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ETN vs GNRC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Eaton Corporation (ETN) vs. Generac Holdings (GNRC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ETN reported record second-quarter 2026 sales of $8.5 billion with 14% organic growth, driven by broad electrical and aerospace demand, and raised full-year guidance.
- GNRC shares surged nearly 19% in mid-September 2026 after announcing an up to $8 billion long-term generator supply agreement with Amazon, highlighting data center momentum.
- Both companies benefit from AI-related power infrastructure spending, though ETN maintains a larger, more diversified industrial footprint while GNRC focuses more narrowly on backup power systems.
- ETN trades at a market capitalization near $165 billion with consistent margin expansion; GNRC has a market cap around $12 billion and higher volatility tied to residential and commercial cycles.
- Recent market activity shows ETN delivering steadier performance with analyst targets implying moderate upside, while GNRC experienced sharper short-term price movement following its catalyst.
- Sector exposure overlaps in power management but differs in scale and end-market concentration, creating distinct risk-return profiles for investors seeking industrial or energy-resilience exposure.
Introduction
Investors and traders frequently compare ETN and GNRC because both companies operate in the power management and electrical equipment space and stand to gain from rising electricity demand tied to data centers and electrification trends. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to assist those evaluating relative opportunities within the industrials sector. The comparison is relevant for portfolio managers seeking diversified exposure to infrastructure growth themes, active traders monitoring momentum shifts, and longer-term investors assessing stability versus growth potential in a volatile market environment.
ETN Overview and Recent Performance
Eaton Corporation plc designs and manufactures power management solutions across electrical, aerospace, and vehicle segments. In recent weeks, the company delivered record second-quarter 2026 results with $8.5 billion in sales, reflecting 14% organic growth and margin expansion to 23.1%. Strong backlog growth, particularly in Electrical Americas, and sustained data center demand supported raised full-year organic growth guidance of 11-13%. Recent market activity included facility investments and product launches that reinforced operational momentum. Sentiment remained constructive amid broad end-market strength, though the stock traded within a range near recent highs around $425, with analysts maintaining generally positive ratings and price targets implying further upside potential.
GNRC Overview and Recent Performance
Generac Holdings Inc. specializes in power generation equipment, including residential and commercial generators as well as energy storage solutions. In recent weeks, the company benefited from a major commercial and industrial catalyst: an up to $8 billion long-term supply agreement with Amazon that analysts described as transformational for its data center exposure. Shares rose sharply following the announcement. Second-quarter 2026 results showed 11% sales growth and continued backlog expansion in the commercial segment, with full-year revenue outlook reaffirmed in the mid-to-high teens range. Market sentiment improved on the contract news, though the stock remains sensitive to residential demand fluctuations and trades with higher volatility than larger industrial peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ETN operates a diversified global industrial model with significant scale in electrical infrastructure, while GNRC maintains a more specialized focus on backup power generation. Growth drivers for both include data center expansion, yet ETN draws from a broader set of end markets that support steadier order flow. Recent momentum favored GNRC following its Amazon contract, producing sharper price movement, whereas ETN exhibited more consistent performance amid raised guidance. Risk factors differ: ETN faces integration and execution risks from acquisitions and capacity builds, while GNRC contends with greater exposure to residential cyclicality and higher share-price volatility. Sector positioning places both in industrials, but ETN offers larger-market-cap stability and dividend income, contrasting with GNRC’s higher-beta growth profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, backlog visibility, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term characteristics to ETN. Its broader diversification and sustained organic growth metrics provide a more stable foundation compared with the sharper but narrower catalyst-driven movement observed in GNRC. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects data available in the current environment rather than a guarantee of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ETN is a Hold and GNRC is a Hold.
ETN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
ETN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 51 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ETN as a result. In 42 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ETN turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ETN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for ETN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +4.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ETN advanced for three days, in 224 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
ETN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 230 of 334 cases where ETN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ETN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.271) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (43.932) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.622) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.163) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
GNRC sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for GNRC moved below the 200-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 58 cases where GNRC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GNRC as a result. In 56 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GNRC turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
GNRC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GNRC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Aroon Indicator for GNRC entered a downward trend on September 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for GNRC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +1.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GNRC advanced for three days, in 237 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
GNRC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GNRC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.212) is normal, around the industry mean (5.342). P/E Ratio (47.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.065). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.580) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.339) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GNRC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
ETN | GNRC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GNRC's Valuation (76) in the Electrical Products industry is in the same range as ETN (78). This means that GNRC’s stock grew similarly to ETN’s over the last 12 months.
ETN's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Electrical Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for GNRC (100). This means that ETN’s stock grew significantly faster than GNRC’s over the last 12 months.
ETN's SMR Rating (47) in the Electrical Products industry is in the same range as GNRC (73). This means that ETN’s stock grew similarly to GNRC’s over the last 12 months.
ETN's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Electrical Products industry is in the same range as GNRC (42). This means that ETN’s stock grew similarly to GNRC’s over the last 12 months.
GNRC's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electrical Products industry is in the same range as ETN (24). This means that GNRC’s stock grew similarly to ETN’s over the last 12 months.
| ETN | GNRC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 67% | 7 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 79% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ETN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while GNRC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ETN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GNRC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ETN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GNRC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ETN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GNRC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ETN (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -5.21% price change this week, while GNRC (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -10.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -8.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
ETN is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
GNRC is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-8.08% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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ETN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ETN has been closely correlated with NPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ETN jumps, then NPO could also see price increases.
GNRC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GNRC has been loosely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GNRC jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GNRC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 100% | -7.57% | ||
| ETN - GNRC | 60% Loosely correlated | -4.54% | ||
| FSS - GNRC | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| SWK - GNRC | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| HLMN - GNRC | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| NPO - GNRC | 51% Loosely correlated | -3.89% | ||
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