GDX
Price
$85.22Alerts
Change
-$1.27 (-1.47%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
26.44B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
WPM
Price
$135.52Alerts
Change
-$1.10 (-0.81%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
61.91B
120 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX vs WPM

GDX vs WPM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 01, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • GDX offers diversified exposure to a basket of gold miners, while WPM is a single precious metals streaming company with a fundamentally different risk profile.
  • Both names have pulled back in recent weeks even as gold has remained above roughly US$4,000 per ounce, reflecting shifting sentiment across the precious metals complex.
  • WPM has posted record revenue and cash flow, supported by its streaming model, while GDX remains sensitive to operating costs and broader equity-market swings.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: Between the two, Tickeron's AI currently favors WPM for its more consistent trend profile, stronger cash generation, and comparatively stable positioning.
  • For more detail on the latest developments and price action, explore GDX Major News, GDX Today's Price Move, WPM Major News, and WPM Today's Price Move.
  • To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.

Introduction

Gold and silver investors face a persistent question: buy a diversified fund of mining companies or concentrate on a single high-quality operator? This stock comparison examines GDX, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF, against WPM, Wheaton Precious Metals, a leading precious metals streaming company. While both provide exposure to precious metals, their structures, risk profiles, and recent performance differ meaningfully. The comparison is especially relevant for investors weighing broad diversification against focused, cash-flow-driven exposure, and for those monitoring relative performance as gold trades near historically elevated levels while mining equities have cooled from earlier highs.

GDX Overview and Recent Performance

GDX is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks an index of global gold mining companies. Its largest holdings include major producers such as Newmont, Agnico Eagle Mines, and Barrick, with roughly 99% of the portfolio concentrated in basic materials. Canada and the United States account for the majority of geographic exposure, complemented by Australasia, Africa, and Latin America. With total net assets in the tens of billions of dollars and a modest expense ratio of about 0.51%, the fund is among the most widely used vehicles for diversified gold-miner exposure.

In recent weeks, GDX has experienced notable volatility. After trading above $100 per share earlier in the year, the fund pulled back toward the low-to-mid $80s by late October, with year-to-date returns turning slightly negative in some reporting windows. This relative performance reflects pressure on mining equities even as spot gold has held above US$4,000 per ounce, a divergence driven by cost inflation, investor rotation, and broader equity-market risk appetite rather than a decline in the underlying metal itself.

WPM Overview and Recent Performance

WPM, Wheaton Precious Metals, operates a streaming business model rather than mining directly. The company provides upfront capital to mining partners in exchange for the right to purchase a portion of future metal production at fixed, low per-ounce prices, then sells that metal at market rates. This structure exposes shareholders to gold and silver prices while reducing direct exposure to day-to-day operating and production costs.

Recent performance has been strong on a fundamentals basis. Wheaton reported record quarterly revenue, net earnings, and operating cash flow, and completed a US$4.3 billion silver streaming agreement tied to the Antamina mine in Peru, the largest transaction in company history. The company also raised its dividend and maintained long-term production guidance pointing to meaningful growth into 2030. Despite these results, the stock pulled back roughly 15% over a recent one-month span, mirroring the broader cooling in precious metals equities while its underlying cash generation remained robust.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each built around distinct trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance metrics, and watchlists. Because not every automated strategy suits every market regime, Tickeron curates only the most relevant and best-performing systems into a dedicated Trending AI Robots section. This selection process is designed to surface bots that align with current market conditions, helping traders identify automated approaches with observable track records rather than static or one-size-fits-all rules. For those monitoring gold miners, streaming companies, or the broader commodities complex, browsing the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical way to see how data-driven systems are currently positioning across a range of tickers and timeframes.

Head-to-Head Comparison

The clearest contrast between GDX and WPM is structural. As a diversified ETF, GDX spreads risk across dozens of producers, softening the impact of any single operational setback but also diluting the benefit of any one company's outperformance. Its performance is influenced by input costs, capital expenditures, and production execution across many jurisdictions. By contrast, WPM concentrates exposure in one company, but a company whose streaming model historically generates wider, more predictable margins when metal prices rise, since its per-ounce costs are largely fixed by contract.

On momentum, both assets have retraced from earlier highs, yet their drivers differ. GDX has been pressured by equity-market volatility and miner-specific cost concerns, while WPM has pulled back despite record cash flow and a transformative acquisition, suggesting its decline is more tied to sentiment than to deteriorating fundamentals. Risk factors also diverge: the ETF carries broad sector and currency exposure, whereas Wheaton carries concentration risk tied to key streams and partner mines, along with financing obligations from its large Antamina commitment. For market sentiment, Wheaton has generally attracted constructive analyst coverage and rising price targets, while the broader miner complex tracked by the ETF remains more sensitive to macro risk appetite.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward WPM over GDX. The streaming company's record revenue and operating cash flow, coupled with a business model that provides more stable, leveraged margins in a rising-metal-price environment, support a comparatively more consistent trend profile. While both assets have experienced recent pullbacks, WPM has demonstrated stronger underlying fundamentals through the drawdown, whereas the diversified miner ETF remains more exposed to cost and execution variables across a broad portfolio. This probabilistic assessment reflects relative positioning and trend consistency rather than a definitive forecast of future returns.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GDX vs. WPM commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GDX is a Hold and WPM is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

Momentum Indicator for GDX turns positive, indicating new upward trend

GDX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 75 of the 77 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GDX just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where GDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +6.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 287 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

GDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for WPM with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

WPM in +8.67% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where WPM advanced for three days, in 244 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where WPM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WPM as a result. In 59 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WPM just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where WPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

WPM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

WPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for WPM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.388) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (30.184) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.400) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. WPM's P/S Ratio (21.053) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.321).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
WPM: Fundamental Ratings
WPM
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
35
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
77
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
27
SMR RATING
1..100
41
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
44
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
83
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXWPM
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 13 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 13 days ago
64%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
57%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
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GDX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDX has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDX jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDX
1D Price
Change %
GDX100%
-5.43%
WPM - GDX
96%
Closely correlated
-5.09%
AEM - GDX
96%
Closely correlated
-5.15%
NEM - GDX
94%
Closely correlated
-4.15%
KGC - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-5.78%
IAG - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-6.65%
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