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EXPD vs XPO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXPD is a Buy and XPO is a StrongBuy.
EXPD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EXPD turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where EXPD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EXPD as a result. In 54 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
EXPD moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPD advanced for three days, in 194 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
EXPD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 293 cases where EXPD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 77 cases where EXPD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EXPD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EXPD's P/B Ratio (12.087) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.728). EXPD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (28.594) as compared to the industry average of (7.632). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.987) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.102) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
XPO in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
XPO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 33 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPO as a result. In 66 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XPO just turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where XPO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPO advanced for three days, in 216 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 171 of 218 cases where XPO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
XPO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XPO's P/B Ratio (11.247) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.044). P/E Ratio (54.785) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.343). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.707) is also within normal values, averaging (12.936). XPO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (2.421) is also within normal values, averaging (2.068).
EXPD | XPO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXPD's Valuation (82) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (92) in the Trucking industry. This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
XPO's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as EXPD (25) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry. This means that XPO’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's SMR Rating (25) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (45) in the Trucking industry. This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's Price Growth Rating (11) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPO (49) in the Trucking industry. This means that EXPD’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPO’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as XPO (23) in the Trucking industry. This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to XPO’s over the last 12 months.
| EXPD | XPO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 4 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXPD’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green while XPO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXPD’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- XPO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXPD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXPD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- XPO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXPD (@Other Transportation) experienced а +0.32% price change this week, while XPO (@Trucking) price change was +1.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -8.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32.29%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -1.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXPD is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
XPO is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-8.95% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
@Trucking (-1.06% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
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EXPD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPD has been loosely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | 100% | -0.42% | ||
| XPO - EXPD | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| GXO - EXPD | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.99% | ||
| FWRD - EXPD | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.89% | ||
| RLGT - EXPD | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.80% | ||
| UPS - EXPD | 29% Poorly correlated | +1.96% | ||
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XPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPO has been closely correlated with FWRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPO jumps, then FWRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | 100% | +0.15% | ||
| FWRD - XPO | 75% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
| SAIA - XPO | 73% Closely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| GXO - XPO | 71% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| HUBG - XPO | 70% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| JBHT - XPO | 68% Closely correlated | +0.87% | ||
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