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published in Blogs
Aug 29, 2019
Guess (GES, $15.05) beats fiscal Q2 estimates; boosts full-year guidance

Guess (GES, $15.05) beats fiscal Q2 estimates; boosts full-year guidance

Guess shares jumped during after-hours Wednesday, after its fiscal second quarter results came in stronger than expected while the company boosted its full-year outlook.

For the three months ending Aug.3, the retailer of clothing and accessories reported adjusted earnings of 38 cents per share, which beat analysts’ estimates of 29 cents. The adjusted EPS figure was also higher than the prior year quarter’s 36 cents.

Revenue increased +5.8% year-over-year to reach $683.2 million in the quarter, surpassing the Street expectations of $671.4 million.

Looking ahead, Guess expects its fiscal full-year 2020 GAAP earnings to sit between $1.18 to $1.26 a share, or an adjusted $1.28 to $1.36. Analysts surveyed by FactSet have forecasted  GAAP earnings of $1.25 a share, or an adjusted $1.32.

Guess projects the full-year revenue to increase 3% to 3.5% in U.S. dollars and 6% to 6.5% in constant currencies.

Chief Executive Carlos Alberini indicated that strong second-quarter results, a favorable inventory position, and expectations for the fall and holiday seasons propelled Guess to raise its guidance.

Related Ticker: GES

GES's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 22 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GES as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 237 cases where GES Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.729) is normal, around the industry mean (6.021). P/E Ratio (14.534) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.863). GES's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.222). GES has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.062) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (0.366) is also within normal values, averaging (2.281).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GES’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GES’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (null:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 19.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 198.08B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 198.08B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. CURV experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while VSCO experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -95%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -80% and the average quarterly volume growth was -93%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. GES showed earnings on November 25, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer and a distributor of designer jeans and apparel

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
Strada Regina 44
Phone
+41 918095000
Employees
12000
Web
https://investors.guess.com
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