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FLY vs SPCE
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FLY is a Hold and SPCE is a Hold.
FLY sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
FLY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 07, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 8 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 8 of the 8 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FLY as a result. In 13 of 15 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
FLY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for FLY entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FLY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 8 of 8 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +11.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FLY advanced for three days, in 50 of 54 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.398) is normal, around the industry mean (4.854). P/E Ratio (-3.543) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.403). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.751) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Momentum Indicator for SPCE turns negative, indicating new downward trend
SPCE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 74 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 69 of the 74 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPCE turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
SPCE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPCE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPCE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPCE entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 50-day moving average for SPCE moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +4.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPCE advanced for three days, in 174 of 227 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
SPCE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SPCE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.934) is normal, around the industry mean (4.854). P/E Ratio (-0.822) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.403). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. SPCE's P/S Ratio (222.222) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (18.330).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPCE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
FLY | SPCE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 40 Fair valued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 98 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 78 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FLY's Valuation (40) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SPCE (85) in the null industry. This means that FLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than SPCE’s over the last 12 months.
FLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (98) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as SPCE (100) in the null industry. This means that FLY’s stock grew similarly to SPCE’s over the last 12 months.
SPCE's SMR Rating (98) in the null industry is in the same range as FLY (100) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that SPCE’s stock grew similarly to FLY’s over the last 12 months.
SPCE's Price Growth Rating (78) in the null industry is in the same range as FLY (83) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry. This means that SPCE’s stock grew similarly to FLY’s over the last 12 months.
FLY's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Finance Or Rental Or Leasing industry is in the same range as SPCE (34) in the null industry. This means that FLY’s stock grew similarly to SPCE’s over the last 12 months.
| FLY | SPCE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 28 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FLY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SPCE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FLY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SPCE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FLY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPCE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FLY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- SPCE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FLY (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.73% price change this week, while SPCE (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -4.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -3.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
FLY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
SPCE is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-3.26% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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FLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FLY has been closely correlated with RKLB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FLY jumps, then RKLB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLY | 100% | -0.76% | ||
| RKLB - FLY | 76% Closely correlated | -4.54% | ||
| LUNR - FLY | 69% Closely correlated | -4.22% | ||
| RDW - FLY | 67% Closely correlated | -4.91% | ||
| SIDU - FLY | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.27% | ||
| SATL - FLY | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.08% | ||
More | ||||
SPCE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPCE has been loosely correlated with RDW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPCE jumps, then RDW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPCE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCE | 100% | -0.82% | ||
| RDW - SPCE | 42% Loosely correlated | -4.91% | ||
| LUNR - SPCE | 40% Loosely correlated | -4.22% | ||
| VOYG - SPCE | 39% Loosely correlated | -2.85% | ||
| RKLB - SPCE | 38% Loosely correlated | -4.54% | ||
| FLY - SPCE | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EEV | 12.39 | 0.70 | +6.00% |
| ProShares UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets (EEV) | |||
| PEPS | 32.45 | N/A | N/A |
| Parametric Equity Plus ETF | |||
| FDIS | 99.83 | -0.30 | -0.30% |
| Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (FDIS) | |||
| IVVW | 44.77 | -0.42 | -0.93% |
| iShares S&P 500 BuyWrite ETF (IVVW) | |||
| BATT | 12.78 | -0.61 | -4.56% |
| Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF (BATT) | |||