FENY
Price
$36.72
Change
-$0.65 (-1.74%)
Updated
Oct 22, 11:09 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
2.31B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDE
Price
$185.41
Change
-$4.49 (-2.36%)
Updated
Oct 22, 12:52 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
11.51B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FENY vs VDE

FENY vs VDE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 20, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) vs. Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Key Takeaways

  • Both FENY and VDE provide passive exposure to the U.S. energy sector by tracking nearly identical MSCI energy indices focused on large-, mid-, and small-cap companies.
  • FENY offers a marginally lower expense ratio of 0.08% compared with VDE at 0.09%, providing a slight cost advantage for long-term holders.
  • The ETFs exhibit high portfolio overlap exceeding 90%, with top holdings dominated by Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) in both cases.
  • VDE features greater assets under management and a longer track record since 2004, supporting potentially tighter liquidity and operational scale.
  • Both funds maintain concentrated energy exposure with over 99% allocation to the sector, resulting in similar risk profiles tied to commodity prices and sector cycles.
  • Structural differences are minimal, positioning the ETFs as close alternatives rather than distinct strategies within the energy theme.

Introduction

Investors seeking targeted exposure to the energy sector often compare FENY and VDE because both deliver broad, passive access to U.S. energy equities. These ETFs do not compete through active management or thematic tilts but instead represent highly similar indexing approaches to the same underlying benchmark. They serve investors looking for sector allocation within diversified portfolios, particularly those balancing commodity-linked returns against broader market exposure. In the current environment of fluctuating oil prices and energy transition dynamics, understanding their structural similarities and minor differences helps clarify relative positioning for tactical or strategic allocation decisions.

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) Overview

FENY seeks to track the MSCI USA IMI Energy 25/50 Index, providing market-cap-weighted exposure to U.S. energy companies across large-, mid-, and small-capitalization segments. The fund holds approximately 105 securities and maintains a passive, full-replication strategy where feasible. Top holdings typically include Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), and Valero Energy (VLO), with the top 10 positions accounting for roughly 68% of assets. Sector allocation is nearly 100% energy, with negligible exposure outside the category. The expense ratio stands at 0.08%, and the fund employs standard quarterly rebalancing aligned with the index methodology. Distinguishing features include its competitive cost structure within the Fidelity sector ETF suite launched in 2013.

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Overview

VDE tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, delivering passive exposure to U.S. energy equities spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap companies. The ETF contains approximately 111 holdings and utilizes a full-replication approach when regulatory conditions permit. Leading positions mirror those of comparable funds, featuring Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), and Valero Energy (VLO) as primary contributors. Energy sector allocation exceeds 99%, with the remainder in cash or minor non-energy components. The expense ratio is 0.09%, and rebalancing follows the index schedule. VDE benefits from its 2004 inception and larger scale, which supports broad liquidity in the energy ETF category.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The energy sector remains influenced by global oil supply dynamics, geopolitical developments, and the pace of the energy transition toward lower-carbon sources. Capital flows into the sector respond to commodity price trends, earnings cycles of integrated majors and refiners, and regulatory shifts related to emissions and permitting. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate expectations and economic growth projections further shape demand outlooks. Both ETFs reflect these drivers through concentrated holdings in upstream and downstream energy firms, exposing investors to volatility tied to crude oil benchmarks and natural gas markets. Sector risks include regulatory tightening, substitution by renewables, and cyclical downturns during periods of weak demand.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, FENY and VDE have delivered closely aligned returns due to their near-identical benchmarks and holdings. Performance differentials remain minimal across multi-month and multi-year periods, driven primarily by shared exposure to major energy producers. In environments of rising commodity prices, both funds benefit from strength in top holdings such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron. During broader equity rotations or interest rate shifts, the ETFs exhibit comparable volatility profiles typical of the energy sector. Relative positioning favors cost-conscious investors toward the lower-expense option, while liquidity-focused participants may prefer the larger fund for tighter spreads during high-volume periods.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF research and uncover additional opportunities.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest preference to FENY due to its lower expense ratio, which supports marginally better long-term cost efficiency, combined with comparable diversification and trend consistency to its peer. The probabilistic edge arises from the small but persistent cost differential in an otherwise highly similar exposure profile, without meaningful differences in risk or sector momentum.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FENY vs. VDE commentary
Oct 22, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FENY is a Hold and VDE is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FENY with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

FENY's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FENY turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where FENY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 49 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FENY as a result. In 75 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

FENY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FENY advanced for three days, in 348 of 386 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FENY moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 41 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FENY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

FENY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FENY entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDE with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

VDE's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VDE turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where VDE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VDE as a result. In 78 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

VDE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 342 of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VDE moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 40 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

VDE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for VDE entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FENYVDE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend about 1 month ago
80%
Bearish Trend about 1 month ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
View a ticker or compare two or three
FENY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VDE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FENY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FENY has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FENY jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FENY
1D Price
Change %
FENY100%
+0.32%
CVX - FENY
90%
Closely correlated
+0.47%
XOM - FENY
89%
Closely correlated
+0.13%
COP - FENY
88%
Closely correlated
-0.19%
EOG - FENY
86%
Closely correlated
-0.02%
OVV - FENY
84%
Closely correlated
-0.61%
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