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FERG vs POOL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) vs. Pool Corporation (POOL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FERG has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 19% compared to POOL's modest 2% gain, reflecting greater market momentum.
- FERG's larger market capitalization of $52.9 billion dwarfs POOL's $8.5 billion, indicating broader scale and diversification.
- Both stocks trade at similar forward P/E ratios around 22-26 (price-to-earnings), but FERG benefits from higher revenue scale at $30.8 billion versus POOL's $5.3 billion.
- POOL has faced headwinds from sluggish pool demand and flat sales, contributing to a 26% decline over recent six months.
- Analyst targets suggest moderate upside for both, with FERG at $276 (5% potential) and POOL at $263 (13% potential from current levels).
Introduction
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) and Pool Corporation (POOL) operate as leading wholesale distributors in the building products sector, serving residential, commercial, and infrastructure markets. This stock comparison is relevant for investors tracking cyclical sectors tied to housing and construction trends. Traders seeking relative performance insights amid varying economic signals—such as interest rate shifts and home improvement demand—will find value in evaluating their business models, recent momentum, and risk profiles. Both companies navigate similar macroeconomic pressures but differ in product focus and scale, offering a clear lens on sector positioning in recent market activity.
FERG Overview and Recent Performance
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) is a major distributor of plumbing supplies, pipe, valves, fittings (PVF), heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) products, appliances, lighting, and water/wastewater solutions primarily in the U.S. and Canada. Serving residential, non-residential, and industrial customers through an extensive network of branches and e-commerce, FERG emphasizes customized services like fabrication and project management. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near its 52-week high of $272, with shares around $263 and a year-to-date gain of 19%. This resilience stems from steady demand in essential infrastructure and commercial sectors, bolstered by positive analyst sentiment despite broader industrial fluctuations. Momentum has been supported by upward earnings revisions and outperformance relative to peers.
POOL Overview and Recent Performance
Pool Corporation (POOL) specializes in distributing swimming pool equipment, maintenance chemicals, repair parts, irrigation products, and outdoor living items across the U.S. and internationally. It caters to pool builders, remodelers, service companies, and landscape contractors via sales centers, focusing on new construction, replacements, and discretionary upgrades. Recent stock behavior shows shares stabilizing around $232 after a sharp 26% drop over the past six months, with modest YTD gains of 2% and distance from the 52-week high of $345. Performance has been pressured by weak housing market demand, flat annual sales at $5.3 billion, and a Q4 revenue miss, tempering sentiment amid seasonal and cyclical challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both FERG and POOL thrive as specialized distributors exposed to housing cycles, but FERG's broader portfolio in plumbing, HVAC, and infrastructure provides more stable growth drivers than POOL's niche focus on pools and leisure products. Recent momentum favors FERG, with consistent YTD advances versus POOL's volatility and revenue stagnation. Risk factors include interest-sensitive construction for both, though FERG's scale mitigates downturns better. Sector exposure overlaps in building products, yet FERG benefits from essential vs. discretionary demand. Market sentiment leans toward FERG for its relative outperformance and analyst backing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor FERG over POOL due to superior trend consistency, YTD momentum, and positioning near highs amid stable demand signals. While POOL offers higher implied upside from analyst targets, its recent drawdowns and cyclical vulnerabilities weigh heavier in probabilistic assessments. This edge reflects observable catalysts like scale and earnings trajectory, though shifts in housing data could alter dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FERG is a Buy and POOL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FERG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePOOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FERG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- POOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FERG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while POOL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FERG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- POOL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FERG (@Electronics Distributors) experienced а -5.96% price change this week, while POOL (@Electronics Distributors) price change was +0.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronics Distributors industry was -5.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
FERG is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
POOL is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronics Distributors (-5.73% weekly)Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.
| FERG | POOL | FERG / POOL | |
| Capitalization | 43.3B | 7.64B | 567% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 638M | 482% |
| Gain YTD | 1.413 | -4.647 | -30% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.35 | 17.98 | 130% |
| Revenue | 31.2B | 5.36B | 583% |
| Total Cash | 820M | 64.5M | 1,271% |
| Total Debt | 6.08B | 1.59B | 382% |
FERG | POOL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
POOL's Valuation (14) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (41) in the null industry. This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for POOL (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew somewhat faster than POOL’s over the last 12 months.
POOL's SMR Rating (29) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (30) in the null industry. This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
POOL's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is in the same range as FERG (56) in the null industry. This means that POOL’s stock grew similarly to FERG’s over the last 12 months.
FERG's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the null industry is in the same range as POOL (83) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that FERG’s stock grew similarly to POOL’s over the last 12 months.
| FERG | POOL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 67% | 7 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 16 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 57% |
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FERG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with WSO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then WSO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FERG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 100% | -2.51% | ||
| WSO - FERG | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| WCC - FERG | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.09% | ||
| AIT - FERG | 55% Loosely correlated | -4.02% | ||
| CNM - FERG | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| SITE - FERG | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
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POOL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, POOL has been loosely correlated with BXC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if POOL jumps, then BXC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To POOL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POOL | 100% | N/A | ||
| BXC - POOL | 47% Loosely correlated | -5.02% | ||
| AIT - POOL | 39% Loosely correlated | -4.02% | ||
| CNM - POOL | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| MSM - POOL | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| FAST - POOL | 33% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
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