum to longer-horizon trend-following—so investors can review performance metrics before committing capital. If you are evaluating how automated systems are currently approaching names such as these, visiting the Trending AI Robots page can provide a useful, data-driven starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different tiers of the industrial market. EMR has evolved into a software-heavy automation franchise with recurring-revenue characteristics and secular exposure to semiconductors, power, and digital transformation. Its growth is comparatively diversified and tied to multi-year capital investment cycles. KMT, by contrast, is a materials-science cyclical whose near-term results are disproportionately influenced by a single commodity, tungsten. Its margin and earnings expansion have been meaningful, but a meaningful share of that improvement is non-recurring pricing-timing benefit rather than structural volume growth. On risk factors, EMR faces regional softness in Europe and China and execution considerations around its software portfolio, while KMT contends with raw-material volatility, working-capital pressure, and negative free cash flow. Sentiment reflects these trade-offs: analysts rate EMR a "Buy" and KMT a "Sell," despite KMT's low price-to-earnings multiple.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor EMR over KMT. The preference is driven by more consistent trend characteristics, a robust and growing backlog, positive free cash flow, and catalysts tied to durable secular themes such as semiconductor capacity and power-grid investment. While KMT has posted impressive headline growth, a substantial portion stems from temporary tungsten pricing dynamics, and its cash-flow strain introduces greater uncertainty. The relative positioning of EMR appears steadier and more repeatable, making it the higher-conviction candidate of the two under current conditions. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current data rather than a guarantee of future performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EMR is a Buy and KMT is a Hold.
EMR in +2.70% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 04, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where EMR advanced for three days, in 219 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 274 cases where EMR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EMR moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 43%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 60 cases where EMR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EMR as a result. In 55 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EMR turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EMR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
EMR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EMR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.444) is normal, around the industry mean (3.843). P/E Ratio (35.370) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.971). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.837) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.409) is also within normal values, averaging (189.487).
KMT in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for KMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KMT as a result. In 59 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KMT turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 54%.
KMT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for KMT entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KMT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMT advanced for three days, in 194 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
KMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.119) is normal, around the industry mean (3.143). KMT has a moderately low P/E Ratio (5.122) as compared to the industry average of (22.467). KMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.020). KMT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.035) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (0.976) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.
EMR | KMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 62 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 77 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (39) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EMR (81) in the Electrical Products industry. This means that KMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than EMR’s over the last 12 months.
EMR's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Electrical Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (100) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that EMR’s stock grew significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
KMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as EMR (62) in the Electrical Products industry. This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to EMR’s over the last 12 months.
EMR's Price Growth Rating (30) in the Electrical Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMT (77) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that EMR’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
EMR's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Electrical Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMT (96) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that EMR’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
| EMR | KMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 63% | 16 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 6 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EMR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while KMT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- EMR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KMT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EMR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EMR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EMR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -1.98% price change this week, while KMT (@Tools & Hardware) price change was -20.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +2.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.99%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -2.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
EMR is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
KMT is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+2.99% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-2.24% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
Advertisement
EMR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EMR has been closely correlated with AME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EMR jumps, then AME could also see price increases.
KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | +2.33% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | -1.57% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| TKR - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.25% | ||
More | ||||