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ET vs KMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Energy Transfer (ET) vs. Kinder Morgan (KMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ET and KMI are North American midstream energy leaders benefiting from rising natural gas demand tied to power generation, LNG (liquefied natural gas) exports, and AI data centers.
- ET offers a substantially higher distribution yield (roughly 6.5%) and a cheaper valuation, while KMI carries a stronger balance sheet and a record $14.4 billion project backlog.
- ET has shown stronger recent price momentum, while KMI has delivered more consistent, lower-volatility trend behavior.
- Relative performance and valuation both currently favor ET, though KMI offers greater long-term revenue visibility through 20-year take-or-pay contracts.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: ET is the ticker of choice in this comparison, based on stronger momentum, higher income yield, and more attractive market positioning.
- For more detail on each name, explore ET Major News and ET Today's Price Move, plus KMI Major News and KMI Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are trading these and thousands of other tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Energy infrastructure has become one of the market's most closely watched sectors, as surging electricity demand from data centers and export growth push natural gas volumes higher. This stock comparison evaluates two of North America's largest midstream operators: Energy Transfer (ET) and Kinder Morgan (KMI). Both generate fee-based cash flow from pipelines, storage, and terminals, yet they differ meaningfully in yield, valuation, growth strategy, and market positioning. Income-focused investors weighing distribution growth, as well as traders monitoring relative momentum, will find this side-by-side review useful for understanding how these two stocks currently stack up.
ET Overview and Recent Performance
Energy Transfer is a diversified midstream master limited partnership (MLP) that transports, stores, and processes natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across a vast pipeline network. In recent market activity, its units have climbed toward multi-year highs, supported by record NGL transportation and export volumes, expanded takeaway capacity in the Permian Basin, and growing gas demand from power generation and AI data centers. Management has raised full-year adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) guidance twice, most recently to a range of roughly $18.8 billion to $19.1 billion, while announcing the $2.6 billion acquisition of Vaquero Midstream to deepen its Delaware Basin position. The partnership has also extended its streak of consecutive quarterly distribution increases, and its distribution yield of roughly 6.5% remains among the highest in the large-cap midstream group. This combination of momentum, income, and expansion catalysts has driven investor interest in recent weeks.
KMI Overview and Recent Performance
Kinder Morgan operates one of the largest natural gas pipeline networks in North America, moving roughly 40% of U.S. natural gas and a substantial share of LNG feed gas. Recent quarterly results reflected broad-based strength, with revenue up about 9% year over year and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising roughly 21%. The standout development has been the expansion of its project backlog to a record $14.4 billion, including major natural gas initiatives such as the Southeast Connector and Permian Link, both backed by long-term take-or-pay contracts with investment-grade utilities and hyperscale data-center customers. KMI raised its dividend by 2% and maintained a conservative leverage profile, with net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA near 3.5 times. Although its yield of roughly 3.5% is lower than ET's, the company's contracted backlog provides unusually long revenue visibility into the early 2030s.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of automated trading systems chosen for their suitability to current market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and universe of securities. Rather than listing every available bot, the platform highlights only those whose recent statistics and risk profiles align with prevailing market environments, helping users quickly identify systems that are currently performing in line with their design. Whether you favor short-term swing strategies or longer-horizon trend models, exploring Trending AI Robots can provide a practical starting point for understanding how automated intelligence is being applied across the market.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies share a common sector tailwind but occupy different positions within it. ET emphasizes diversification across natural gas, crude, and NGLs, pairing a higher distribution yield with aggressive organic and acquisition-driven growth; its trade-off is a heavier debt load and greater capital-spending intensity. KMI skews more heavily toward natural gas transportation, prioritizes balance-sheet strength and contracted visibility, and trades at a richer earnings multiple, reflecting investors' premium for that stability. On recent momentum, ET has outperformed on a year-to-date basis, while KMI has exhibited lower volatility. Risk factors differ as well: ET carries commodity-price and execution exposure through its larger capex program, whereas KMI faces concentration risk tied to natural gas project timing and permitting. For income investors, ET's yield advantage is clear; for those prioritizing predictability and a cleaner balance sheet, KMI offers the more defensive profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, relative performance, valuation, income, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI framework would currently favor Energy Transfer (ET). The partnership's stronger recent momentum, meaningfully higher distribution yield, and comparatively lower valuation provide a more compelling risk-reward setup in the current environment, while its raised guidance and accretive acquisition offer identifiable catalysts. KMI remains a high-quality operator with exceptional long-term visibility, but its richer valuation and lower yield modestly temper its relative appeal at present. This assessment reflects a probabilistic, model-driven comparison rather than a definitive forecast, and relative positioning could shift as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Energy Transfer LP (ET) and Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) are midstream energy companies based in Texas. They own pipelines, storage facilities, processing and treatment facilities, and terminals for natural gas, as well as some oil-related assets. The companies are similar in size, with Enterprise Values around $70B. ET also has a controlling interest in the Sonoco gas station brand, which has 7,300 gas stations. KMI has a CO2 business segment which transports and sells carbon dioxide. ET has a stronger revenue and return on equity in the trailing 12 months as of this writing, but KMI has stronger margins. Their dividend yields are very similar at about 6%.
ET's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for ET moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 9 of the 12 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ET as a result. In 55 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ET just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where ET's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
ET moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ET advanced for three days, in 194 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
ET may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for ET crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 31%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ET declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 39%.
The Aroon Indicator for ET entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 41, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.038) is normal, around the industry mean (160.819). P/E Ratio (14.128) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.071). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.613) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.065) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.679) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ET’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
KMI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
The 10-day moving average for KMI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
KMI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMI advanced for three days, in 199 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 168 of 291 cases where KMI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMI moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 69 cases where KMI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KMI as a result. In 41 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KMI turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
KMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 42, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.384) is normal, around the industry mean (160.809). P/E Ratio (21.851) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.126) is also within normal values, averaging (13.660). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (149858533376.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.807) is also within normal values, averaging (4.657).
ET | KMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ET's Valuation (39) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KMI (79). This means that ET’s stock grew somewhat faster than KMI’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as ET (7). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to ET’s over the last 12 months.
ET's SMR Rating (58) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (67). This means that ET’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
KMI's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as ET (43). This means that KMI’s stock grew similarly to ET’s over the last 12 months.
ET's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as KMI (43). This means that ET’s stock grew similarly to KMI’s over the last 12 months.
| ET | KMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 34% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 13 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 39% | 1 day ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 30% | 1 day ago 58% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ET’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ET’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ET’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ET’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ET (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +2.25% price change this week, while KMI (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -2.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -2.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
ET is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
KMI is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-2.48% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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ET and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ET has been loosely correlated with OKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ET jumps, then OKE could also see price increases.