FCG
Price
$31.50
Change
-$0.12 (-0.38%)
Updated
Aug 21 closing price
Net Assets
690.73M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDE
Price
$179.58
Change
-$0.14 (-0.08%)
Updated
Aug 21 closing price
Net Assets
12.38B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FCG vs VDE

FCG vs VDE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 22, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) vs. Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Key Takeaways

  • FCG provides concentrated exposure to natural gas exploration, production, and midstream companies, while VDE delivers broad exposure across the entire U.S. energy sector including integrated oil majors.
  • VDE maintains a significantly lower expense ratio of 0.09% compared to FCG’s 0.59%, offering a cost advantage for long-term investors.
  • FCG holds approximately 40–42 securities with a thematic natural gas focus, whereas VDE tracks roughly 113–118 holdings for greater diversification within energy.
  • Both ETFs are passively managed and track equity indexes, but FCG’s narrower mandate increases sector-specific volatility relative to VDE’s broader energy basket.
  • Structural differences position FCG for investors seeking targeted natural gas exposure and VDE for those preferring comprehensive energy sector representation at lower cost.

Introduction

Investors seeking energy sector exposure often compare specialized and broad-based ETFs to align with specific objectives such as commodity focus or diversified sector participation. First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) and Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) both target U.S. energy equities yet differ meaningfully in scope, cost, and risk profile. They do not compete directly but serve as alternative strategies for investors pursuing energy-related returns through distinct approaches within the same broad sector.

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) Overview

First Trust Natural Gas ETF (FCG) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Nasdaq FactSet Natural Gas Index. The index focuses on mid- and large-capitalization companies deriving substantial revenue from natural gas exploration, production, or midstream activities. The ETF typically holds 40–42 securities, with the top 10 holdings representing approximately 42% of assets. It maintains an expense ratio of 0.59% and includes a meaningful allocation to master limited partnerships (MLPs). The fund is structured as a standard equity ETF with periodic index-based rebalancing.

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Overview

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund designed to track the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index. This index encompasses large-, mid-, and small-capitalization U.S. companies across the energy sector, including oil, gas, consumable fuels, and energy equipment and services. The ETF holds approximately 113–118 securities, with the top 10 representing about 65% of assets. It features an expense ratio of 0.09% and employs market-cap weighting with quarterly rebalancing to maintain index alignment. VDE is a standard equity ETF providing broad energy sector coverage.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. energy sector encompasses exploration, production, refining, and midstream infrastructure, with performance closely tied to commodity price cycles, global supply-demand dynamics, and geopolitical developments. Natural gas prices and oil markets serve as primary drivers, while regulatory shifts around emissions and energy transition policies introduce longer-term considerations. Capital flows into the sector often reflect broader macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and economic growth outlooks. Both ETFs operate within this environment, where sector rotation and commodity trends influence relative performance across market cycles.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, FCG’s concentrated natural gas focus has produced distinct volatility patterns compared with VDE’s broader energy holdings. VDE’s inclusion of major integrated oil companies provides a buffer during periods of natural gas price weakness, while FCG amplifies exposure to natural gas-specific trends. Relative positioning reflects differences in diversification: VDE offers more balanced participation across energy sub-sectors, whereas FCG delivers targeted sensitivity to natural gas fundamentals. Both ETFs exhibit cyclical behavior consistent with energy equities, with volatility differences arising primarily from holdings concentration and sub-sector emphasis.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights on energy sector ETFs may find the tool useful for refining their research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to VDE. The ETF’s substantially lower expense ratio, broader diversification across energy sub-sectors, and greater number of holdings support more consistent exposure with reduced single-commodity concentration risk. While FCG offers valuable targeted natural gas access, VDE’s cost efficiency and comprehensive sector representation align with a wider range of investor objectives in the current environment.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FCG vs. VDE commentary
Aug 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FCG is a Buy and VDE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
VDE has more net assets: 12.4B vs. FCG (691M). VDE has a higher annual dividend yield than FCG: VDE (43.572) vs FCG (35.948). FCG was incepted earlier than VDE: FCG (19 years) vs VDE (22 years). VDE (0.09) has a lower expense ratio than FCG (0.59). FCG has a higher turnover VDE (11.00) vs VDE (11.00).
FCGVDEFCG / VDE
Gain YTD35.94843.57283%
Net Assets691M12.4B6%
Total Expense Ratio0.590.09656%
Turnover31.0011.00282%
Yield2.172.4090%
Fund Existence19 years22 years-
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FCGVDE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
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FCG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VDE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FCG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCG has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FCG jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FCG
1D Price
Change %
FCG100%
-0.38%
OVV - FCG
91%
Closely correlated
+0.18%
DVN - FCG
90%
Closely correlated
-0.41%
PR - FCG
87%
Closely correlated
-0.50%
MGY - FCG
87%
Closely correlated
-0.28%
MTDR - FCG
87%
Closely correlated
-0.07%
More

VDE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VDE has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VDE jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VDE
1D Price
Change %
VDE100%
-0.08%
XOM - VDE
90%
Closely correlated
-0.63%
CVX - VDE
89%
Closely correlated
-0.24%
COP - VDE
88%
Closely correlated
-0.01%
EOG - VDE
85%
Closely correlated
+0.57%
OVV - VDE
85%
Closely correlated
+0.18%
More