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FMNB vs HOPE
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FMNB is a Hold and HOPE is a Hold.
FMNB in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FMNB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 58 cases where FMNB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
FMNB moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FMNB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
FMNB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FMNB entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FMNB as a result. In 50 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FMNB just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where FMNB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FMNB advanced for three days, in 145 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FMNB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.157) is normal, around the industry mean (1.246). P/E Ratio (10.275) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.366) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.047) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.149) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FMNB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
HOPE in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026
HOPE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 40 cases where HOPE's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HOPE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HOPE as a result. In 46 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HOPE just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where HOPE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +2.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOPE advanced for three days, in 174 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
HOPE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HOPE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOPE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator for HOPE entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.760) is normal, around the industry mean (1.246). P/E Ratio (13.525) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.760) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.116) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOPE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HOPE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FMNB | HOPE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 36 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HOPE's Valuation (36) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as FMNB (59) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that HOPE’s stock grew similarly to FMNB’s over the last 12 months.
FMNB's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as HOPE (74) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FMNB’s stock grew similarly to HOPE’s over the last 12 months.
HOPE's SMR Rating (17) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as FMNB (32) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that HOPE’s stock grew similarly to FMNB’s over the last 12 months.
HOPE's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as FMNB (45) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that HOPE’s stock grew similarly to FMNB’s over the last 12 months.
FMNB's P/E Growth Rating (41) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HOPE (91) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FMNB’s stock grew somewhat faster than HOPE’s over the last 12 months.
| FMNB | HOPE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 62% | 9 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FMNB’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HOPE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FMNB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HOPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FMNB’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HOPE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FMNB’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HOPE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FMNB (@Regional Banks) experienced а +2.55% price change this week, while HOPE (@Regional Banks) price change was +3.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +2.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
FMNB is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
HOPE is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+2.63% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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HOPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HOPE has been closely correlated with UBSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HOPE jumps, then UBSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HOPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOPE | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| UBSI - HOPE | 85% Closely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| NWBI - HOPE | 85% Closely correlated | -0.20% | ||
| CATY - HOPE | 85% Closely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| AUB - HOPE | 85% Closely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| BUSE - HOPE | 84% Closely correlated | -0.43% | ||
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