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EXPE vs TRIP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Expedia Group (EXPE) vs. Tripadvisor (TRIP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Business model contrast: EXPE is a diversified online travel agency (OTA) with a large B2B (business-to-business) segment, while TRIP is pivoting from hotel metasearch toward an experiences marketplace.
- Relative performance: Expedia Group has delivered double-digit revenue and bookings growth with expanding margins, whereas Tripadvisor has posted a modest revenue decline driven by a shrinking legacy hotels business.
- Market positioning: Expedia Group's market capitalization is roughly thirty times larger than Tripadvisor's, reflecting a materially different scale and competitive footprint.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, the AI would currently favor EXPE, citing stronger trend consistency, durable B2B momentum, and clearer earnings catalysts.
- For deeper coverage, explore EXPE Major News and EXPE Today's Price Move, as well as TRIP Major News and TRIP Today's Price Move.
- Discover how automated strategies approach trades like this one by browsing the curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Both EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) and TRIP (Tripadvisor, Inc.) operate at the heart of the online travel economy, yet their recent trajectories have diverged sharply. Expedia Group has compounded a resurgent consumer travel cycle with a fast-growing partner-facing business, while Tripadvisor is in the middle of a deliberate strategic reset. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors weighing a scaled, profitable marketplace operator against a smaller company repositioning around high-growth experiences. Traders focused on momentum, relative performance, and market positioning will find the contrast instructive, particularly as artificial intelligence reshapes how travelers discover and book trips.
EXPE Overview and Recent Performance
EXPE is a global travel marketplace whose brands include Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo, alongside the industry's largest B2B travel business and an advertising network. In recent quarters, the company has reported accelerating fundamentals, with gross bookings and revenue growing by double digits and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) expanding meaningfully. Its B2B segment has now delivered a long run of consecutive double-digit growth, and management has raised its full-year outlook. Sentiment has been supported by AI-powered personalization, share repurchases, and a balance sheet holding more cash than debt. In recent weeks, the stock has shown constructive momentum, though some analysts remain cautious about potential disruption to traditional OTA models from AI-driven search.
TRIP Overview and Recent Performance
TRIP is a travel guidance platform best known for its vast repository of user reviews, operating through the Tripadvisor brand, the Viator experiences marketplace, and the TheFork restaurant-booking platform. The company has been executing a multi-year shift toward becoming a leading experiences marketplace, while deliberately managing its legacy hotels and metasearch business for cash. Recent results reflect that transition: Experiences and TheFork have grown, but the Hotels and Other segment has declined by roughly 20% year over year, leaving consolidated revenue modestly lower. Late-quarter macro disruptions, including geopolitical events and severe weather in key leisure destinations, weighed on bookings and cancellations. Tripadvisor's shares have traded down significantly over recent months as investors weigh AI disruption to metasearch against the long-term promise of experiences.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most clearly on scale, profitability, and growth profile. EXPE combines a profitable consumer marketplace with a durable B2B engine, generating substantial free cash flow that funds buybacks and a dividend. TRIP, by contrast, is smaller and currently reinvesting in its experiences flywheel, with its growth segments still working toward consistent profitability while a declining legacy segment offsets top-line momentum. On risk factors, Expedia Group faces competitive and AI-disruption pressures across the broader OTA space, while Tripadvisor contends with the more direct erosion of its metasearch franchise. From a sentiment standpoint, Expedia Group enjoys a stronger sell-side posture and steadier recent price behavior, whereas Tripadvisor carries a higher degree of transition risk tied to its strategic repositioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward EXPE over TRIP. Expedia Group's combination of double-digit growth, margin expansion, a disciplined capital-return program, and a well-capitalized balance sheet presents a more stable, catalyst-rich profile. Tripadvisor's long-term experiences opportunity is genuine, but its current mix of declining legacy revenue and near-term macro headwinds suggests a less consistent trend. As always, this reflects a probabilistic assessment of current conditions rather than a guarantee of future performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXPE is a Hold and TRIP is a Hold.
EXPE in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026
The 10-day moving average for EXPE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXPE moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXPE as a result. In 55 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXPE turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
EXPE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +5.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in 233 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
EXPE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 171 of 218 cases where EXPE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EXPE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EXPE's P/B Ratio (25.735) is slightly higher than the industry average of (-0.351). P/E Ratio (15.702) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.800). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.694) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.224) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.315) is also within normal values, averaging (2.754).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TRIP's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
Following a +7.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRIP advanced for three days, in 196 of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
TRIP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 161 cases where TRIP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TRIP as a result. In 66 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TRIP turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
TRIP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TRIP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRIP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.238) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.351). TRIP's P/E Ratio (127.182) is considerably higher than the industry average of (24.800). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.431) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). TRIP's Dividend Yield (2.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.224). TRIP's P/S Ratio (0.585) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.754).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TRIP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TRIP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
EXPE | TRIP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 81 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TRIP's Valuation (51) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as EXPE (82). This means that TRIP’s stock grew similarly to EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's Profit vs Risk Rating (57) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRIP (100). This means that EXPE’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRIP’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's SMR Rating (10) in the Other Consumer Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for TRIP (90). This means that EXPE’s stock grew significantly faster than TRIP’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as TRIP (81). This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to TRIP’s over the last 12 months.
TRIP's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Other Consumer Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for EXPE (85). This means that TRIP’s stock grew significantly faster than EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
| EXPE | TRIP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 76% | 28 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 6 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXPE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TRIP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EXPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TRIP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXPE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRIP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXPE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TRIP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
EXPE (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -11.20% price change this week, while TRIP (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -24.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was -2.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXPE is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
TRIP is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (-2.87% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
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TRIP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRIP has been loosely correlated with ABNB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TRIP jumps, then ABNB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRIP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIP | 100% | -0.42% | ||
| ABNB - TRIP | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.78% | ||
| BKNG - TRIP | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.59% | ||
| EXPE - TRIP | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.08% | ||
| CCL - TRIP | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| TNL - TRIP | 34% Loosely correlated | +2.63% | ||
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