EXPD
Price
$117.44
Change
-$4.71 (-3.86%)
Updated
Mar 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.25B
63 days until earnings call
ZTO
Price
$19.66
Change
-$0.35 (-1.75%)
Updated
Mar 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
17.46B
7 days until earnings call
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EXPD vs ZTO

Header iconEXPD vs ZTO Comparison
Open Charts EXPD vs ZTOBanner chart's image
Expeditors International of Washington
Price$117.44
Change-$4.71 (-3.86%)
Volume$16.28K
Capitalization17.25B
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Price$19.66
Change-$0.35 (-1.75%)
Volume$38.03K
Capitalization17.46B
EXPD vs ZTO Comparison Chart
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EXPD
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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EXPD vs. ZTO commentary
Mar 12, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXPD is a StrongBuy and ZTO is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Mar 12, 2025
Stock price -- (EXPD: $122.15 vs. ZTO: $20.01)
Brand notoriety: EXPD and ZTO are both not notable
Both companies represent the Air Freight/Couriers industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: EXPD: 217% vs. ZTO: 76%
Market capitalization -- EXPD: $17.25B vs. ZTO: $17.46B
EXPD [@Air Freight/Couriers] is valued at $17.25B. ZTO’s [@Air Freight/Couriers] market capitalization is $17.46B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry ranges from $126.8B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Air Freight/Couriers] industry is $13.19B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

EXPD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileZTO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • EXPD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • ZTO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, EXPD is a better buy in the long-term than ZTO.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

EXPD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ZTO’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • EXPD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • ZTO’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, ZTO is a better buy in the short-term than EXPD.

Price Growth

EXPD (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +3.04% price change this week, while ZTO (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +0.91% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +3.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.29%.

Reported Earning Dates

EXPD is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2025.

ZTO is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Air Freight/Couriers (+3.79% weekly)

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
ZTO($17.5B) and EXPD($17.2B) have the same market capitalization . EXPD has higher P/E ratio than ZTO: EXPD (23.77) vs ZTO (14.44). EXPD YTD gains are higher at: 10.274 vs. ZTO (2.353). ZTO has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 10.7B vs. EXPD (1.09B). ZTO has more cash in the bank: 16.9B vs. EXPD (1.51B). EXPD has less debt than ZTO: EXPD (528M) vs ZTO (17.5B). ZTO has higher revenues than EXPD: ZTO (37.7B) vs EXPD (9.3B).
EXPDZTOEXPD / ZTO
Capitalization17.2B17.5B98%
EBITDA1.09B10.7B10%
Gain YTD10.2742.353437%
P/E Ratio23.7714.44165%
Revenue9.3B37.7B25%
Total Cash1.51B16.9B9%
Total Debt528M17.5B3%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
EXPD vs ZTO: Fundamental Ratings
EXPD
ZTO
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
1382
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
87
Overvalued
30
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
26100
SMR RATING
1..100
3253
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5192
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6046
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

ZTO's Valuation (30) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPD (87). This means that ZTO’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXPD’s over the last 12 months.

EXPD's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is significantly better than the same rating for ZTO (100). This means that EXPD’s stock grew significantly faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

EXPD's SMR Rating (32) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as ZTO (53). This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

EXPD's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ZTO (92). This means that EXPD’s stock grew somewhat faster than ZTO’s over the last 12 months.

ZTO's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (60). This means that ZTO’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
EXPDZTO
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
43%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
52%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
66%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
68%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
47%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
51%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
65%
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EXPD
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
ZTO
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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EXPD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPD has been loosely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To EXPD
1D Price
Change %
EXPD100%
-3.42%
XPO - EXPD
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.93%
HUBG - EXPD
44%
Loosely correlated
-2.24%
CHRW - EXPD
42%
Loosely correlated
-0.88%
LSTR - EXPD
41%
Loosely correlated
-0.82%
JBHT - EXPD
38%
Loosely correlated
-1.98%
More

ZTO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-0.55%
XPO - ZTO
33%
Poorly correlated
-1.93%
UPS - ZTO
26%
Poorly correlated
-0.82%
FDX - ZTO
21%
Poorly correlated
-2.39%
PBI - ZTO
20%
Poorly correlated
-3.47%
EXPD - ZTO
20%
Poorly correlated
-3.42%
More